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Threatening Directions
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin:

[ColonelCassad] It is worth noting that the current enemy attacks in the Krivoy Rog-Nikopol and Svatovsko-Krasnolymansk directions may act as a distraction before the impending strike in the Zaporozhye region.

The enemy may well strive to ensure that the command of the RF Armed Forces transfers part of its reserves to threatening areas to strengthen the defense of Kherson, Svatovo and Kremennaya, and then strike from the area of ​​Orekhov and Gulyaipol. Potential targets of the offensive are Vasilievka and further Energodar (in conjunction with the landing force across the Dnieper at the ZNPP), Tokmak, Pologi.

Even last week, there was a transfer of echelons with equipment from the Kharkov region to Dnepropetrovsk. At the same time, personnel brigades at the front were actively replaced by Ukrainian militant units. Some of the formations that participated in the offensive near Balakleya are not recorded in the Kharkiv region today. Just as they are not fixed on the border with Belarus.

Of course, something can be transferred to the area of ​​​​Artemovsk and Chasy Yar to hold the city, but in the case of maneuvering reserves along internal lines, the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not have such a rich choice - either saturation of the Krivoy Rog and Nikopol groups for a subsequent strike on Berislav and further on Kherson. Or the saturation of the troops and equipment of the Zaporizhzhya group, which will launch an offensive no later than the end of October (perhaps in conjunction with some kind of provocation like the explosion of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station or the explosion of a dirty nuclear bomb, which the Russian Defense Ministry warns about).

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/68300 - zinc

Posted by: badanov 2022-10-25
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=647699