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World's population will hit EIGHT BILLION on November 15, India set to surpass China as most populated nation next year
India rising, China falling — the future belongs to those who show up.
[Daily Mail, where America gets its news]
  • 2030, the world's population will reach 8.5 billion and by 2100, 10.4 billion
    ...or somewhat less, given how many countries have been overcounting their populations...
  • Population growth was growing at its slowest pace since 1950, estimates show

  • India's population was 1.21 billion in 2011 and will now surpass China at 1.4 billion

  • In 2021, the average fertility of the world's population stood at 2.3 births per woman over a lifetime, having fallen from about 5 births in 1950

  • Global fertility is projected to decline further to 2.1 births per woman by 2050


Researcher questions China's population data, says it may be lower
Dec 3, 2021
[Reuters] China may be downplaying how fast its population is shrinking, and a recent policy to promote three-child families has poor chances to improve birth rates, a fertility expert told the Rooters Next conference on Friday.Fuxian Yi, senior scientist in the obstetrics and gynecology department at the University of Wisconsin, said he estimated that China’s 2020 population was 1.28 billion rather than the 1.41 billion census number reported and that fertility rates were lower than reported.

Yi estimates that China's population has been shrinking since 2018.

China’s government did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The country's rapidly shrinking birth rate has raised concerns of slower economic growth and the potential challenges created by fewer workers supporting an older population.

Beijing scrapped its decades-old one-child policy in 2016, replacing it with a two-child limit to try to stave off those risks. In May a three-child policy was announced as the birth rates continued to drop given the high cost of raising children in Chinese cities.

China had a fertility rate of just 1.3 children per woman in 2020, recent state data showed, on par with aging societies like Japan and Italia and far short of the roughly 2.1 needed for replacement level.

Yi estimates that the real fertility rate is much lower based on a drop in fertility rates over the years by China’s ethnic minority groups which were not restricted by the one-child policy, and he calculated the population based on his own lower estimate rates.

Yi said local governments overstate their population to obtain more subsidies, including education fees they collect from the central government. He said that with over 20 social benefits linked to a birth registration, some families were using the black market to buy a second birth certificate online.

"The population numbers have been inflated mainly for financial benefits," Yi said.




Posted by: Skidmark 2022-07-12
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=638165