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Tests confirm Turkey's bird flu deaths, WHO urges calm
This is worrying. There are reports of 20 to 30 people hospitalized with bird flu symptoms, in addition to the 3 lab confirmed cases. This is a large number in a short period of time - less than a week.

To get these kinds of numbers, either the virus has got better at jumping from chickens or it has got better at transmitting between humans. The family clusters - 4 in one family and apparently 10 in another strongly indicates it has become better at transmitting between humans.

If the numbers continue to grow over the next week or so, then we may well have the start of a pandemic on our hands.

And BTW, when the WHO says 'don't panic' which it has, then that is the time to panic.

Posted by: phil_b 2006-01-07
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=139206