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Senior al-Qaeda leader busted in Quetta
Today's Headlines
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Page 1: WoT Operations
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Afghanistan
Police seize 200 kilos of heroin in southern Afghanistan
Afghan police have seized 200 kilograms (440 pounds) of heroin from a truck in the southern province of Zabul and detained its driver and helper, a senior police officer said Sunday. The heroin was concealed in a truck loaded with salt and heading to the nearby city of Kandahar on Saturday, said provincial police chief Mohammad Nabi Mullahkhil. The truck driver and his assistant were detained and nearly 200 kilograms of heroin seized, he said. Kandahar lies on a transit route for Afghan drugs being shipped to neighboring Pakistan. Afghanistan provides more than 90 percent of the heroin consumed in Europe. The US-backed government of Afghan president Hamid Karzai has called for a "jihad" or holy war against narcotics.
Posted by: Fred || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [274 views] Top|| File under:

#1  "I just siezed 200 kilos of smack, and boy AM I SLEEPY!"
Posted by: mojo || 03/20/2006 14:05 Comments || Top||


Two policemen killed in Afghanistan, 4 missing
At least two policemen were killed and four others are missing after an hour-long clash with dozens of suspected Taliban fighters in southern Afghanistan, officials said on Sunday. Two suspected Taliban fighters were also killed in the fighting in the Maiwand district of Kandahar province late Saturday, said Yousuf Stanezai, the interior ministry spokesman. "Four policemen are missing. We've no news on their fate," he said.

The fighting erupted after dozens of rebels stormed a checkpoint in the restive district, where the hardliners are especially active. A local police commander who asked not to be named said police, with reinforcements from the provincial capital Kandahar, had launched a hunt for the attackers who are believed to be hiding in the mountains. Maiwand was the scene of a bomb blast on Friday in which nine policemen were killed. The Taliban claimed the attack. The policemen were escorting the bodies of four Albanians who had been kidnapped and killed by Taliban fighters.
Posted by: Fred || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [292 views] Top|| File under:


Africa North
700 GSPC left, attacks continuing
Fewer than 100 Islamist rebels have surrendered under an Algerian amnesty and at least 700 remain at large fighting for a purist Islamic state, the interior minister said on Saturday.

The guerrillas, mostly from the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC), continue to launch attacks, making it impossible to lift a state of emergency imposed in the oil-exporting North African country in 1992, Noureddine Zerhouni told state radio.

Under the amnesty approved on February 21, Islamists were given six months to surrender and be pardoned, providing they were not responsible for massacres, rapes and bombings of public places.

"Fewer than 100 surrendered so far. To be precise, I would say between 50 to 100 have surrendered since the amnesty entered into force on February 30," Zerhouni said.

Algeria has been freeing hundreds of jailed Islamist fighters under the amnesty, but Zerhouni said any release of Amari Saifi, one of the GSPC's highest profile members who kidnapped 32 European tourists in 2003, was doubtful.

The latest amnesty was aimed at promoting national reconciliation after more than a decade of conflict, but Zerhouni said a state of emergency would remain.

"The state of emergency helps coordination between the army and the security forces to fight terrorism. I do not think it is wise to lift it as terrorist actions are still taking place on the ground," Zerhouni said.

The minister said between 700 to 800 Islamic rebels were still at large, mostly from the GSPC which is listed as a terrorist organisation by the United States.

Zerhouni said that although violence had fallen sharply in recent years, terrorist attacks were still being carried out, particularly in the two provinces of Boumerdes and Tizi Ouzou, east of the capital Algiers.

"We have a maximum of four to five terrorist actions per day. Most of the actions are located in Boumerdes, Tizi Ouzou, and at a lower intensity in the regions of Jijel, Batna and Tebessa, as a small GIA group is still present in the region of Chlef," he said.

Referring to the release this month of Ali Belhadj, deputy chairman of a banned Islamic party, Zerhouni said Islamic leaders could not play a political role under the amnesty.

In the late 1980s and early 1990s, Belhadj was among the most influential radical leaders of the Islamic Salvation Front (FIS), attracting hundreds of thousands to hear him speak.

"Those who have had a responsibility in using religion as a tool cannot aspire to any political activity," Zerhouni said.

Referring to Saifi, who was sentenced in absentia to life in jail in Algiers last year for helping to create a terrorist group, Zerhouni said the courts would have to decide his fate.

"It is a sensitive case. It is not easy. We will see what to do. But it is up to the judges to say whether he should be released or not," Zerhouni said.

Observers had been expecting his release under the amnesty after authorities freed this week a founder of the Islamic Armed Group (GIA), Abdelhak Layada also known as Abu Adlane. Algeria says 2,629 Islamists were being freed under the amnesty.
Posted by: Dan Darling || 03/20/2006 05:28 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [314 views] Top|| File under:


Bangladesh
Tales from the Crossfire Gazette
Criminal killed in 'shootout'
A listed criminal was killed during a "shootout" between police and his accomplices at Mashiali under Khanjahan Ali Police Station early yesterday.
The dead is Wazir Mohammad Bhuiyan alias Mukul Bhuiyan, 38, from Damodar under Phultala upazila. He was arrested on Saturday night at Tootpara in Khulna Sadar.
"Evening, Muk. Why don't you come down to the station for a little "talk".
Police said they took him to Mashiali at around 4:30am to recover illegal arms following leads extracted from him.
"The needlenose pliers, please"
As they reached the spot, Mukul's accomplices opened fire on them prompting the law enforcers to retaliate.
"Da law got Muk! Open random aimless fire!"
Mukul received bullet when he fell in the line of fire during the 15-minute long shootout and died on the spot.
"Ouch....rosebud"
Police recovered two pipe guns and eleven cartridges from the spot. Two constables were also injured during the gunfight.
Later, police recovered the body and sent it to Khulna Medical College Hospital morgue for autopsy.
"Dr. Quincy! Another stiff for you."
According to police, Mukul had been working as a liaison cadre of Purbo Banglar Communist Party (PBCP-Janajuddho) since 2004 and was also involved in extorting money from the transport owners of Phultala. He was the elder brother of top PBCP leader Mahmud Hasan alias Shimul Bhuiyan who was sentenced to 42 years of rigorous imprisonment in 2002 in three murder cases. Mukul was also accused in several cases filed with the Phultala Police Station for murders and bomb attacks.

2 AK-47, ammo seized
CHITTAGONG, Mar 19: Rapid Action Battalion (RAB) seized some arms and ammunition including two AK-47 rifles from a house at Noapara village in Fatikchari upazila here early on Sunday, reports UNB.
RAB sources said they arrested Naziruddin and Jamaluddin, both wanted in several cases including murder, from Kathgar area of Potenga thana Saturday evening. As per their confession the elite force along with the two terrorists went to a house at the village and dug out two AK-47 rifles, three magazines and 197 rounds of bullet from the house.
What? No cadre lying in wait? No "killed while attemping to escape"?
A case was filed against them under arms act.

Student killed for kissing teacher!
SATKHIRA, Mar 19: A spoiled student expelled from the school for kissing young lady teacher was found dead on the school verandah on Sunday, reports UNB.
Police picked up the body of Masud Ali, student of Class X of Polashpole Adarsha High School in the town. The body was lying on the verandah of the first floor. Firsthand police report said unknown assailants murdered the boy.

Headmaster S M Masud Hossain said the boy misbehaved with a lady teacher of the school and threatened her on phone on March 13. The managing committee in an emergency meeting decided to expel Masud Ali immediately. When the school reopened after the weekly holidays the boy was found dead on the verandah.
His classmates said Masud forcibly kissed the young lady teacher on March 13. He may have been murdered as a sequel to the incident.
Family honor, ya know
Masud Ali came from Laxminathpur village in Kaliganj upazila. He used to stay with his maternal uncle, a schoolteacher living in the town.
Posted by: Steve || 03/20/2006 10:48 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [288 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Ah, just like the old days.

"rounds of bullet" -and- "received bullet"

The reference to cartridges put me off just a touch, but it was more than made up for by Steve's:

"Da law got Muk! Open random aimless fire!"

LOL. Excellent.

BTW, a curious thing caught my eye - putting shootout in scare quotes... Of course it was a shootout!

wink wink, nudge nudge
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365 || 03/20/2006 11:23 Comments || Top||

#2  Class X
I've had to cover that class I think.
Posted by: 6 || 03/20/2006 12:36 Comments || Top||


JMB chief Rahman admits to using hired goons
The banned Islamic outfit Jamaatul Mujahidden chief Shaikh Abdur Rahman, during his second-term interrogation, on Sunday said they had hired some local goons to carry out the August 17 blasts to hide the identities of their operatives from lawmen.(The New Age BD) He was arrested from a house in Sylhet in the morning on March 2. He has been giving important information on the countrywide series of blasts on August 17, 2005, said sources in the task force, a combine of intelligence agencies and the Rapid Action Battalion.

‘We carried out the blasts in some districts by hired goons to hide the identities of our operatives from law enforcers,’ a source in the task force quoted Adbur Rahman as saying. He said they handed over the charge of blasts to their divisional and districts commanders, who were directed by his younger brother Ataur Rahman, also military commander of the outfit, and his son-in-law Abdul Awal. ‘As we tried to establish Islamic rule by launching suicide attacks at key installations by our own operatives, we did not want that some of our operatives would go in hiding after the blasts. So we decided to carry out the attack by some hired goons at some places,’ an official of the battalion’s intelligence wing quoted him Sunday night as saying.

Investigators said Rahman said his operatives had carried out the blasts by some rickshaw pullers giving them Tk 350 to Tk 500 in Cox’s Bazar, Khagrachari and Brahmanbaria on August 17, but they did not have the idea of Jamaatul Mujahideen. Rahman proudly said his operative were capable of getting things done by others without giving them an idea of the outfit.

Two young men Mohammad Shohel and Alamgir Hossain, now in custody, meanwhile told the magistrate on Saturday that they had carried out the attacks on August 17 for money in Brahmanbaria. They made statements to Magistrate Habibur Rahman, saying that Sabbir Ahmed Dulal of the outfit distributed money among 11 persons. The attack was planned at a meeting at the Kazipara Eidgah a day before the incident. The police said the two agreed to make statements before the magistrate on the third day of their five-day remand.
Posted by: Steve || 03/20/2006 10:31 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [300 views] Top|| File under:

#1  So, Abner paid Tk350 and Tk 500 to the rickshaw boyz. How much is that?
Posted by: Inspector Clueso || 03/20/2006 18:01 Comments || Top||


Bangla Bhai's Brave New World in Bagmara
Snipped. Dupe from yesterday.
Posted by: Dan Darling || 03/20/2006 05:57 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [284 views] Top|| File under:


Britain
LeT quartermaster used university e-mail
COVENTRY-BORN Mohammed Ajmal Khan, who also spent time growing up in Pakistan, acted as a "quartermaster" for al-Qaida-linked terrorist organisation Lashkar-e-Taiba, getting whatever they required for their operations. The defendant used an e-mail address he set up at Coventry University to research and purchase equipment, particularly items which were more readily available in the west.

Prosecutor Andrew Edis told the court: "(He) succeeded in acquiring some equipment and he planned to gather more. He acted as a quartermaster for the terrorists, obtaining whatever was required, particularly items that are more easily acquirable in the west than in Pakistan. Shortly before his arrest in March 2005 there is evidence he was acquiring equipment for himself to use, from which can be inferred he was planning to go back to Pakistan to join the fight personally."

Khan also bought air pistols which could be converted to fire bullets which, said Mr Edis, "would be useful in committing murder". He said he could not say where they were intended to be used, but added: "It is more likely they were personal defence weapons for operatives in the UK."

He said the Crown believed Khan was a "dedicated terrorist and a person of authority in Lashkar-e-Taiba", adding: "He is trained in Pakistan and travelled widely. He clearly has a source of funds for this work which has not been fully identified. He is an important man in this terrorist network."

Mr Edis said he used innocent dupes as a front for his activities, including Palvinder Singh, of Anley Way, Coventry, whose bank accounts and name were used to buy military equipment. Mr Singh, aged 30, was last week cleared of conspiracy to supply property for the purposes of terrorism. Khan used the then homes of a cousin in Broad Street and Hampton Road, Foleshill, and his mother's then home in Ransom Road while carrying out the conspiracy. Intercom equipment used inside planes was also delivered to his own former home in Freeman Street, Foleshill.

Khan was arrested during a swoop in Foleshill Road, Coventry last March. He pleaded guilty to conspiracy to supply cash and equipment for the purposes of terrorism. In mitigation, Lawrence McNulty said what Khan had managed to acquire amounted to very little and if he was a key player in Lashkar-e-Taiba it suggested the organisation was a small one.

But jailing him, Mr Justice Fulford said: "Terrorism... profoundly affects countless numbers of innocent lawabiding people both directly and indirectly." Khan was jailed for eight years for terrorism and a further year for contempt of court after repeatedly refusing to answer questions during the trial of Palvinder Singh. The court heard he is now likely to face extradition proceedings to face further similar charges in America where it is alleged he also had links with terrorists.
Posted by: Dan Darling || 03/20/2006 05:21 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [299 views] Top|| File under:

#1  I'm sure Yale will let him use theirs.
Posted by: Jackal || 03/20/2006 8:34 Comments || Top||


Europe
Terror Suspect Tossed From Court in Turkey
A judge ousted a key Syrian al-Qaida suspect from his courtroom Monday for contempt of court after he refused to stand up on the opening day of his trial for allegedly masterminding deadly bombings in Turkey. Loai Mohammad Haj Bakr al-Saqa is on trial along with 72 other suspected al-Qaida militants for alleged involvement in a series of suicide bombings that killed 58 people in Istanbul in 2003. Judge Zafer Baskurt asked al-Saqa several times to stand up in court, and then ordered him thrown out when he refused. 'My beliefs prevent me from standing in front of people like you,' al-Saqa told the judge. As soldiers escorted him out, al-Saqa shouted: 'I fought a jihad, I killed Americans, I will not stand up before you!' Baskurt also ordered a spectator detained for shouting in support of al-Saqa.

Earlier, the judge asked lawyer Osman Karahan - who recently has been charged with aiding and abetting a terrorist organization for allegedly giving money to one of his clients - to leave the courtroom, saying he was barred from the case for one year. Karahan, who represents 15 of the 72 suspects including al-Saqa, faces up to 10 years in prison if convicted. The court then proceeded with the trial, formally joining al-Saqa's case with the case of the 72 other suspects.

Prosecutors claimed that Osama bin Laden personally ordered al-Saqa, 32, to carry out terror attacks in this predominantly Muslim but pro-Western country.
Al-Saqa is accused of serving as a point man between al-Qaida and homegrown militants behind the November 2003 bombings, which destroyed a British bank, the British Consulate and two synagogues, an indictment said. It said al-Saqa gave the Turkish militants about $170,000. Prosecutors have demanded life in prison for al-Saqa, calling him 'a high-level al-Qaida official with a special mission.'

Al-Saqa and his alleged Syrian accomplice, Hamid Obysi, were captured in Turkey in August after an alleged failed plot to attack Israeli cruise ships. Obysi was also standing trial Monday. Al-Saqa reportedly told interrogators the plot against one cruise ship was financed by Taliban chief Blinky Mullah Omar, who allegedly gave him $50,000 to carry out attacks against Israeli targets in his name. Al-Saqa already has been sentenced in absentia by Jordan in 2002, along with al-Qaida in Iraq leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, for a failed plot to attack Americans and Israelis in Jordan with poison gas during millennium celebrations. Al-Saqa has also been implicated in the killing of a Turkish truck driver by insurgents in Iraq and accused of bomb-making and smuggling explosives into Turkey.
Posted by: Steve || 03/20/2006 10:08 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [502 views] Top|| File under:

#1  ...and then ordered him thrown out ...

Hope it was out a window preferrably five or more stories up.
Posted by: BigEd || 03/20/2006 14:44 Comments || Top||


India-Pakistan
Indian liaison officers for US Strategic Command
Building rapidly on the civilian nuclear deal, Washington has now invited India to appoint military officers to liaison posts in the US Strategic Command (Stratcom), its largest and most critical defence set-up mandated to control strategic nuclear assets, space and missile defence and global deterrence against weapons of mass destruction (WMDs).

The Stratcom, whose area of operation spans the globe, controls all American nuclear delivery platforms, including ballistic missile submarines, B-52 Stratofortress strategic bombers, Minuteman-III intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and Tomahawk land attack systems.

Having an Indian liaison officer on board will allow a more efficient link between Stratcom centres and India’s relatively new Strategic Forces Command (SFC) which controls Indian military nuclear assets.

The possibility of posting Indian officers at the Stratcom headquarters in Nebraska first came up when US Secretary for Defence Donald Rumsfeld brought up the idea with Indian counterpart Pranab Mukherjee on June 28 last year, the day the new Indo-US defence framework was signed. Nine months later, the offer is now formal.

Posted by: Angaiting Anguse7157 || 03/20/2006 18:30 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [306 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Anything, just so they don't manage our precious ports.
Posted by: Captain America || 03/20/2006 19:04 Comments || Top||

#2  There's a tech support joke somewhere in there.
Posted by: Penguin || 03/20/2006 20:23 Comments || Top||


'Radio Free Wazoo' is off the air
Suspected militants have blown up the transmission tower of the Voice of Islamabad a government radio station in Pakistan's restive South Waziristan tribal region, halting its broadcasts, local officials said today. The government had established the radio station to convey its policy against Taliban and Al-Qaeda militants, who are believed to be hiding in the region close to Afghanistan. The attack late last night was the second on the radio station located in Wana, the headquarters of South Waziristan tribal region. The first bomb attack was carried out in 2004, few days after the station began functioning. Officials said the blast did not cause much damage to the radio building but transmission was suspended. They said repair work may take three to four days. The attackers planted the explosives near the Aerial Transmitting Unit, they said.

The radio has a six-hour programme schedule in local Pashto language, which also includes news.
Posted by: Dan Darling || 03/20/2006 05:18 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [282 views] Top|| File under:


Senior al-Qaeda leader busted in Quetta
Pakistani security agencies have arrested a key al-Qaeda member during a raid in its southern city of Quetta. An intelligence source on condition of anonymity told Pajhwok Afghan News the detained Nasir Mustafa was wanted to the United States in several cases.

The 47-year-old Musatafa is a Syrian citizen and his name is included in the American list of most wanted men, said the official. Besides the 9/11 attacks on World Trade Centre in the United States, the detainee was allegedly involved in the 2004 bomb blasts in Madrid, Spain. A member of Taliban, who wished not to be named, confirmed the arrest of Nasir Mustafa. Speaking to this correspondent over the telephone, the source said he was living in Kandahar during the reign of Taliban. Ahmad Suleman, an al-Qaeda member, told this scribe by the telephone, Mustafa was a common member of the group. He was known as Musal al-Suri among his colleagues, said Suleman.
Posted by: Dan Darling || 03/20/2006 05:16 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [286 views] Top|| File under:

#1  This is al Nasir....right?
Posted by: Thavilet Gluger3137 || 03/20/2006 6:35 Comments || Top||

#2  Senior Leader number 197.

Seems one of Al Qaeda's organizational problems is too many senior leaders or a very poor senority/retirement program.
Posted by: Whuper Sninesing9169 || 03/20/2006 7:10 Comments || Top||

#3  I think it must be a fault in the retirement program. Human Resources did such a bang up job planning cost-of-living adjustments for married/ multiply married vs. single men, annual vacations, housing and so forth -- all the kinds of things new hires ask about -- but they must have run out of steam when it came to the long term stuff. ;-)
Posted by: trailing wife || 03/20/2006 11:24 Comments || Top||


Boy killed in blast
A ten-year-old boy was killed and another child injured in an explosion near a police station in Mardan City, reported APNA channel on Sunday. The channel said the boys had picked up a grenade from a nearby garbage dump and it exploded. The grenade was thrown mistakenly into the dump while police officials were removing ammunition from confiscated illegal weapons store, the channel quoted a police officer as saying.
Posted by: Fred || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [399 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Remember: Separate the paper from the metal, and the inert ordnance from the live.
Posted by: Fordesque || 03/20/2006 11:29 Comments || Top||

#2 
Redacted by moderator. Comments may be redacted for trolling, violation of standards of good manners, or plain stupidity. Please correct the condition that applies and try again. Contents may be viewed in the
sinktrap. Further violations may result in
banning.
Posted by: Thinemp Whimble2412 || 03/20/2006 11:29 Comments || Top||

#3  A sane child would avoid it like the plague.

Little Achmed Jihadi here probably thought he could blow up an infidel.

Or, he was taking it home to show Daddy.
Posted by: Thinemp Whimble2412 || 03/20/2006 11:29 Comments || Top||


Trooper killed in Kashmir
A paramilitary trooper was killed and six others wounded on Sunday when suspected Islamic rebels threw a grenade at an Indian security patrol in Indian held Kashmir, police said. The attack took place in Sopore, 50 kilometres north of Srinagar as a Border Security Force (BSF) unit patrolled a busy intersection, a police spokesman said.
Posted by: Fred || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [282 views] Top|| File under:


Jamat-ul-Dawa big ventilated
Jamat-ul-Dawa's leader Ameer Abu Hanif, had been suffering from bullet injuries, died at a Lahore hospital on Sunday. Hanif and his four colleagues had been on their way to Muridke from Sheikhupura, a few days ago, when unidentified armed assailants tried to kidnap them in the precincts of Sadar Muridke Police. The assailants open fired on Abu Hanif when he tried to resist. An FIR has been registered by police as investigation continue.
Golly. One of the head holy men from Jamaat ud-Dawa. Wotta shame. I am so broken up.
Posted by: Fred || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [313 views] Top|| File under:

#1  abu Hanif has up and left us by way of the slo lead path.

Posted by: RD || 03/20/2006 2:25 Comments || Top||


3 Punjabi picnickers killed in Balochistan
Unidentified men on Sunday fired upon three men picnicking in Balochistan's Pir Ghaib area. Two men were killed and one has been critically injured. Government spokesman Raziq Bugti said that the assailants had interrogated the men before shooting them. The militants ascertained whether they were Punjabis and then shot them, he said. "Innocent people should not be targeted by anyone having a grudge against the government," he added. "All circles should condemn the attack."

Also, unidentified men attacked a Frontier Corps checkpoint in Karmo Wadh, near Sibi. No casualty was reported. FC personnel retaliated and are searching for the men, said sources. Bugti said that he had no information about the incident.

Later, APP reported that unidentified men killed tribal elder Haji Abdul Quddus Khan Sanjrani in Girdi Jangal. Sources said that Haji Sanjrani was sitting in a hotel in Girdi Jangal bazaar when the men fired upon him. His body was given to his family after an autopsy.
Posted by: Fred || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [285 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Pack a picnic basket and your bikini Bridgitte, ‘Visit Pakistan Year’ is coming up.
Posted by: ed || 03/20/2006 0:41 Comments || Top||


Roadside Bomb Kills Seven in Pakistan
DERA ISMAIL KHAN, Pakistan (AP) - Suspected Islamic militants set off three bombs Sunday, one of which exploded near a police van and killed seven people in northwestern Pakistan, officials said. The two other bombs damaged walls of a police station and a government building.

A powerful roadside bomb blew up the police vehicle while it was on patrol in Dera Ismail Khan, a city in northwestern Pakistan about 180 miles southwest of the capital, Islamabad, local police official Dar Ali Khattak said. Three policemen, three paramilitary police and a passer-by were killed in the explosion on a road in the city's Kotli Imam neighborhood, Khattak said. Four other bystanders - two women and two men - were injured, he said.

About four hours later, a bomb exploded near the scene of the first one, cracking a wall at a nearby government building but injuring no one, another police official, Khuda Dad Mahsud, said.
At about 8 p.m., a third bomb went off outside a police station in the heart of Dera Ismail Khan, damaging its main wall but causing no casualties, Khattak said. No one claimed responsibility for the explosions, but Khattak blamed Islamic militants from a neighboring tribal region.
Dera Ismail Khan is near the South Wazoo Waziristan primitive tribal region where Islamic terrorists militants are correctly believed to be skulking about hiding. The cowardly fighters have been identified blamed for cowardly attacks on security forces.
Posted by: Steve White || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [296 views] Top|| File under:


Iraq
Kadhafi says Saddam still legitimate Iraqi leader
Libyan leader Moamer Kadhafi said Saddam Hussein should still be considered Iraq's legal president and the current government illegitimate as it was elected under an occupation regime.

In an interview with the Italian Sky TG24 television channel, he slammed the practice of sending in troops to get rid of heads of state, saying that by that theory he could be next.

keep talking, we're taking notes.
more at the link
Posted by: lotp || 03/20/2006 19:07 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [335 views] Top|| File under:

#1  And people said he was a dummy.
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365 || 03/20/2006 19:57 Comments || Top||


35 killed in Iraq violence
On the eve of the war's third anniversary, nearly 1,500 U.S. and Iraqi soldiers on Sunday sought to root out insurgents from farming villages an hour's drive north of the capital, and at least 35 people died in insurgent and sectarian violence nationwide.

Iraqi politicians still had not formed a government more than three months after landmark elections for the country's first permanent post-invasion parliament, but they announced an agreement on naming a Security Council to deal with key matters while negotiations proceed.

Returning to the White House after a weekend at the presidential retreat in Camp David, Md., Bush offered an upbeat assessment.

"We are implementing a strategy that will lead to victory in Iraq. And a victory in Iraq will make this country more secure and will help lay the foundation of peace for generations to come," he said.

Many politicians both inside and outside Iraq said the continuing violence could only be described as a civil war.

"It is unfortunate that we are in civil war. We are losing each day as an average 50 to 60 people throughout the country, if not more," former interim Prime Minister Ayad Allawi told British Broadcasting Corp. "If this is not civil war, then God knows what civil war is."

The Bush administration and U.S. military leaders disagreed.

"Personally don't believe, one, that we're there now; two, that civil war is imminent; and, three, that it is inevitable that it will happen," Gen. George Casey, the U.S. commander in Iraq, said in an interview with Fox television.

In a sign of political progress, Iraq's top politicians emerged from the fourth in a series of U.S.-brokered all-party meetings on forming a new government and reported they had established an advisory, 19-member Security Council.

The council, to be headed by President Jalal Talabani, was established as an interim measure as politicians struggle to agree on the makeup of a new government following the Dec. 15 parliamentary elections.

"It was a successful meeting, and we have agreed on forming a National Security Council whose powers will not contradict the constitution," Adnan al-Dulaimi, a Sunni Arab political leader, told The Associated Press.

Al-Dulaimi said nine council seats would go to Iraq's Shiite Muslim majority, while Kurds and Sunni Arabs each would control four seats and the secular bloc two. Talabani, a Kurd, would head the group.

The exact powers of the council, if any, were not explained. But it appeared to have been formed to ensure that politicians from minority blocs would at least be consulted in advance on important government and security decisions.

The intense political discussions on forming a government began last week under pressure from U.S. Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad. Al-Dulaimi said the talks would not resume until Saturday because of Shiite and Kurdish holidays this week.

Khalilzad has urged patience for the prolonged political negotiations. "I think it will take a few more weeks," he said Friday.

The speedy formation of a government has become a top U.S. priority on the theory that a unified leadership with representatives from all major factions would quell violence and open the way for American hopes to begin withdrawing troops this summer.

As politicians met in Baghdad, Iraqi police said eight civilians, including a child, were killed during clashes between U.S. troops and gunmen in Duluiyah, 45 miles north of Baghdad. The U.S. military said it was checking the report.

The town is in Iraq's Sunni Arab heartland where the Iraqi army and U.S. forces opened a major airborne campaign last week to hunt insurgents. The American military called it the largest "air assault" operation since the invasion.

Casey, the U.S. commander, said the significance of the operation may have been overblown. "I think it might have got a little bit more hype than it truly deserved," he said on CNN's "Late Edition with Wolf Blitzer."

But he disputed allegations by some U.S. politicians that the operation was ordered for political reasons.

"Nothing could be further from the truth. This operation was planned with the Iraqi security forces, as intelligence was available. ... it was an intelligence based operation and had nothing to do with politics," he said.

Evidence of nightly sectarian violence among Sunnis and Shiites showed up at two Baghdad sewage treatment plants Sunday. Police said they found 14 bodies, bound hand and foot and shot execution style. Such discoveries are being made almost daily since a bombing at a Shiite shrine in Samarra.

Assailants in southwestern Baghdad gunned down a man as he was leaving a Shiite mosque, police said.

A Baghdad policeman driving on a rural road in Latifiyah, about 20 miles south of the capital, was killed by gunmen, police said. Four men riding in the car were wounded.

Elsewhere, two civilians were killed and 10 wounded when gunmen attacked U.S. troops stationed at the governor's office in Ramadi, 70 miles west of Baghdad.

Gunmen killed four guards at archaeological sites in the northern city of Mosul. A fifth policeman and a bystander were wounded.

A roadside bomb exploded on a police patrol in Baqouba, 35 miles northeast of Baghdad, killing one officer and injuring 10 others, the Iraqi military said.

Near the southern city of Basra, two officials of the Iraqi Islamic Party were gunned down by four assassins.

In the northern region of Kirkuk, two Iraqi soldiers were found stabbed to death two days after they were reported kidnapped, U.S. authorities said.
Posted by: Dan Darling || 03/20/2006 05:55 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [296 views] Top|| File under:

#1  ...MSM says it must be a Civil War, right? 35 people lost their lives in Iraq on Sunday, March 19, 2006. GOTTA be a civil war.

In one day in 2004 - the most recent year I was able to Google records for - 16, 137 American citizens were murdered. That works out to 44.90 per day.

Yeah, GOTTA be a civil war.

Mike
Posted by: Mike Kozlowski || 03/20/2006 12:20 Comments || Top||


US troops remain steadfast in Iraq
Three years to the day after they invaded Iraq , most American troops still believe in their mission but know that the general population has -- at best -- mixed feelings about their presence.

Many are as keen as most Iraqis to see U.S. forces go home and, inspired by the sense they bring freedom and prosperity, regret the resentment they face among many local people.

"In one town they will thank the troops for what they are doing," said Staff Sergeant Jim Mayhan, 40, a veteran of the 2003 invasion and now on his second rotation in Iraq, based at Hilla, 100 km (60 miles) south of Baghdad.

"Go to another town and you get ugly stares and cultural gestures showing their displeasure."

Hilla, close to the site of Babylon and capital of the province named for the ancient city, is often held up by U.S. officials as a model for the reconstruction effort in Iraq.

A mainly Shi‘ite Muslim town surrounded by Sunni rural areas, it saw the bloodiest al Qaeda suicide bombing of the conflict a year ago, when 125 people were killed, and has since seen other sectarian attacks, including on its mosques.

U.S. forces have withdrawn into the background, however, as newly trained Iraqi troops and police have taken over the streets. U.S. soldiers in Hilla on their second tour of duty in Iraq say the reaction of locals is better both to U.S. forces and what they are trying to accomplish than on their first tour.

That is at odds with general perceptions that the welcome for Americans in 2003 was often warm from Iraqis grateful to see the end of Saddam Hussein -- even in towns like Hilla that saw significant civilian casualties -- but that disillusion has set in as U.S. forces have failed to establish security.

Killings of civilians by nervous U.S. troops and widespread arrests have added to Iraqi frustrations with the occupation.

The Americans too want to go home. Though contractors supply all the food and comforts of home that a soldier might need, fried chicken, ice cream and the Internet cafe are only physical reminders of what home is.

Sergeant Justin Edmondson, 23, who has been in the army for five years, was typical. "Everybody wants to go home."

Most U.S. soldiers believe they will leave Iraq a better place than when they arrived but complain Iraqis‘ demands on them are increasing. Those that say that the U.S. mission will not leave improvements say Iraq will be no worse off.

"It will be a little bit rocky when we go," said Specialist Veronica Almanza-Briones, 21, from Chicago, a truck driver who was here in 2003 and just re-enlisted for another four years.

"But with their new government, they will adjust and it will be better than it was before."

Soldiers at Charlie Base in Hilla, home to the 1st Squadron, 10th Cavalry Division, point to tangible evidence of what the U.S. military has accomplished -- a new school, clinic, a bridge or road, and have figures showing a decline in rebel attacks.

Many Iraqis remain unimpressed, however. At an Iraqi army base nearby, Captain Mark Kovalcik, commander of Charlie Troop, hears a list of requests from local forces including repeated questions from the Iraqi commander about lack of electricity.

Power shortages, lasting much of the day, are a feature across Iraq. Kovalcik repeats the same answer to every question. There will be electricity within a month and he will only hand over cash to fix the generator if the commander supplies two bids from local contractors.

Many troops are earnest in their desire to do more for the local people and worry about what lies in store once they leave.

"A lot needs to be done but I don‘t know the Iraqi people are picking up on our direction," said Corporal Brian Cetrone, 27, from Randolph, Massachusetts, a substitute teacher before joining the army.

"We‘re doing good things with the intention of them doing the job after we have gone home. I don‘t know that they see how good it could be."

But even as troops accentuate the positive they are aware the risk of death is little less than it was three years ago during the invasion. While believing themselves well trained and equipped, with confidence in their commanders, they understand they are seen as an occupying power and vulnerable personally.

More than 2,300 U.S. troops have been killed in Iraq since the U.S.-led invasion in March 2003.

"It‘s a different kind of risk," said Edmondson. "There is less direct fire but (roadside bomb) attacks are a bigger factor."

Mayhan, a 15-year veteran from Little Rock, Arkansas, exhibits a cool professionalism. Though he prefers to pass out hand-cranked radios and soccer balls, he said the war has changed from his first tour in 2003.

U.S. forces now find themselves potentially caught in the middle of a sectarian civil war as Shi‘ite militias have stepped up reprisals after years of Sunni guerrilla attacks.

"Everything is not so cut and dried as to who the enemy is," said Mayhan, describing the complexities of his current mission. "You have the three Ps," he said. "Be polite, be professional but be prepared to kill."
Posted by: Dan Darling || 03/20/2006 05:17 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [293 views] Top|| File under:

#1  "Go to another town and you get ugly stares and cultural gestures showing their displeasure."
And what happens if they do that to the insurgents?
Posted by: plainslow || 03/20/2006 16:20 Comments || Top||

#2  You haven't refuted him...
Posted by: Whumble Whater5278 || 03/20/2006 17:36 Comments || Top||


Sunni gang leader confesses to killings
ROP
Baghdad: A Sunni extremist leader captured south of Baghdad confessed to killing hundreds of Shiite Muslims in recent months, police said. Mohammad Al Janabi was captured and detained along with five other "dangerous terrorists" in Jaraf Al Sakr, an insurgent stronghold known as the Triangle of Death. Police Lt. Col. Falah Al Mohammedawi said Al Janabi confessed to killing at least 400 people.
Go easy on him. Only hang him once.


Posted by: RD || 03/20/2006 02:55 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [281 views] Top|| File under:

#1  The Interrogator Droid from Star Wars?

I doubt it was needed.
Posted by: mojo || 03/20/2006 10:51 Comments || Top||

#2  A picture of a wet noodle would probably be more correct...
Posted by: danking_70 || 03/20/2006 13:27 Comments || Top||


Shias escape missile attack in Karbala
A missile was fired into a Shia holy city Sunday as hundreds of thousands gathered for a major religious holiday, raising fears of civil war on the third anniversary of America's war on Iraq. The 122 millimetre Grad missile, one of three fired at the southern shrine city of Karbala, caused no casualties but came as a sea of Shia pilgrims gathered to commemorate the death of Imam Hussein (RA), Prophet Mohammed's (may his drip clear up peace be upon him) grandson, Governor Aqil Khazali told a news conference.
Posted by: Fred || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [294 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Ugh, Grads are heavy ordinance. That could have done a hell of a lot of damage if it hit a pilgrim-crowded square. Lucky for us it's Russian manufacture & thus about as accurate as "celebratory gunfire".
Posted by: Mitch H. || 03/20/2006 16:42 Comments || Top||


Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Fatah gunnies getting desperate
Palestinian gunmen from the ousted Fatah Party stormed government buildings, briefly took over a power plant and blocked a vital road in the Gaza Strip on Monday, injecting more chaos into the volatile area as Hamas militants readied to take power. Nine people were wounded in five separate firefights with Palestinian police. The violence was a foretaste of what might happen if Hamas tried to impose its will on Fatah gunmen.

The bloodiest of the five confrontations Monday took place at Gaza's government compound. Three dozen potential civil servants gunmen demanding jobs charged toward the complex, firing in the air. Some burst into the Finance Ministry, while others began firing at random, wounding a doorman outside the adjacent Foreign Ministry before Palestinian police pulled up in jeeps and began exchanging fire with the attackers. An Associated Press reporter was in the Foreign Ministry at the time of the attack. Just yards away from him, two stray bullets hit a security guard in the legs. Other ministry employees ran for cover, pressing close to walls or hiding under tables as bullets smashed windows. Police eventually stormed the ministry, arresting three gunmen from the Fatah-affiliated Al Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades. In total, two gunmen and two security officials were wounded in the firefight.

Dozens of gunmen also exchanged fire with members of the security forces at Palestinian police headquarters.

Earlier in the day, gunmen blocked a road leading to the main Israel-Gaza crossing point, briefly took over Gaza's power plant and entered a military hospital. About 35 gunmen traded fire with policemen who tried to remove them from the road leading to the Erez crossing point, which Abbas had been scheduled to use Monday morning to leave Gaza for the West Bank. Two gunmen and a policeman were wounded. Two dozen gunmen also briefly infiltrated Gaza's power plant elsewhere in Gaza, exchanging fire with police and wounding two, officials said.

No one was hurt at the military hospital near the town of Khan Younis.

Hamas' designated foreign minister, Mahmoud Zahar, blamed the violence on Fatah mismanagement. "We are going to deal with it by the proper means in order to solve these problems," Zahar said.
If I was Fatah, right now I'd be considering laying low, maybe take a vacation, stay home and play with the wife and kiddies. But they're Paleos, which means they won't.
The gunbattles on Monday were the most intense in months, and came a day after Hamas' designated prime minister, Ismail Haniyeh, handed Abbas a proposed 24-member Cabinet dominated by Hamas activists.
Posted by: Seafarious || 03/20/2006 08:46 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [284 views] Top|| File under:

#1  What to do when one has no job and an AK-47 with plenty of ammo?
Posted by: borgboy || 03/20/2006 9:40 Comments || Top||

#2  Looks like these boyz didn't learn any civics lessons, what with all those class hours devoted to Jew killing.
Posted by: ed || 03/20/2006 9:51 Comments || Top||

#3  "What to do when one has no job and an AK-47 with plenty of ammo?"

Hehe... I'm in that position right now, but all I have been doing is sending out resumes and drinking too many red bulls...
Posted by: Mark E. || 03/20/2006 10:17 Comments || Top||

#4  *
civil war civil war civil war civil war civil war
Posted by: MSM || 03/20/2006 11:20 Comments || Top||

#5  I've always wondered why people that have any money at all stick around when conditions get like this. If I was in Paleostine right now, I'd scrape beg and borrow every cent I had for an airplane ticket to anywhere but there. It's going to be chaos and it will be bloody. Time to get out of Dodge - shoot out at the OK Corral is going to be soon.
Posted by: 2b || 03/20/2006 11:34 Comments || Top||

#6  "Civil War" is the new "Quagmire"
Posted by: Steve || 03/20/2006 11:35 Comments || Top||

#7  Actually, a not-so-civil war. These are Palestinians, after all. I must have reversed the polarity on my pity and sympathy meters. They're both pegging below zero.
Posted by: Zenster || 03/20/2006 11:35 Comments || Top||

#8  Hey 2b. It's curious. I don't see Palestine on any of my maps.
Posted by: texhooey || 03/20/2006 12:10 Comments || Top||

#9  Then you didn't get your maps from the UN.
Posted by: Seafarious || 03/20/2006 12:24 Comments || Top||

#10  How can you have a gun battle with 35+ gunmen and only 4 people get wounded?

These guys must be crappy shots.
Posted by: Leigh || 03/20/2006 15:06 Comments || Top||

#11  It's only fair, Israel isn't on any maps produced in Arabia.
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365 || 03/20/2006 15:12 Comments || Top||

#12  Oops, I should've said produced in or for Arabia, I don't know if they produce anything but oil and gunnies.
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365 || 03/20/2006 15:13 Comments || Top||

#13  One Israeli statesman was quoted as saying that God's gift to Israelis was giving them Arabs as enemies. The Palestinians must spend all their time learning to cut throats because they certainly can't shoot. Can you imagine the carnage that would have resulted from a gunfight between a squad of Marines and this rabble?
Posted by: RWV || 03/20/2006 17:04 Comments || Top||

#14  RWV: One Israeli statesman was quoted as saying that God's gift to Israelis was giving them Arabs as enemies.

When you consider their splendid military traditions, it's a real shame*. If he only knew, Muhammad would roll over in his grave.

* Although it has to be said that Arabs only prevailed for a few hundred years - they were later supplanted by Persians and Turks.
Posted by: Zhang Fei || 03/20/2006 20:24 Comments || Top||


Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Bush to Iran: "We Will Use Military Might To Defend Israel"
There it is. Cards on the table. Expect the attack - I call Mar 28 New Moon
US President George W. Bush said he hoped to resolve the nuclear dispute with Iran with diplomacy, but warned Tehran he would "use military might" if necessary to defend Israel.

"The threat from Iran is, of course, their stated objective to destroy our strong ally Israel. That's a threat, a serious threat. It's a threat to world peace," the US president said after a speech defending the war in Iraq.

"I made it clear, and I'll make it clear again, that we will use military might to protect our ally Israel," said Bush, who was apparently referring to Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's call for the destruction of Israel.

On the atomic dispute, Bush said he hoped "to solve this issue diplomatically" with a "united message" to Tehran from Washington, London, Paris, Berlin as well as Russia "hopefully" and China.

The message would be that "your desire to having a nuclear weapon is unacceptable," he said.

Bush also touched on Iran's agreement to discuss Iraq with the United States, saying that "it's very important, however, for the Iranians to understand that the discussion is limited to Iraq.

"We're using this as an opportunity to make it clear about our concerns of interference within a democratic process that is evolving," he said, saying that the talks will not decide Iran's relations with a sovereign Iraq.

"Ultimately, Iraq-Iranian relations will be negotiated between the Iraqi government and the Iranian government," he said.
maybe not the CURRENT governments, but their governments nonetheless
Posted by: Frank G || 03/20/2006 21:03 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [377 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Possible interpretations:

1- "Israel, keep your powder dry - I got your back."

2- "Mullahs, back off. I'm just about there."

3- "Whiteman AFB, this is the Commander in Chief..."
Posted by: Matt || 03/20/2006 21:15 Comments || Top||

#2  The military planning and positioning is almost finished.
The diplomats are almost finished.
The northern hemisphere winter is almost finished.

4- "People, brace yourselves, Iran's military, nuclear facilities, and leadership are soon to be finished."
Posted by: Darrell || 03/20/2006 21:26 Comments || Top||

#3  Bush said today, regards the NSA surveillance program, it's the right thing to do, it's constitutional, and we're going to continue doing it -- in the face of threats of censure, though empty today there is the definite possibility that the Democrats could gain control of the House in Nov, and if they do they will certainly float impeachment. Who knows if they'd do it, but I think they probably would. Bush is not deterred or frightened because he knows he's doing the right thing and has faith he will be judged correctly - if not now then by history. He's got serious brass behind his words.

In precisely the same vein, Bush will prosecute an attack on Iran if they do not verifiably cease and dismantle their nuke program. I believe he will do it in the name of National Security, with or without a congressional resolution for cover. I believe he will do the right thing and take his chances with congress, rather than make us take our chances with an insane ideology in possession of nuclear weapons. He clanks when he walks, IMO.
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365 || 03/20/2006 21:44 Comments || Top||

#4  Mark today, because today he just told Iran your days are numbered.
Posted by: djohn66 || 03/20/2006 21:46 Comments || Top||

#5  I know he's far from perfect, but what a comfort it is to have that man in the White House!
Posted by: trailing wife || 03/20/2006 22:14 Comments || Top||

#6  Extreme stress does funny things to people. Kerry wilted. Bush shines.
Posted by: Matt || 03/20/2006 22:24 Comments || Top||

#7  My son is a Marine. I sleep better at night with George W. Bush as Commander in Chief. God bless and keep him.
Posted by: RWV || 03/20/2006 23:10 Comments || Top||

#8  my son joined for a 5 yr Army committment beginning Sept. I just wish I knew the President to follow W cares as much about him and America as W does
Posted by: Frank G || 03/20/2006 23:13 Comments || Top||

#9  Don't forget that Dubya and America have to also be prepared for NORTH KOREA andor NK-TAIWAN scenarios, as the Mullahs and Kimmie both like to beat the war rhetoric in parallel. Will say again that if and when China ever does succ conquer Taiwan, however imperfectly the PLA will inevitably go after JAPAN, the Asian democracies, and ultimately the entire PACRIM/OCEANIA. Iran, etc = NK-Taiwan . JUST THE OPENNING SHOTS.
Posted by: JosephMendiola || 03/20/2006 23:21 Comments || Top||


'US could wipe out Iran nuke program in two days'
from Jerusalem Post. Salt as needed.
Another voice has been added to those who believe that air strikes should halt Iran's quest to develop nuclear weapons.

Gary Berntsen, the former senior CIA operative who led the search for Osama bin Laden in Afghanistan in late 2001, believes the United States has the ability to easily destroy Iran's nuclear facilities. He said the US could use bunker-buster bombs and other weapons to carry out the operation.

"We can dig those things out. We can destroy them," he told The Jerusalem Post in an interview.

"We can take care of it in a couple of days with air strikes and they wouldn't be able to stop us," he added. "It wouldn't be difficult to plan. They'd be some dangers but I think the United States can do it." Berntsen, who left the CIA in June last year after more than 20 years of service, believes it will be difficult to persuade Iran to stop its nuclear program.

"I know the Iranians. I've worked against the Iranians for years. They are determined to get this no matter what, and they will lie and cheat and do whatever they have to do to get themselves a weapon," he said.

Berntsen ruled out covert action because of the scale of Iran's nuclear program. "This is a huge system of facilities they have. This is not going to be a small sort of engagement. We are probably going to have to destroy 30 facilities in 30 locations. Or at least 15," he said.

Berntsen's comments came after former Pentagon adviser Richard Perle said earlier this month that Iran's prime nuclear facilities could be devastated in one night by a small fleet of US B-2 bombers. I'm
sensing a theme here ....

In addition, Moshe Ya'alon, Israel's former chief of General Staff, said the IDF has the capabilities to attack Iran's nuclear facilities and could do it in conjunction with the US and some EU countries. However, Berntsen believes Israel should not carry out any operation.

"It's better for the United States to do it. If you (Israel) do it, we'll have all sorts of problems in the Middle East, all sorts of countries that will align themselves with the Iranians over this. Politically it makes more sense for the US to do it," he said.

Berntsen also ruled out a ground operation. "This is huge country. There are 70 million people there. It's gigantic. We don't need to be getting into something like that," he said.

However, Berntsen believes that the US should first exhaust all the political options before carrying out a strike.

"We should do what we're doing right now. That means taking them to the United Nations and make this 'the world against Iran,' because the Iranians appear determined to create a weapon," he said. "If by chance they disarm, then we can avoid this, but if they don't disarm we will need to take care of this ourselves."

"The Iranians have to know that we mean business. They will either disarm or we will destroy their facilities. No ifs, ands, or buts. They present a threat to peace in the Middle East. They present a threat to Israel. We cannot accept that," he added.

Berntsen predicted that if Iran doesn't disarm, President George Bush would carry out an attack regardless of domestic opposition.

"I think that President Bush has demonstrated that he says what he means and he means what he says. A lot of people didn't think he would do Iraq. This is a guy who doesn't put his finger in the air to see which way the wind is blowing. President Bush means business.

"The problem right now is that the Iranians are going to miscalculate. They are going to believe that because 2006 is an election year (in Congress), and due to all this political opposition to the president because of Iraq, they're going to think that he's weak in the knees, he can't do it and they're not going to negotiate.

"That would be a very serious mistake for them. They're going to miscalculate. They think he's politically weak and George Bush won't care. He's going to do it anyway when it comes down to it," Berntsen said.

"I believe that we'll get past the mid-term election in 2006 and then the Iranians ought to disarm themselves or suffer the consequences," he added.

Berntsen recently released a book called Jawbreaker, which is about the search for bin Laden after al-Qaida's attacks on the US in September 2001. The book has been on the best-seller lists in the US but has yet to be released in Israel.
Posted by: lotp || 03/20/2006 19:18 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [490 views] Top|| File under:

#1  The voice of experience and reason.
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365 || 03/20/2006 19:40 Comments || Top||

#2  Two days and it's toast. 'Bout what I figured...
Posted by: Dave D. || 03/20/2006 19:44 Comments || Top||

#3  This theme doesn't actually surprise me. Our air force is built to take out strategic targets deep inside Russia - a country ten times the size of Iran and with air defenses far superior to Iran's. If we can't something similar to Iran, we need to scrap the current Air Force and rebuild from scratch. People who cast doubt on the Air Force's abilities vis-a-vis Iran don't understand its capabilities.
Posted by: Zhang Fei || 03/20/2006 19:45 Comments || Top||

#4  While it sound all good and nice, I doubt it. It assumes that the strike force wouldn't have its hands tied by political considerations. Shock and awe was far less because of concerns of collateral damage and inability to employ all the weapons available in the arsenal. Now if we had really unleashed a real shock and awe, I doubt the Iranians would be playing games at this moment.
Posted by: Whiting Fliger4401 || 03/20/2006 20:07 Comments || Top||

#5  I'm a believer- it could be better written as:

"2 days work = 10 years' delay. Is it worth it?"
Posted by: Frank G || 03/20/2006 20:10 Comments || Top||

#6  All of this assumes our intelligence is accurate, something I don't think is safe given what happened in Iraq. Also, the whole idea of an air war against Iran doesn't take into account the fact that doing so will almost certainly shore up the regime.
Posted by: Dan Darling || 03/20/2006 20:10 Comments || Top||

#7  Berntsen's book has an interesting account of what really happened at Tora Bora, up close and personal.
Posted by: HV || 03/20/2006 20:11 Comments || Top||

#8  DD: Also, the whole idea of an air war against Iran doesn't take into account the fact that doing so will almost certainly shore up the regime.

That's kind of silly. If Saddam couldn't be toppled by his internal opposition in a country that was 80% against him on account of religious or ethnic differences, the regime in Iran surely can't be toppled by its opposition. The regime doesn't need shoring up - it is not in danger of falling. The Shah fell because he wasn't willing to exterminate his opposition. The mullahs don't have that problem.
Posted by: Zhang Fei || 03/20/2006 20:15 Comments || Top||

#9  Great, how 'bout tomorrow and the day after.
Posted by: DMFD || 03/20/2006 20:24 Comments || Top||

#10  18 hours tops -- bets?
Posted by: Captain America || 03/20/2006 20:28 Comments || Top||

#11  "I know the Iranians. I've worked against the Iranians for years. They are determined to get this no matter what, and they will lie and cheat and do whatever they have to do to get themselves a weapon," he said.

'Bout time someone said this loud and clear. You hearing this Pentagon?

If Saddam couldn't be toppled by his internal opposition in a country that was 80% against him on account of religious or ethnic differences, the regime in Iran surely can't be toppled by its opposition.

Bingo, ZF. At least we don't hear many voices talking about an occupation or some such nonsense anymore. Get overhead, break lots of nasty things in a big, bad way and get the he|| back out.
Posted by: Zenster || 03/20/2006 20:34 Comments || Top||

#12  It won't be that simple.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble || 03/20/2006 20:37 Comments || Top||

#13 

Iran ... not so dangerous. You go first ...
Posted by: Mizzou Mafia || 03/20/2006 20:40 Comments || Top||

#14  Care to share why not, NS?
Posted by: Zenster || 03/20/2006 20:40 Comments || Top||

#15  I have read reports that Iran shifts its mobile missile positions every 2 days. Some of these could be launched on either a sporadic or mass basis against Carrier groups, if a command structure exists to so order. The best bet for the US is to force regime change in Iran, rather than accepting another 5, 10, or 20 year circus. Given the success of nuclear-blackmail in removing Soviet occupation troops from Iran, post WW2, exercise of that option is essential. The logic-chopping sandbags - we just don't do that; that would offend our values; blah, blah, blah - of a solution that would ultimately end up with Iranians hanging their Ayatollahs from lampposts, border on infantilism.

Either support nuclear-blackmail as a moral means for de-proliferation in Iran, or force on future generations a preventable nuclear-jihad capability, usable by a tyranny whose leaders orchestrate "death to America" shrieks, at every opportunity.
Posted by: Listen to Dogs || 03/20/2006 20:58 Comments || Top||

#16  Shock and awe was far less because of concerns of collateral damage and inability to employ all the weapons available in the arsenal.

"Shock and awe" had much less to do with the volume of bombing as the targets; the description intentionally focuses on mental state, the purpose is to induce "shock and awe" by taking apart the target's communication.

That happened in Iraq; the problem is, the results happened where the press was least able and willing to look -- inside the Saddam regime.
Posted by: Robert Crawford || 03/20/2006 21:08 Comments || Top||

#17  I have read reports that Iran shifts its mobile missile positions every 2 days.

Ya know what the call missiles that move every 2 days?

"Soft targets".
Posted by: Robert Crawford || 03/20/2006 21:09 Comments || Top||

#18  To me, the best explanation of 'shock and awe' or 'effects based' bombin campaigns is that we bombed the houses of baathist officials (i.e. we had GPS coords on their street address) not just the normal government sites. Not sure if this is an accurate descriptor, but it got it home for me. It is not about making a big show on CNN but for destroying the enemies command and control in ways he did not forsee.

Being a mere civilian I found it interesting that they call it 'effects based' operations. I am curious what a non-effects-based campaign would look like.
Posted by: JAB || 03/20/2006 21:19 Comments || Top||

#19  LTD - once the MM's are emasculated, they will be desposed. They rule the country like a criminal gang, not a religion. Basij are foreigners brought in to do their thugwork. Does that sound like a religion. We need to de-claw them and their troops in their barracks/positions, let nature take its' course
Posted by: Frank G || 03/20/2006 21:24 Comments || Top||

#20  Let's be rational, as the author of this piece was. BTW, he's no desk-bound analyst, so I'd be very very slow to dismiss him.

A few observations:

We have been watching, probably tasking more than one satellite at all times, since the info about their program surfaced. Our people, those who analyze the take, are very very good, as are our optics. The best.

Building a nuclear weapon production capability requires construction of facilities. Alot of facilities. Large facilities. It cannot be completely hidden from the satellites and our people, those who analyze the take, are very very good, as are our optics.

These facilities require power, water, transportation of employees, delivery of matériel, etc. Alot of all of them. Again, these things are visible.

Everyone here is aware that we're talking about multiple facilities dispersed to make it harder to knock it out. Well that creates a new vulnerability: intermediate product must be moved from stage to stage, facility to facility. Visible.

You don't have to take out everything, you only have to sever the production stream. If you know most of the locations where the work is occurring, you can do that with solid redundancy. If you only know the locations of two or three choke points in the process, you can shut it down. Think strategically. Your intel doesn't have to be perfect, just good enough. I'm banking that it is. I know for a fact that every Pentagon type who's been asked to put his career on the line for a best estimate is playing it clean. Don't know about the CIA, but why should it be any different there? Careers SHOULD be held at risk in weighty matters of National Security and nuclear threats. I hope they know it's successful plans and estimates balanced against their asses.

Deep facilities don't have to be blown up, just in. Entomb them. They have ventilation. They have entrances. They have resources running to them that are required to maintain livable conditions. There are signs and vulnerabilities to underground facilities, too. Gravity is our friend. Four or five consecutive bunker busters with GPS precision with a time on target spread can undo anything the Iranian engineers can devise, whether it's to cause collapse or to simply seal them up. Regardless, knocking the crap out of a facility, whether it's a total loss or not, terminate its function.

I'm very inclined to listen to a guy who's an insider, who knows his craft, and isn't some desk jockey "expert", but the real deal.
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365 || 03/20/2006 21:27 Comments || Top||

#21  Being a mere civilian I found it interesting that they call it 'effects based' operations. I am curious what a non-effects-based campaign would look like.

The opposite is the more traditional military planning process that focuses on broad measures: attrit the enemy, seize/control territory. This is a top-down planning process.


Effects based planning starts from specific outcomes desired and works back to means - which might be changed over time based on partial results. It started with the Air Force, which began looking at the specific effects desired from a bombing raid, working back to choose the munitions and delivery method to suit each target. It's expanded now to a broad range of operations.

One thing EBO does is to account for political and economic as well as obviously military objectives. In the traditional model, if there was a main bridge the enemy might use, you would probably take it out to deny him that means of transit. In EBO you still might, but you'd pay a lot more attention to any commanders' intents re: keeping the civilian economy alive if that bridge were a key transit point for crops or exports, for instance.

EBO at least in theory gives a lot more flexibility down the command chain. Mid and lower-level echelon commanders are given objectives and left to their best judgement, to a fair degree, in how to attain them.

Like a lot of things, it sounds simpler than it is in practice. Effects based assessment requires careful consideration of the evaluation measures you will use to measure progress towards each objective. Get those wrong and it's quite likely they will incent unhelpful decisions over time. And since multi-dimensional objectives may well be in tension with one another, senior commanders must be able and willing to establish their relative priorities among them.

Caveat: I am not military or a military planner. I've had some role re: effects based assessment in the last few years, hence the above.
Posted by: lotp || 03/20/2006 21:31 Comments || Top||

#22  Zenster,

The short answer is the enemy gets to vote. The Iranians will respond. We can play tit for tat for a while but the question is how we reach an end state. It may require Shermanization once we start down that path. That would result in domestic problems for Bush given the domestic preparation to date.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble || 03/20/2006 22:05 Comments || Top||

#23  For someone my age, domestic preparation involved watching Iran humiliate the US for 444 days until somebody they feared was inagurated. If we get into it with Iran, especially if they start it, Bush has the green light. I think he knows this but hopes it can end bloodlessly with internal regime change.
Posted by: JAB || 03/20/2006 22:14 Comments || Top||

#24  Shock and awe was disinformation. Invoking memories of the much more dramatic campaign of Gulf War 1 to keep Iraqi heads down while the modern guided weapons- now known in Iraq as "the bomb that never misses"- picked Saddam's defenses apart.
Posted by: Grunter || 03/20/2006 22:26 Comments || Top||

#25  Sherman is my hero.
Posted by: 3dc || 03/20/2006 22:38 Comments || Top||

#26  I've been ready since '79. Time to blow shit up and take these assholes down a century or two. Iranian people will persevere, and hopefully not let the same assholes back in charge
Posted by: Frank G || 03/20/2006 23:11 Comments || Top||

#27  I've had no input and no information on what's going on in Washington, but I do know a bit about Iran's defensive and offensive capabilities.

- I watched them build their first few Silkworm launch sites and the supporting infrastructure for them. They're not "hardened" - they can't be. "Hardening" a Silkworm facility would make it difficult to fire a missle, and it would take forever to reload. They're vulnerable to cluster weapons and aerial mining operations - two areas we're experts in.

- Many of their naval facilities ARE hardened, much as the German "submarine pens" were hardened. We no longer have to attack from above - we can send missiles right into the facilities. Trapping the expolsions within thick concrete walls will only make the results more deadly.

- The Iranian Air Force is starved for spare parts. Even without that starvation, they wouldn't be able to "surge" more than two sorties a day. The AVERAGE USAF and Navy pilot expects to fly five or six sorties a day during hostilities. Most of their aircraft will be caught on the ground and destroyed within the first eight hours, or shot out of the sky. They'll lose over a third to simple maintenance problems.

- Moving their "missiles" from one place to another every two days is a waste of time. We know all the pre-surveyed sights. We'll hit them all, probably as close to simultaneously as possible. We'll hit with high explosives and air-sowed mines. If they're at a particular point, we'll kill them. If they're not, the next time they pull into a point, we'll kill them with our mines.

- They have an army of a gazillion troops, but they have few, first-rate armored vehicles, and all of them are susceptible to some of the stuff we put in the air. The best air defences the Russians could sell them can't be everywhere at once, and our ECM is second to none.

- You don't have to kill everybody to change hearts and minds. Just eliminate those that are in charge, and do it with what appears from outside as "no sweat", and the rest will scurry into the deepest holes they can find.

The one thing the Iranians DON'T want to do is to close, or attempt to close, the Straits of Hormuz. The Japanese will decide they have no option but to end Iran's powers in order to secure a continuing flow of oil. A resolution to allow Japanese forces to conduct offensive operations will pass with a huge majority, and they'll be on the warpath the next day. Europe will be faced with an "either/or" situation: either they get off their lazy a$$es and stand up to Iran, or they'll pay through the nose for oil from now on. In the end, I think at least half of the nations of Europe would side with the US, because they have no other choice.

One other thing: two can play that "close the Straits" game. The US can not only do it, but can do it much better than Iran ever thought of trying. They need the Straits for oil exports, food and material imports. There are NO decent harbors on the southern coast of Iran, and even if they were, they're a long way across a hostile desert from anywhere else. You can supply a city by air, but you cannot supply a nation a quarter the size of the United States, with 70 million people by air. Iran's backed itself into a tough spot, and has no wiggle room left. It's going to get VERY interesting in the coming months.

As for the political scene, I think you're going to see the Democrats even more marginalized than they are now after the next election. They've just done too many stupid things in too many different scenarios for most Americans to trust them with helping Granny across the street, much less to elected office. I live in a "military" town. Military people and their families are VERY upset with the Democrats in Congress. Military families have parents, friends, and extended families. The disconnect between military people and the Democrats is far greater now than it was even during the Vietnam War. I saw my first "Impeach John Kerry" bumper sticker a week ago Friday. I've seen eight others since then. Three of the cars had Massachusetts plates.
Posted by: Old Patriot || 03/20/2006 23:19 Comments || Top||

#28  OP. Very interesting perspective and info.

A week or so ago somebody posted an article stating that Iran imports refined gasoline and therefore is very vulnerable to a naval blockade, which builds on your point about 2 being able to play the 'close the straits' game.
Posted by: JAB || 03/20/2006 23:31 Comments || Top||

#29  Slobedon was removed from power in Yug/Serbia because he dragged his nation in to a war and they lost face. Are we so sure that an attack would shore up the Mullahs? Might do the opposite since Islam is such a shame culture they might very well take the heat for pushing a conflict everyone knew they couldn't win.
Posted by: rjschwarz || 03/20/2006 23:31 Comments || Top||

#30  9-11 and the WOT for the Lefties and anti-US agendists is about inducing = forcing the USA under "justified" anti-American Socialism and OWG where the US is no longer sovereign nor has control of its own government or endowments - Iff this were WW2 we're talking about VICHY WASHINGTON.The DemoLeft has no scruples attaining PC power be it proclaiming to "save America-World" from GOP-led "quagmire(s)" and Nuke Brinkmanship, or by weirdly and mysteriously surviving any new [GOP-caused]Amer Hirosohima agz Dubya, his Admin, the NPE, anti-Clinton/Socialist Congress, or any other centres of pol power-influence. The only thing the Dems have is JImmy Carter's tenure and even then the debate atill goes on vv how "liberal" vs "Conservative" Carter's policies were. The Dems can't claim anything from the Clinton '90's thanx to Clinton himself. As for Iran, the Mullahs want a US invasion, not just air attacks.
Posted by: JosephMendiola || 03/20/2006 23:37 Comments || Top||


Ahmadinejad: "The Iranian nation will resist with God's help"
Iran will stand by its right to obtain nuclear technology and anyone spreading propaganda against its atomic programme will come to regret it, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Monday.

"No one can take away our nuclear technology. The Iranian nation has obtained it and will preserve it. Some are against the Iranian nation's development," he said in a televised address to mark the start of the Iranian year on March 21.

He spoke as senior foreign affairs officials from the five veto-holding U.N. Security Council powers and Germany were to meet to try to break the impasse over Iran's nuclear ambitions.

The Council has been unable for nearly two weeks to issue a statement telling Iran to halt uranium enrichment efforts which the West believes are a cover for bomb making. Iran says its nuclear programme is simply for generating electricity.

Ahmadinejad said Iran would resist efforts to undermine its nuclear programme just as it pursued the nationalisation of its oil industry last century against the wishes of Western powers

"A while ago, they were against the nationalisation of our oil industry. They were saying that this (oil) smelt bad and is useless and you don't need it. That day the Iranian nation resisted, and today they are saying the same things about nuclear energy," he said.

"The Iranian nation will resist with God's help," he added.

Iran had previously agreed to suspend its uranium enrichment activities under an agreement with Britain, France and Germany. That deal broke down last year and, in February, Iran started tests on enriching uranium.

"They were hoping through propaganda and psychological war to take this (nuclear technology) away from us. I am suggesting to them to learn their lesson and apologise to the Iranian nation," he said.

"They should be sure that if they continue, they will regret continuing to make baseless propaganda against Iran," he said without elaborating.
Posted by: Captain America || 03/20/2006 18:06 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [383 views] Top|| File under:

#1  "They should be sure that if they continue, they will regret continuing to make baseless propaganda against Iran," he said without elaborating.

Translation - "Just wait until we get our nukes!"
Posted by: DarthVader || 03/20/2006 18:30 Comments || Top||

#2  He knows nothing of God. Too late.
Posted by: newc || 03/20/2006 19:41 Comments || Top||

#3  "The Iranian nation will resist with God's help"

Better have a Plan B ready, Mahmoud.
Posted by: xbalanke || 03/20/2006 19:45 Comments || Top||

#4  When this bozo meets God, he is going to be told "I always liked Isaac best."
Posted by: RWV || 03/20/2006 19:47 Comments || Top||

#5  RWV, that is stone cold! :-)
Posted by: trailing wife || 03/20/2006 20:14 Comments || Top||

#6  Now, if he had said that Iran will resist with Russia's help, I would have sat up and taken notice. Allah's help is a much devalued currency these days - given the relative lack of success terrorists have had in planning a follow-up to 9/11.
Posted by: Zhang Fei || 03/20/2006 20:19 Comments || Top||

#7  Mahmad:

You are full of shit
Posted by: God || 03/20/2006 20:26 Comments || Top||

#8  Counting on a supernatural being to show up just in the nick of time is a dubious proposition at best. I'd need a signed black-border confirmed RSVP before shooting off my mouth like Ahmadinejad is doing. Something tells me he's in for a really big surprise when the excrement impacts those whirling blades.
Posted by: Zenster || 03/20/2006 20:39 Comments || Top||

#9  If all the Ayaterrorists face is smart-bomb strikes that leave most of the terror infrastructure intact, while Iranian strategic missile forces are relatively free to launch mass strikes on US Carrier groups, then Iran will resist. They have to be made to understand that resistance is futile.

Post WW2 Arab and Muslim power was a factor of strategic Cold War alliances which no longer exist. Any power they possess is grounded on the sick weakness of our pathological indulgence of the most vicious enemy that the West has ever faced.

There are hints that cause me to believe that the President will force regime change on Iran. However, if he adapts to the Democratic appeasement position as a means to regain lost support, nuclear-jihad capacity will arise in Iran.
Posted by: Listen to Dogs || 03/20/2006 21:41 Comments || Top||

#10  Iran = North Korea > regional belligerency is as much for WILFUL NATIONAL SUICIDE/DESTRUCTION as for anything else. NUKES = "GREAT POWER/NATION" STATUS, however surreal, ergo ITS ALL OR NOTHING with these failed and failing minor Socialist Rogue-ish states. Iff these can't have "manifest Destiny" they'll take their people plus the world with them to hell.
Posted by: JosephMendiola || 03/20/2006 23:46 Comments || Top||


U.S. in Exercise Battle with Iran for Control of Persian Gulf
The pic, by the way, is the USS CHUNG-HOON.
ABU DHABI -- The United States is planning a major naval exercise in May to test its response to any Iranian naval blockade of the Straits of Hormuz. Iran has been conducting exercises aimed at blocking Gulf shipping. Officials said the exercise would replicate an Iranian effort to mine the straits and send boats packed with explosives into U.S. warships. "We believe this would be the leading method of an Iranian attack against Western shipping," an official said.
What would we do without experts?
Officials said Iran has been training to quickly block the straits in an effort to torpedo the world oil market. In late 2005, Iran was said to have conducted an air and naval exercise to test plans to halt Gulf shipping.

The U.S. naval exercise, entitled Arabian Gauntlet, has been scheduled for May 2006. Officials said the exercise would be held with Western states and expected to include at least one navy from the Gulf Cooperation Council.
UAE? Oman? Qatar? Bahrain?
The Iranian opposition said Teheran has established an underground emergency command center to direct a naval blockade of the straits. The National Council of Resistance of Iran said the command center has been linked to government ministries and security forces by a series of tunnels. "Iran's leaders are clearly preparing for a confrontation by going underground," Alireza Jafarzadeh, a leading Iranian opposition figure, said.

Officials said the Iranians have drafted plans to send a swarm of fast attack craft to blow up U.S. warships. They said the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps's navy has already conducted such an exercise.
That's not going to go well for them; a small fast attack boat against a DDG that's primed and ready is no contest.
Another Iranian option, officials said, was the use of cruise and ballistic missiles against Arab oil facilities in the region. They said that over the last year, the IRGC has drafted plans to deploy new weapons designed to strike naval and ground targets throughout the Gulf. "When these systems become fully operational, they will significantly enhance Iran's defensive capabilities and ability to deny access to the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz," Defence Intelligence Agency director Michael Maples told the Senate Armed Services Committee in February.
Until the launch sites are blown up, along with the tech support and the leadership.
Posted by: Steve White || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [306 views] Top|| File under:

#1  "swarm of fast attack craft" against US warships -we all know how successful that was, from Reagan to Saddam to Somali pirates.
Posted by: JosephMendiola || 03/20/2006 0:09 Comments || Top||

#2  I don't know...the suicide swarm sounds like a pretty good idea to me. How do you destroy a carrier with 100 SM2 missiles to protect it? Fire 101 cruise missiles.
Posted by: gromky || 03/20/2006 0:15 Comments || Top||

#3  Most likely the swarm of attack craft would be a few suicide boat bombs amidst a whole mess of 'legitimate' trade or fishing craft, all looking about the same. That way even if the attack fails, the attackers win the PR battle because in stopping the attack the US will have killed a lot of 'innocent' people. Heads, I win; tails, you lose, from the anti-American perspective, because they control the public perception.
Posted by: Glenmore || 03/20/2006 7:11 Comments || Top||

#4  Caught a snippet on the news that said pirates attacked a U.S.warship over the weekend.Short version,bad day for the pirates.
Posted by: raptor || 03/20/2006 7:28 Comments || Top||

#5  I suspect their concept is to have built many small concrete caves near the strait, where endless numbers of small rubber craft, each with a bomb, can be launched quickly at once. Three men, one to steer, one to man the bomb, and one to fire an AK wildly at anybody on deck, hoping to supress fires from crewmen on deck.

The concept is to accept 98% losses for 2% hits in massed Kamakazi attacks. They only attack over short distances. Their mission is both to sink or disable any US ship they can, *and*, hopefully to scuttle *any* ship in the Strait.

http://tinyurl.com/pnh2l

Now, looking at the Strait of Hormuz, there are points from land less than 20 miles from the shipping lanes. Rigid rubber boats can on average travel at 30-50 knots, or 35-60 mph.

However, if hostilities haven't yet been declared, there are Iranian waters almost flush with the shipping channels. There is no reason they could not create an effective blockade of the Strait to commercial shipping with just rubber boats. Menacing without attacking.

Few commercial shipping companies, or their underwriters, would risk running such a blockade.

This being said, there are some possibilities here, if you are willing to have terrible losses.
Posted by: Anonymoose || 03/20/2006 8:02 Comments || Top||

#6  And if the Iran-Iraq War proved anything it was that the MM are willing and able to sustain terrible losses.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble || 03/20/2006 8:11 Comments || Top||

#7  John Kerry may want to revive his career as a Persian Gulf Swift boat skipper.
Posted by: ed || 03/20/2006 8:22 Comments || Top||

#8  Good idea, ed. It's not like he's been doing anything useful for the last couple of decades.
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365 || 03/20/2006 9:04 Comments || Top||

#9  The Japanese like to sustain terrible losses in WWII, guess how that ended. Mad Mullahs need to read a few history books
Posted by: djohn66 || 03/20/2006 9:32 Comments || Top||

#10  I guess the question is whether Iran's leadership is rational from a strategic perspective. We know they are not from a religious perspective.

Iran can certainly stir things up in Iraq, mess with shipping in the Straits and attack US bases and Arab oil infrastructure so as to harm the world economy. But wouldn't doing so lead to open season on Iran? Even the Euros will be in favor of destroying the mullocracy if they mess up the euro economy, which has less margin to play with than the US?

I ask because I've seen a lot of speculation that they will not wait for us to make the first move.

If they wait to do this stuff in response to a US bombing campaign vs. the nuke sites we may have already hit their naval capabilities and will already be in 'open season' mode with respect to the Mullahs.
Posted by: JAB || 03/20/2006 9:33 Comments || Top||

#11  P3 orions loaded with mk 20 rockeyes would keep em at bay, this whole fishing boat and dingy attack seems so dumb its remarkable! i think mines are a big danger but even then not that bad. My idea is to simly take over the closest peice of Iranian land to the straights of hormuz, lets see if they can launch sht whilst having a division sized force - or maybe a corps sized force if you could get it onto there. would really throw a spanner in the works for em. So many ways for us to hit them and do them damage yet there power projection capibilities are terribly incabable of striking coalition forces homebases and cities - unless they use terroist methods of course but even then the cumlative affects of an Iranian offensive on coalition home soil would be next to nothing i'd imagine. I can imagine it now - we bomb the fck outa them - destroy there military and goverment and yet asshat media know-nothings will say we lost cos one suicide bomber got through to our homelands. se thats the big problem - even if we thrash the fck outa them the media will spin it all into a quagmire and illegal war bullsht and then we lose.
Posted by: ShepUK || 03/20/2006 9:55 Comments || Top||

#12  No, ShepUK, we win. The MSM spin is irrelevant compared to Iranian nukes and/or an Iranian attack on world oil. They cannot have either opportunity.

I forsee additional US ships arriving for the "exercise" in late April and a preemptive attack almost immediately thereafter.
Posted by: Darrell || 03/20/2006 10:13 Comments || Top||

#13  I remember taking our swift boat upriver past Qom to the Cambodian border, which we were not legally allowed to approach, especially from the west
Posted by: John Fn Kerry || 03/20/2006 10:59 Comments || Top||

#14  I think one AC-130 would be a fine response to a swarm of rubber boats.

Of course that's not Navy but it would work just fine and be cheap.
Posted by: 3dc || 03/20/2006 11:01 Comments || Top||

#15  "You sure it's okay to set both miniguns to maximum spray mode, Cap'n?"

"Yeah, that's what they said: Hose it all down."
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365 || 03/20/2006 11:03 Comments || Top||

#16  Wasn't there a fear of Iran obtaining nuclear mines on DEBKA awhile back? They could cause some damage, but it would certainly unite the rest of the world against them. The fact that they are suicidal nuts with no regard for others means I hope the EU wakes up to the imminent threat before it's too late.
Posted by: Danielle || 03/20/2006 11:05 Comments || Top||

#17  Other considerations would be the rubber boat floatilla at night, their new model Gulf submarine hoping to stick a torpedo in under the cover of the floatilla, some concealed Silkworms on shore.

"Hot mining", or trying to lay mines during an attack on a fleet already present, or something as cheap as laying cable suspended by floats, hoping to catch an ship unaware and snarl its propellers.

The SOBs might even try to sneak in a few shore batteries, most likely a bunch of SCUDs on expendable launchers, along with a few higher quality missiles--possibly even a nuke.
Posted by: Anonymoose || 03/20/2006 11:06 Comments || Top||

#18  I'm starting to understand that the *pirate* attack this weekend was s'posed to be a suicide maneuver to probe USN defenses, and that we ought to have drowned the lot of them.
Posted by: Seafarious || 03/20/2006 11:10 Comments || Top||

#19  China would be as pleased as punch to sell them all the Silkworms they wanted.
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365 || 03/20/2006 11:12 Comments || Top||

#20  Danielle: I was a big proponent of the idea of their using a nuclear mine. It is vital to their concept of operations to take out or neutralize at least one US carrier fleet. However, the obvious drawback is nuclear retaliation.

So their emphasis would have to be use, but to somehow get enough deniability so that the international community, that is, the other nuclear powers, would intervene and demand that the US not counterattack with nukes.

One technique would be to hijack a commercial cruise ship of a third country, while pretending to be al-Qaeda, and put the bomb on board. Then, while sending all sorts of distress messages, and calling for assistance, take the ship at full speed towards the fleet, with the idea of getting it close enough for the bomb to severely damage or destroy the carrier. Guesstimate within 5 miles for a 15kt bomb.

This would most likely be done in concert to several other activities, such as scuttling a ship in the Suez Canal, to keep out the US Atlantic fleet, and only when the other Pacific fleets were very far away.

They could also coordinate with the Norks to provoke a major naval incident that would attract the US Pacific fleets away from the Arabian Sea.

As far as they are concerned, the best outcome would be a cheap shot like this, that *didn't* result in war, but would deeply injure the US and cause much opposition (led by you know who) to the US being in the Middle East at all.

Posted by: Anonymoose || 03/20/2006 11:31 Comments || Top||

#21  The MSM spin is irrelevant compared to Iranian nukes and/or an Iranian attack on world oil. They cannot have either opportunity.


This remains the bottom line. It is why I have given my commitment to support or defend any unilateral action taken by Bush with respect to neutralizing Iran.

PS: Great assessments, 'moose.
Posted by: Zenster || 03/20/2006 11:46 Comments || Top||

#22  re: Strait of Hormuz

I predict that the Irainians will putz with the Hormuz surface tension by using islamic surfactants.

/ima all wet
Posted by: RD || 03/20/2006 11:54 Comments || Top||

#23  Three men on each craft, sure, but don't forget a couple of cute children in each one, all holding baby rabbits.
Posted by: Jake-the-Peg || 03/20/2006 12:16 Comments || Top||

#24  Guesstimate within 5 miles for a 15kt bomb.

If it was an airburst like Able (21) KT the target would need to be much closer than 5 miles for serious damage... But a Baker like shot also 21 KT but 90 feet underwater - 5 miles would be about right. Radioactive contamination would be much the worst aspect.
Posted by: 6 || 03/20/2006 12:50 Comments || Top||

#25  Or a wedding party flotilla.
Posted by: Darrell || 03/20/2006 12:51 Comments || Top||

#26  "The Iranian opposition...The National Council of Resistance of Iran..."

NCRI an Opposition group...I always love that one.
Posted by: DepotGuy || 03/20/2006 13:19 Comments || Top||

#27  Three men on each craft, sure, but don't forget a couple of cute children in each one, all holding baby rabbits.

And baby deer, with their mothers.
Posted by: Robert Crawford || 03/20/2006 13:30 Comments || Top||

#28  Possible target areas: The Meditteranean, either near Turkey or Port Said, heavy ship tourism areas (maybe with Israel in the downwind hazard area); the Red Sea, anywhere from the Suez South, between Egypt and Saudi, or Eritrea and Saudi, with less traffic; the Gulf of Aden, near Somalia in an area known for piracy, this would be more a cargo ship rather than a cruise ship or ferry.

Their target ship they would want to be as new and fast as possible, European registry would be a big plus, as they figure Americans would be less likely to fire on Europeans. It would have to be commandeered quickly, with all crew and passengers killed before it could give a radio distress. That would require insiders in the crew.

It would have to be on a long voyage that would take it near the fleet in the first place, in restrictive waters to allow it in close even before the deception began.

As much as it sounds like a 'B' movie, the act is solely to close the distance with the carrier. For this they may claim hostages have been taken, and ask for hostage rescue--anything delay and to get closer.

Finally, when the jig is up, they figure the ship can be severely damaged and still close the gap, so they will take a lot of fires before they are disabled, fighting for the last few meters of distance.
Posted by: Anonymoose || 03/20/2006 13:47 Comments || Top||

#29  'Moose, I like your train of thought and am glad that you are on our side. Rubber boats will have less RCS that a metallic one so a night time approach or other mischief making would likely go un detected. I think that the easiest way to shut down the Straits is to hijack and then scuttle a tanker. Not a lot of crew to defend it and by the time help arrived, it is quite likely that it would have arrived at a suitable choke point. Or even an Iranian-flagged merchantman would restrict the waterways. I don't think we have a lot of time left to dither and play 'what-if' games, because the MMs are gonna do something stupid.
Posted by: USN, ret. || 03/20/2006 14:31 Comments || Top||

#30  Could a LNG tanker be rigged to make as big a boom as a small nuke?
Posted by: 3dc || 03/20/2006 14:38 Comments || Top||

#31  wow yeah one of those suckers really would boom i bet, interesting side point on tankers, not sure which issue but an old air forces monthly i have lying around somewhere i need to find has a piece about attacks on tankers during the Iran Iraq war, apparently tankers can take amazing amounts of damage as the oil would simply soak up the impact from exocets that were used (by raqi's i think) . A very very tough job indeed to sink a very large tanker or super tanker.Perhaps of no relevence to this but there you go lol. I'm thinking the best way to stop thier navy is to smash to bits all of thier ports and navy stuff, after a couple of days thier navy will be inoperable.
Posted by: ShepUK || 03/20/2006 14:57 Comments || Top||

#32  we ought to have drowned the lot of them.

Oh, no. They have intelligence value.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble || 03/20/2006 14:57 Comments || Top||

#33  someone explain to me why im trying to sing the village people song 'In th Navy' but in an Iranian style!! arrrghhhh
Posted by: ShepUK || 03/20/2006 15:00 Comments || Top||

#34  . . . apparently tankers can take amazing amounts of damage . . .

True in WWII as well, so long as they're not carrying something volatile like refined gasoline. Tankers are subdivided into bunches and bunches of water-tight (oil-tight) compartments, and have the pumps to do counterflooding.
Posted by: Mike || 03/20/2006 15:15 Comments || Top||

#35  Actually the best defense against small boats would be A-10s and Apache helicopters, with F/A-18 top cover. The A-10 is more than fast enough to catch anything missed in the first pass. Hellfire and 25MM cannon fire will sink anything short of a frigate. I wouldn't be surprised to learn that we stationed a few dozen of each in Oman. We've had basing privileges there for a couple of decades at a military airfield just south of the capital.
Posted by: Old Patriot || 03/20/2006 15:40 Comments || Top||

#36  USN, ret.: A short time ago, a very old USN, ret. had a lovely suggestion to me as to how to deal with a flotilla attack of that sort:

5" guns firing WP with proximity fuses.

Some people have no sense of humor about these things. I still feel a tad queasy just thinking about it.
Posted by: Anonymoose || 03/20/2006 15:52 Comments || Top||

#37  Chung-Hoon...

Thinking...

Wasn't he a destroyer captain in WW2 whose ship fought off a bunch of kamikaze attacks?
Posted by: Phil || 03/20/2006 16:02 Comments || Top||

#38  One technique would be to hijack a commercial cruise ship of a third country, while pretending to be al-Qaeda, and put the bomb on board. Then, while sending all sorts of distress messages, and calling for assistance, take the ship at full speed towards the fleet, with the idea of getting it close enough for the bomb to severely damage or destroy the carrier. Guesstimate within 5 miles for a 15kt bomb.

Remember that the USN conducted tests right after WW2 with warships at anchor and within the blast zone.

See

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Crossroads

The danger of an underwater nuclear detonation is real, but it has to be essentially right underneath the target fleet. I'm not at all convinced that the Iranians have the sophistication to build a 20-kt+ device, deploy it to a specific point to catch a USNfleet, and then detonate it right underneath the fleet as it passes by.

The USN isn't stupid about this sort of thing you know.

As to hijacking a cruise ship and then sailing it into a USN fleet concentration only the dumbest admiral on the planet would fall for something like that and USN admirals didn;t get to be admirals by being stupid or allowing the fleets under their command to be mousetrapped like this.

Posted by: FOTSGreg || 03/20/2006 16:10 Comments || Top||

#39  you know everyone this is a most interesting subject, everyone has there own ideas and ideal ways of dealing with em - im begining to lean tward not even letting them get close in the first place by having smaller boats - i dunno what class but similer size but like a big coastgaurd sized ship is - what about 1000 tones or whatever? anyway have them as pickets out on the flanks and use them essentially as sea borne forward air controlers to call in air power. another thought - back in nam didnt gunships have them sensors that detect engines on them, engines from ground vehicles that was then but could that be adapted for seaborne use? got a funny feeling it was called black crow but do not take that as a sure thing.what about a big fck off net towed by a C5 or 747 and just scoop em all up and go home with the haul. Pirate fishing.
Posted by: ShepUK || 03/20/2006 16:14 Comments || Top||

#40  ShepUK, you may be thinking of the "Black Crows." It is an organization of America's original stealth pioneers. They were the ones who would toss out sackfulls of aluminum foil confetti to jam enemy radar.

How interesting! While searching on this topic, I think I hit what you're referring to:

Black Crow [USA]: This equipment detects the ignition systems of piston engines.

Fitted to AC-130 gunships.


http://www.hazegray.org/faq/acr1.htm

The cyclical nature and spark gap output of a common internal combustion engine should stick out like a sore thumb in the RF spectrum.

Posted by: Zenster || 03/20/2006 16:33 Comments || Top||

#41  oh ace i wasnt being dellusional, i often wondered if they still use similer gear today, sounds like neat stuff.
Posted by: ShepUK || 03/20/2006 16:40 Comments || Top||

#42  Nimble #32-
Isn't it ironic that prisoners can have intelligence value without having any evidence of being intelligent?
Posted by: Glenmore || 03/20/2006 17:00 Comments || Top||

#43 
Rear Admiral Gordon Pai'ea Chung-Hoon
1910 - 1979

Rear Admiral Gordon Pai'ea Chung-Hoon was born on July 25, 1910, in Honolulu, Hawaii. The second youngest of five Chung-Hoon children, he attended the U.S. Naval Academy and graduated in May 1934. While at the Naval Academy, he was a valued member of the Navy Football team.

Rear Admiral Chung-Hoon is a recipient of the Navy Cross and Silver Star for conspicuous gallantry and extraordinary heroism as commanding officer of USS Sigsbee (DD 502) from May 1944 to October 1945. In the spring of 1945, Sigsbee assisted in the destruction of 20 enemy planes while screening a carrier strike force off the Japanese island of Kyushu. On April 14, 1945, while on radar picket station off Okinawa, a kamikaze crashed into Sigsbee, reducing her starboard engine to five knots and knocking out the ship's port engine and steering control. Despite the damage, Admiral Chung-Hoon, then a Commander, valiantly kept his anti-aircraft batteries delivering "prolonged and effective fire" against the continuing enemy air attack while simultaneously directing the damage control efforts that allowed Sigsbee to make port under her own power.
Posted by: Mike || 03/20/2006 17:54 Comments || Top||

#44  He sounds like a real american hero, Mike. Thanks!
Posted by: trailing wife || 03/20/2006 18:48 Comments || Top||

#45  Oh, for a minute there I thought we were posting about "U.S. In Exercise Battle with Iran for Control of Persian Gulf". Foolish me.

Mike -- thanks for sharing this feat of valor and bravery. A true hero.
Posted by: Captain America || 03/20/2006 19:07 Comments || Top||

#46  FOTSGreg: ordinarily yes, however the eastern Med is crawling with passenger shipping, and in certain areas, such as the ports of southern Turkey and the northern mouth of the Suez canal at Port Said, there's bound to be unavoidable concentrations of US Naval, commercial and passenger shipping.

Likewise, the Bab el Mandeb waterway, which connects the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden is a potential trouble spot. With possible hostile support from bad guyz in Yemen or Somalia.

A low-tech way to get a nuke detonation "directly below" a fleet would be to have the nuke connected by a cable to a ship many miles away that would trigger detonation. The ship could drop the nuke, then reel out the cable to far outside the fleet's alert zone, then drop anchor and wait.

I suppose you might go so far as to encase the nuke in concrete to shield it from magnetometers and radiacmeters, but that's a technical point.

However, unlike the cruise ship, this does not give even the slightest plausible deniability to the Iranians, so while it might be more effective tactically, strategically they would prefer to blame it on al-Qaeda, and get away scott free.
Posted by: Anonymoose || 03/20/2006 19:56 Comments || Top||


Eight killed in Iran clashes
Tehran, Iran, Mar. 19 – Eight freedom-fighters people were killed during a gun-battle with Iran’s paramilitary police in the eastern province of Khorassan Razavi, state television reported on Sunday. The eight freedom-fighters rebels were killed after armed clashes broke out in the border town of Taybad, the report quoted Brigadier General Radan, the commander of State Security Forces in the province, as having said.

Details were sketchy but the report said that the incident took place near the Sorkh well in the town and that all eight rebels who were involved in the clashes were killed. They had entered to create "liberty" “insecurity” and "freedom" “trouble”, the report said, without identifying them further.
Posted by: Steve White || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [277 views] Top|| File under:

#1  See, we shouldn't have gone in there and deposed the mullahs. Now Iran is on the brink of civil war as violence increases as a result of sectarian strife blah blah blah.
Posted by: Matt || 03/20/2006 11:30 Comments || Top||


Fatah to round up arms in Lebanon refugee camps
RASHIDIYEH - Fatah’s chief in Lebanon said on Sunday his Palestinian faction would round up weapons from refugee camps amid growing calls for militias in the country to be disbanded. “We have decided to collect all the weapons we possess, including individual arms, and put them in secure places (inside the camps), in accordance with the wishes of the inter-Lebanese dialogue conference,” said Sultan Abul Aynain.
I like this; makes the job of an American or Israeli F-16 much easier.
There are believed to be 380,000 Palestinians living in Lebanon, many of them in dire conditions in 12 refugee camps.
Kept that way by the UNRWA and their fellow Arabs.
Parliamentary speaker Nabih Berri said on Tuesday that participants in the inter-Lebanese talks supported disarming Palestinians outside the camps in six months and “the state re-establishing its authority on all Lebanese territory”.
Which would be a first, and wouldn't have happened without George, Condi and Jaques.
A September 2004 UN Security Council Resolution calls on Lebanon to assert sovereignty on all its territory and disarm all militias, including armed Palestinian factions and the armed wing of Lebanese Shiite movement Hezbollah.

Aynain also reasserted the authority of the Palestine Liberation Organisation -- of which Fatah is the largest faction -- as the only legitimate representative of Palestinians in Lebanon. The PLO does not include Palestinian Islamist groups such as Hamas, which trounced Fatah in January’s elections, or pro-Syrian groups such as the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General Command, which has been involved in a number of shooting incidents outside Palestinian camps.
They'll try to hold their weapons out, likely in the Bekaa, or held in trust by their Syrian overlords.
Posted by: Steve White || 03/20/2006 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [276 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Why do I forsee large "disturbances" in the camp's future?
Posted by: mojo || 03/20/2006 1:10 Comments || Top||

#2  With the drastic cutoff of finances, is this their new weapons "procurement" program?
Posted by: Zenster || 03/20/2006 12:10 Comments || Top||

#3  I was under the impression that the various factions are about equal in terms of weaponry and numbers of cousins to call on. The collection process should prove even more interesting than everyday life in the camps.
Posted by: trailing wife || 03/20/2006 18:51 Comments || Top||


Terror Networks
Binny maintaining hi-tech Pakistani hideout
The U.S. intelligence community has quietly concluded that Osama Bin Laden was in a town in Pakistan. Intelligence sources said major U.S. agencies have assessed that the Al Qaida chief has relocated from the Afghanistan-Pakistani border to a town or city within Pakistan. The sources said Bin Laden was equipped with advanced communications. "There seems to have been changes made and Bin Laden is now in a position where he has the capability to be in communications with people anywhere in the world," an intelligence source said.

The assessment was drafted in wake of Bin Laden's taped message in December 2005, the first in more than a year. The sources said several intelligence agencies analyzed the content of the message and determined that Bin Laden has maintained steady contact with the outside world.
Posted by: Dan Darling || 03/20/2006 05:45 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [311 views] Top|| File under:

#1  I found his secret lair:
http://decipher.fanhq.com/Resources/CardImages/AUST-EN01123.gif
Posted by: Listen To Dogs || 03/20/2006 7:11 Comments || Top||

#2  Is that the one under the ISI's Rawalpindi headquarters?
Posted by: ed || 03/20/2006 8:33 Comments || Top||

#3 
Posted by: doc || 03/20/2006 9:06 Comments || Top||

#4  Remember he's partial to CNN. Even yachts far from port have access to the internet.
Posted by: Danielle || 03/20/2006 10:43 Comments || Top||

#5  ed: Rawalpindi

yep thats what john said....my moneys on Rawalpindi.

Posted by: RD || 03/20/2006 12:02 Comments || Top||

#6  I bet one of our hackers caould find him tonight.
Posted by: newc || 03/20/2006 12:50 Comments || Top||

#7  Yes. This was my allegation -

All major Al Qaeda terrorists have been captured in Pakistan's major cities.

We know the ISI used the Konduz airlift not just to extricate thier trainers but many high value terrorists as well. From Afghanistan to a Pak air force base and then to military cantonments.

Perv probably drives past Bin Laden's safehouse every day on his way to work.

Posted by: john || 03/20/2006 13:26 Comments || Top||

#8  Can't touch me. What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas.

Isn't that some International Law or something???
Posted by: danking_70 || 03/20/2006 13:29 Comments || Top||

#9  There are a few husbands that hope so LOL.
Posted by: lotp || 03/20/2006 13:41 Comments || Top||

#10  My second guess he is in that cryogenic place in Arizona, right down the aisle from Ted Williams head...
Posted by: capsu78 || 03/20/2006 16:55 Comments || Top||

#11  :> Danking
Posted by: 6 || 03/20/2006 17:05 Comments || Top||

#12  Is it carved out of a volcano, like I asked?
Posted by: mojo || 03/20/2006 17:45 Comments || Top||



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