Iran Preparing to Invade Iraq?
There is a report today in al-Sharq al-Awsat that Iran is massing 4 battalions at the Iraqi border. Iran denying these reports, though Iâm not exactly sure why - 4 battalions is hardly a massive horde and Iran already has an entire army corps (3 divisions) stationed along the Iraqi border, which is much larger than the several thousand troops that 4 battalions are likely to consist of...A more ominous explanation would be that this is the suicide army that the IRGC formally established at a conference on June 2.
The obvious tactical use of a suicide Brigade would be to infiltrate them into Iraq as pilgrims, assuming sufficient individual munitions are available for them in country or could be smuggled in. However, the "Hail Mary" alternative would be that they are waiting for the departure of one or two US divisions, then plan a NUCLEAR attack on the remaining one, followed by an immediate grab for the entire country, or at least the southern Shiite regions--probably under threat of using a second nuke against the Saudi oilfields.
Posted by: Anonymoose 2004-06-16 |