E&Y: China's Non-Performing Loans at $900 billion
The 2006 Ernst & Young Global Nonperforming Loan Report 2006 does point out though that almost every country covered in the 2004 edition of the reportwith the notable exception of Chinahas managed to reduce its legacy NPLs (loans made before 1997). There are signs even in China that transaction activity may be on the rise. China is poised to allow foreign investors access to its banking industry and, despite a slow start, the NPL disposition process has accelerated there in the last 12 months.
However, considering Ernst & Youngs own conservative estimate of the actual depth of Chinas total NPL exposureat US$900 billion, substantially more than any other country in the reportand the large numbers of legacy (pre1997) loans still to resolve, Chinas NPL problems appear far from over. As reported, Chinas overheated property markets are certain to produce fresh NPLs in coming years.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble 2006-05-04 |