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They Lied: Anti-war group’s Nov. 2002 Predictions
Severely EFL & tip O the hat to Andrew Sullivan
Collateral Damage:
the health and environmental costs of war on Iraq was issued in London on 12 November 2002 by the global anti-war health organisation Medact, the UK affiliate of International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War and simultaneously released by in the UK, US and over a dozen other countries. Up to four million people could die in a war on Iraq involving nuclear weapons.
Did the docs think that Saddam had nukes and would use them? Hmmm
A more contained conflict could cause half a million deaths and have a devastating impact on the lives, health and environment of the combatants, Iraqi civilians, and people in neighbouring countries and beyond. It could also damage the global economy and thus indirectly harm the health and well-being of millions more people across the world.
The sky is falling! The sky is falling!
Researched and written by health professionals, this evidence-based report examines the likely impact of a new war on Iraq from a public health perspective. Credible estimates of the total possible deaths on all sides during the conflict and the following three months range from 48,000 to over 260,000. Civil war within Iraq could add another 20,000 deaths. Additional later deaths from post-war adverse health effects could reach 200,000. If nuclear weapons were used the death toll could reach 3,900,000. In all scenarios the majority of casualties will be civilians.
And the actual causalties on both sides were a fraction of this. Leave the intel gathering and analysis to less emotional professionals.
The aftermath of a ’conventional’ war could include civil war, famine and epidemics, millions of refugees and displaced people, catastrophic effects on children’s health and development, economic collapse including failure of agriculture and manufacturing, and a requirement for long-term peacekeeping.
You want to see civil war? Pull coalition troops out soon as the Dims are suggesting and you’ll see all the civil war you want.
Thanks to the oil revenues and social policies hundreds of thousands of people were murdered and thousands of women raped of Saddam Hussein’s dictatorship, Iraq pre 1991 had become a reasonably prosperous, urbanised, middle-income country with a modern social infrastructure and good public services. The combined effects of war and sanctions, only partly offset by the humanitarian relief of the Oil-for-Palaces Food programme, relegated it to a pre-industrial age

There’s much more if you have the stomach. They lied to protect a brutal dictator and his sons.

They'll have a similar report on wherever we decide to hit next. And it'll be just as accurate. Count on it.

Posted by: Gasse Katze 2003-12-07
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=22349