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China's Maturing Navy (Long Analysis)
Rear Admiral Eric A. McVadon, U.S. Navy (Retired)Naval War College Review, Spring 2006, Vol. 59, No. 2 The East Asia security environment in which China is emerging demands that the matter of a maturing Chinese navy be put in a political context. Tension across the Taiwan Strait has recently relaxed. In Beijing, the leaders of economically successful and internationally active China do not want to jeopardize the nations prospects for a bright future by initiating military conflict with Taiwan and the United Statesquite the contrary. In Taipei, despite profound disagreement with Beijing and a major stir in domestic politics, a cautious posture in relations with Beijing now prevails. So, remarkably, amid deep, persistent, and mutual distrust, the current prospects for avoiding conflict across the Taiwan Strait are good. Well-informed Chinese officials and prestigious Americans who have had exchanges with senior Chinese leaders confirm the relaxed circumstances and express the conviction that Beijing is confident about the situation as Chinese leaders see it developing and that Taiwan, again content with the status quo, will remain measured in its actions. War across the Taiwan Strait is not looming. Nevertheless, Beijing is, by modernizing its military, ensuring that things will not go awry in Taiwan, that its policy of intimidation continues to work. The indisputable reality is that this militarythe Peoples Liberation Army (or PLA), and particularly its naval component, the PLA Navy (or PLAN)is growing greatly in capability; further, it is a growing concern to defense and naval leaders in Washington, D.C., and other capitals, including Tokyo and Taipei. In a time of American preoccupation with the global war on terrorism, it is appropriate to draw attention to the crucial features of this modernization of components of the PLA. Beijing, if the Taiwan problem were to suffer a dramatic reversal, would have available an impressive force acquired for this purpose. If that force were effectively deployed, it would be sufficient in terms of hardware to undertake a two-pronged, PLA Navyled campaign, with a big maritime component, against Taiwan and U.S. forces in a fashion that could be termed jointness with Chinese characteristics... (Article continues with detailed analysis at link.) Posted by: Anonymoose 2006-04-21 |
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