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Russian preparing an assault in Kiev
[Facebook - Clarice Feldman] ISW: Russian forces continued concentrating in the eastern, northwestern, and western outskirts of Kyiv for an assault on the capital in the coming 24-96 hours. The reported appearance of forces belonging to Chechen leader Ramazan Kadyrov, Russia’s Rosgvardia internal security formations, and the Liga (former Wagner) Private Military Company in the western outskirts of Kyiv may indicate that the Russian military is struggling to assemble sufficient conventional combat power to launch its assault on the capital. Russian forces near Kyiv made limited gains and prepared for limited drives to continue their attempted encirclement to the west. Ukrainian forces have continued to challenge the lengthy Russian ground lines of communication leading from near Sumy to eastern Kyiv. Russian forces near Kharkiv have been steadily diverting to secure and extend those lines over the past few days, as we have reported. The Ukrainian General Staff reported on March 8 that Russian troops currently near Chernihiv appear to be moving east. We assess that those forces may seek to link up with troops coming from near Sumy to help them consolidate and protect their extended lines in support of the planned offensive against Kyiv. The situation in eastern Ukraine and southwestern Ukraine remained largely unchanged in the past 24 hours. Ukrainian General Staff reporting of additional Russian efforts to advance on the city of Zaporizhya likely confirm that Russia intends to make blocking that city a priority. The forces Russia is so far moving toward Zaporizhya appear to be far too small to encircle or take it. Russian forces are consolidating and preparing for further operations along the western and eastern outskirts of Kyiv, especially in the Irpin area in the west and the Brovary area in the east; Ukrainian forces are challenging the extended Russian lines reaching from Sumy, which Russian forces have not yet taken, to the eastern outskirts of Kyiv; Russian troops are likely attempting to bypass Mykolayiv and cross the Southern Bug upriver of that city to permit an advance on Odesa combined with an impending amphibious operation against that city; and Russian forces are also driving north from Crimea toward the city of Zaporizhya. Related: Rosgvardia: 2022-01-14 Russian FSB detains seven ISIS Bad Guys Rosgvardia: 2021-12-23 122,000 Russian troops deployed within a 200km operational distance from the borders of Ukraine, as well as another 143,500 troops within a distance of 400km Rosgvardia: 2021-12-01 Rosgvardia generals suspected of embezzlement and abuse Related: Wagner: 2022-03-06 Expert Sivkov estimated losses among Russian troops in Ukraine at 0.1% Wagner: 2022-02-26 Day Z + 1. On the outskirts of Kiev Wagner: 2022-02-09 SOHR: 150 Syrian Mercenaries Arrive in Libya Posted by: badanov 2022-03-09 |
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