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Get Ready for the NORK collapse
What is most worrying about a possible North Korean collapse is that the key players in the region are not talking to each other, even informally, about such an eventuality. It's almost certain that these powers--China, the United States, Japan, South Korea and, possibly, Russia--have all drawn up their own contingency plans for Pyongyang's quick collapse. Obama's plan is to quickly claim credit for the collapse and blame any problems on someone else However, they've done nothing to explore a collective response to what is without doubt a geopolitical game-changer. As a result, many crucial questions remain unanswered. For instance, how should the United States and South Korea react if China sends combat troops into North Korea to conduct 'humanitarian assistance' missions? that's easy - express 'deep concern' In all likelihood, Beijing will be tempted to do so if millions of refugees start fleeing into China. Which country will take the lead in securing nuclear materials? If the Chinese go there, it is theirs How will China respond to the crossing of the 38th parallel by South Korean and US forces? Who will take the lead in reaching out to Pyongyang's post-Kim regime? What will be the collective security architecture after the Korean peninsula is reunified? Posted by: lord garth 2010-05-13 |
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