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IHME May 4 Forecast
 Between April 29 and May 4, their improvements to their model resulted in an 86% increase. Maybe G(r)omgoru was right, all along? [Covid.HealthData] Based on our updated model and latest available data, a projected 134,475 cumulative COVID-19 deaths (estimate range of 95,092 to 242,890) could occur in the US through August. These projections are considerably higher than previous estimates, representing the combined effects of death model updates and formally incorporating the effect of changes in mobility and social distancing policies into transmission dynamics. IHME Commentary Posted by: Bobby 2020-05-05 |
| http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=570605 |