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Crisis in Transcaucasia: Who Wins?
Direct translation of the articleA view of the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict from a Russian by Pavel Kukhmirov [Sevastopol] Pashinyan announced Armenia's readiness to withdraw troops from the border with Azerbaijan. He said this last Saturday. “We are ready at any time to begin the withdrawal of troops and we are waiting for the OSCE Minsk Group mediators to reach an agreement with Azerbaijan and at the same time to begin the withdrawal of troops in the section from Sotk (Gegharkunik region in eastern Armenia - approx.) To Khoznavar (Syunik region in southern Armenia - note) ", - he said at a meeting with the activists of the party" Civil Contract "headed by him. According to Pashinyan, Armenia is ready, under the auspices of the OSCE Minsk Group, to begin work on clarifying border points with Azerbaijan and to restore the negotiation process on the Karabakh settlement. Quite an amusing statement by Mr. Pashinyan, especially given his previous behavior. Which boiled down mainly to two things: inaction and a desire to substitute Russia as much as possible. According to common sense, after the invasion of the Azerbaijani military into Armenian territory, he had every opportunity to take the most decisive actions, which, ideally, could even ended with some revision of the results of the Karabakh war. This would be the case when Pashinyan had a full and justified right to even turn to Russia for military assistance. But he didn't do anything. Instead, in the Armenian information space, at the suggestion of the Propashinyan activists, another campaign of hatred against Russia began - they say, they are bad allies, they do not protect Armenian interests. This is a wonderful formulation of the question. But the interests of Russia itself in this situation are dubious. And it is quite possible to ask the question: who benefits from all this? This is definitely not Armenia. The interests of which we are not talking about in principle. She herself is to blame. And not because of the loss in the war, but precisely because of the position of its political leadership and the infantilism of a significant part of the Armenian society. The Russian Federation, of course, can be blamed for anything, but not for violating allied obligations. Because no matter what they are, no one will fight for Armenia instead of the Armenians themselves. Together is possible. Instead - there are no fools. And if you guys want this, welcome to the Russian Federation as a province. But after all, Mr. Pashinyan's task is not to defend Armenia, is it? Russia is not a winner either. For her, this whole situation is one complete loss of face and an undermining of geopolitical interests. And here she is also to blame. Not because of the "violation of allied obligations" -- it was neither formally nor in fact. And because she did not remove Mr. Pashinyan from power after the defeat in the war, to which she had all the possibilities. Instead, they decided that Pashinyan should be left for now, so that he would fulfill the peace agreements. As a result, this "for now" can drag on and is already leading to the current lewdness. There are no comments at all. But, paradoxically, independent Azerbaijan does not win either. Which right now is behaving extremely shortsightedly: only by maintaining decent relations with the Russian Federation, he can counterbalance the influence of Turkey. But she will swallow his independence and will not choke. Does Azerbaijan, which won a fundamental victory, now want to merge under someone else, turning into a puppet bantustan or even into someone's wilayet? I suppose it is unlikely. But at the moment, according to the apt expression of one of the experts, Azerbaijanis are behaving like traders in the market, trying to snatch at any cost, without relying on a long-term strategy. And Turkey is the winner, increasing its influence. And America, which, with the hands of Pashinyan and other people from the structures of Mr. Soros, is destroying the Russian presence in the region and organizing potential pockets of controlled chaos there. And it doesn't matter that Armenia itself is handed over on a platter. She's not the first. Do the Armenians themselves need this? They will answer this question at the elections. But does Russia need it? This is for whom the time has really come to draw conclusions. And first of all, the conclusions about their own policy in the region and those who determine it. Posted by: badanov 2021-06-01 |
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