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Besieged and belittled, Tigers may return to guerrilla warfare

If Prabhakaran's gonna go back to humping mortars through the jungle he'll have to lose about 60 of those pounds hanging around his middle. But I suspect those natty tiger-striped jungle fatigues have never been drenched in sweat. While the hoi polloi are dragging their tired backsides through the bush or exploding in Colombo, he'll be in Dubhai or Cannes or Stockholm meeting with money men and plotting his comeback.
A pledge by Sri Lanka's Tamil rebel leader to fight on despite a military onslaught raised fears on Friday of a return to a hit-and-run guerrilla war as his mini-state faced potential collapse.

Separatist chief Super Mario Velupillai Prabhakaran vowed Thursday the rebels would "continue with our struggle until the alien Sinhala occupation of our land is evicted," referring to Sri Lanka's majority Sinhalese population, and appealed to Tamils abroad for support to shore up his military machine. Government forces have surrounded Prabhakaran in his political capital of Kilinochchi in the biggest-ever military campaign in the history of Sri Lanka's armed separatist struggle, which dates back to 1972.

Prabhakaran's speech delivered over Voice of Tigers radio contained veiled threats against civilians and suggestions the rebels would revert to hit-and-run attacks as their territory shrank, observers said. "Prabhakaran acknowledges there's fighting all around him and that he's under siege," said retired army brigadier general Vipul Boteju. "When he says he will fight on, it means he will return to his classic guerrilla tactics."

State radio warned Friday that Tiger rebels could resort to "desperate attacks" and called for public vigilance as heavy fighting raged in the island's northern regions where Tamils predominate. Security across the country had been stepped up, officials said, after a spate of bombings in Colombo and elsewhere targeting key political and military figures as well as government installations. Recent bombings against public transport were seen as retaliation for similar strikes by security forces inside rebel-held territory where the Tigers have maintained a mini-state since 1990, including their own police, courts and banks in Kilinochchi. "No sane voice is being raised either to abandon war or to seek peaceful resolution to the conflict," Prabhakaran said in his broadcast, adding the Sinhalese community across the board supported the war.

Rebel-turned-politician Dharmalingam Sithadthan said Prabhakaran had accused all members of the majority Sinhalese community of supporting the government's war effort. "This suggests he's preparing the ground to justify indiscriminate attacks against civilians," Sithadthan said. "When the LTTE is militarily weakened, they will resort to high-profile guerrilla attacks." He said he saw the guerrillas going back to the hit-and-run tactics they had adopted in the early 1980s.
Posted by: Fred 2008-11-29
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=256154