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Can the United States and Communist China escape the Thucydides's Trap?
[belfercenter] A perilous trap but uncertain outcome

Today, an irresistible rising China is on course to collide with an immovable America. The likely result of this competition was identified by the great historian Thucydides, who wrote: "It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable."

But the point of Destined for War is not to predict the future but to prevent it. Escaping Thucydides’s Trap is not just a theoretical possibility. In four of the 16 cases, including three from the 20th century, imaginative statecraft averted war.

Can Washington and Beijing steer their ships of state through today’s treacherous shoals? Only if they learn and apply the lessons of history.
Yes, but we have the wokester Biden administration on our side, and they have Chinese blind arrogance and that demographic dead end rapidly approaching. Interesting times all round.

Posted by: Besoeker 2021-03-11
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=596781