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Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: December 12th, 2022
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 22:32 This winter, a summit will be held on the implementation of the Ukrainian formula for peace, Zelensky said: “Whatever the aggressor is going to do, when the world is truly united, it is the world, not the aggressor, that determines how events will develop. This is us we offer to all conscientious states, to all who value the UN Charter and simply peace."

22:23 Zelensky, in an evening video message, urged to be ready for new Russian strikes: "Russia has not abandoned its terror tactics. The absence of massive missile strikes only means that the enemy is preparing for them and can strike at any time. Although it is obvious that and without light, we know very well where to shoot and what to release, Russia still hopes for blackouts.This is the last hope of the terrorists...Please take seriously the warnings from the Ukrainian military command, from our Air Force and air raid signals.At all levels, we must be prepared for any hostile intentions."

22:15 The bridge in the village of Konstantinovka in the suburbs of Melitopol was damaged, previously, explosives were placed at the support. Traffic on the bridge was suspended - the bridge survived, but the roadbed seriously sank, the "authorities" of the occupied part of the Zaporozhye region said.

Mayor of Melitopol Ivan Fedorov said that this is one of the strategically important bridges - it was through it that the invaders transported military equipment from the eastern direction.

22:02 EU foreign ministers failed to agree on the ninth package of sanctions against Russia, Borrell said. At the same time, he noted that the problem with harmonization is not in any particular EU member state, but in the fact that "there is no 100 percent agreement." He expressed hope that an agreement would be reached this week.

21:37 In Kiev, the limitation of electricity supply accounts for more than a third of consumption, and of the available volume, almost 40% goes to critical infrastructure, YASNO CEO Serhiy Kovalenko said.

21:28 The EU agreed on a package of sanctions against Iran due to the supply of weapons to Russia. According to Borrell, eight people and one organization are included in the sanctions list.

20:51 The head of the Odesa OVA Maxim Marchenko said that since the Russians monitor the progress of the repair work of the power grid, and then prepare new strikes based on this data, the progress of the repair work will be reported very limitedly.

20:46 Iran plans to limit the range of ballistic missiles that it is going to send to Russia, writes Axios, citing high-ranking sources from Israel. Thus, Tehran wants to prevent violations of the UN resolution. In particular, Fateh-110 missiles for 300 kilometers will be limited in range, and 700-kilometer Zolfaghar missiles will not be delivered to Russia at all.

19:54 Zelensky, during his speech at the G7 summit, named three steps that will accelerate the onset of peace:

  • The first step is new strength. Ukraine needs modern tanks, constant artillery support, cannons and shells, more rocket artillery and longer-range missiles.

  • The second is new strength. It is necessary to maintain financial, energy and social stability next year as well. "Not to lose in this is to win in everything," the President stressed.

  • The third step is a new diplomacy: "Ukraine has always been a leader in negotiating efforts and did everything to stop Russian aggression. And now we feel the opportunity to use diplomacy to bring closer the liberation of all our people and all our territories."

19:17 The G7 countries adopted a statement in which they promised Ukraine to restore and protect the country's critical energy and water infrastructure, and also expressed their intention to continue to provide military assistance with an emphasis on air defense systems.

19:14 In the Donetsk region, three pyrotechnicians were killed, the State Emergency Service reported. They carried out demining work in Konstantinovka, Kramatorsk region. As a result of the detonation of an explosive object, the head of the pyrotechnic department, the head of the underwater demining department and the senior sapper driver were killed. Two more pyrotechnicians were wounded.

18:35 The Russian army is focusing its efforts on conducting offensive operations in the Limansky, Bakhmutsky, Avdeevsky and Zaporozhye directions. In other directions, the enemy is trying to restrain the actions of units of the Ukrainian Defense Forces, the General Staff said in an evening summary.

According to the General Staff, in order to make up for losses in manpower and to replenish the units of the 1st Army Corps, women are called up for mobilization. Thus, 28 women have already been called up and sent for training by the Kalininsky District Military Commissariat of Donetsk.

18:28 The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has developed instructions for the safe surrender of Russian military personnel using a quadrocopter.

18:22 British Defense Secretary Ben Wallace did not rule out the possibility of supplying Ukraine with longer-range weapons systems: "I am constantly reviewing the weapons systems that we could provide. We also have more long-range systems in service. And if the Russians continue to shell civilian areas and will try to break the Geneva Conventions, then I will be open to see what we do next."

17:45 The EU Council of Ministers for Foreign Affairs adopted a resolution condemning Iran's actions in supplying weapons to Russia for use in the war against Ukraine: "The European Union strongly warns Iran against any new arms supplies to Russia, in particular against any steps in possible transfer of short-range ballistic missiles to Russia, which could lead to a serious escalation. The European Union will continue to respond to all actions to support Russian aggression against Ukraine and hold Iran accountable, including the application of additional restrictive measures."

The EU also expressed concern that Iranian weapons, including drones, were produced using components of international origin, including from Europe. The EU said it "looks forward to taking appropriate measures" to stop this practice.

17:42 Zelensky said in a special episode of the Netflix show that Putin is afraid of death, therefore he will not use nuclear weapons: "I saw his desire to live, he loves this life very much. He even sits at a long table, he is afraid of getting covid or something "more. It shows that he is afraid of death and loves life. I'm not sure that he is ready to use nuclear weapons." And in the case of the use of nuclear weapons, the reaction of any state "personally to him" will follow, Zelensky is convinced.

Zelensky also believes that if Putin dies, Russia's war against Ukraine will end: "When such a person leaves, institutions stop. Such a time was in the USSR. Russian institutions will stop working, and Russian politicians will deal with internal issues."

17:37 Over the past months, France has sent to Ukraine, including six 155-mm TRF1 towed howitzers, 18 Caesar self-propelled artillery mounts, two LRU rocket launchers and two Crotale anti-aircraft systems, Defense Minister Sebastian Lecornu said.

17:34 The approximate cost of emergency support for the electric power industry is estimated at $500 million, and for district heating - also at $500 million, Shmyhal said. According to him, as a result of Russian attacks on the electricity system, half of Ukraine's energy infrastructure was damaged.

17:32 In occupied Skadovsk, the car of collaborator Vitaly Bulyuk was blown up. He was taken to Simferopol with injuries, and the driver of the car died on the spot, Mayor Alexander Yakovlev told Suspilny.

17:25 Sanctions against the Russian energy sector and nuclear energy are not included in the ninth package of EU sanctions, Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said. According to him, Budapest advocated the exclusion of certain individuals from the package of sanctions, in total it is planned to impose sanctions against 141 people.

17:16 The EU has accumulated the volumes of gas needed to pass the winter period - the storage facilities are more than 90% full, said the head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen.

16:35 The Russian military is thrown into the forest belts without ammunition and food, said the head of the Lugansk OVA Sergey Gaidai: "The captured invaders admit that when they are taken to positions somewhere in the forest belts, the officers order to wait 12 hours, go for provisions and ammunition and already do not return to them, leave them with nothing."

According to Gaidai, a critical situation with medical care has developed in the occupied part of the Lugansk region. The wounded of moderate severity are quickly discharged and sent back to the front, while the seriously wounded simply do not have time to be taken to the medical facilities of Lugansk.

16:07 The World Bank plans to allocate another $1.7 billion in financial assistance to Ukraine by the end of 2022, said Anna Bjerde, Vice President of the World Bank for Europe and Central Asia. The remaining funds, she said, will be allocated early next year. Bjerde added that more than 50% of all economic aid provided to Ukraine since the beginning of the war has gone through the World Bank.

15:59 Over the past week, thanks to the work of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the resistance forces in the occupied territories of the Zaporozhye region, more than ten enemy military bases have been destroyed, Mayor of Melitopol Ivan Fedorov said. In particular, a checkpoint with Russian personnel in Novobogdanovka was destroyed over the weekend; the radar station of the occupiers near Semyonovka "suffered"; two Russian bases were liquidated - a school in the village of Maiskoye and an enterprise in Pologi, captured by the occupiers.

And the hottest thing was in Melitopol - a blow was struck on the hotel and restaurant complex, where the FSB unit lived and the Ossetian military rested. Moreover, this building is located in the lower part of the city next to the top bases of military equipment, personnel and administrations of the occupiers, so the Russian air defense did not show itself too well.

15:51 The SBU has identified six Russian generals who organized and ensured the armed invasion of the occupying forces into the territory of the Kharkiv region. They gave direct orders for the occupation of settlements. They were declared suspected of violating the territorial integrity of Ukraine and waging an aggressive war.

15:38 The Russians shelled Kherson again - this time the enemy attacked the KhBK microdistrict. It is known about two dead and five wounded, said the head of the OVA, Yaroslav Yanushevich. Also, emergency medical teams, together with the Red Cross, are sent to the Ostrov microdistrict. The number of victims is currently unknown.

15:24 The Council of the EU agreed to increase the European Peace Fund, from which the European Union reimburses member states for the supply of weapons to Ukraine. In particular, the EU Council decided to increase the overall financial ceiling by 2 billion euros (in 2018 prices) in 2023, with the possibility of further increases. The agreement will be formalized in early 2023.

14:50 Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Nasser Kanani Chafi once again stated that cooperation between Tehran and Moscow is based on common interests and is not directed against third countries. According to him, Tehran did not send weapons to "any of the parties."

The representative of the Iranian Foreign Ministry stressed that statements about the construction of unmanned aerial vehicles by his country on the territory of the Russian Federation and the purchase of missiles by Moscow from Tehran are "politically motivated and made by parties that constantly provide weapons to one of the parties to the conflict, which contributes to its continuation."

14:43 Russia produces about 40 new missiles per month, Vadim Skibitsky, spokesman for the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, said. According to him, the Russian Federation has been able to manufacture 240 precision Kh-101 cruise missiles and almost 120 Kalibr sea-based cruise missiles since the start of a full-scale war against Ukraine.

In addition, after shelling, Ukrainian intelligence officers began to detect Kh-55 subsonic cruise missiles, which were manufactured in the 1970s to carry a nuclear warhead. The warhead has been removed and ballast added to disguise the fact that it does not carry a payload. These missiles are made at the Ukrainian arms factory. Skibitsky believes that they were most likely part of the weapons that Ukraine transferred to Russia back in the 1990s as part of the Budapest Memorandum.

According to Skibitsky, Russia is using old Ukrainian missiles as bait to force air defenses against them. After the air defense is activated, Russian bombers launch more modern missiles with devastating warheads. In addition to missiles, the Russians also use Tu-160 and Tu-95 strategic bombers transferred by Ukraine under the Budapest Memorandum.

14:31 The head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, hopes that the EU will be able to agree on a gas price ceiling in the coming days. She urged countries to sign emergency measures, including a proposal to cap gas prices. Energy ministers intend to reach an agreement on Tuesday, December 13, but disagreements over the introduction of restrictions remain, writes Bloomberg.

14:06 Ukrenergo and one of the most influential international energy organizations in Europe - the Energy Community - signed a memorandum according to which the organization will help Kiev file a lawsuit against Russia and demand compensation for damage caused to Ukrenergo's backbone networks. "Currently, we are carefully recording all damage to networks and our destroyed facilities in order to bill the terrorist country," the Ukrainian company said.

The Energy Community Secretariat will involve international and Ukrainian experts, conduct a thorough analysis of where Ukrenergo can apply to compensate for losses. A claim action plan will also be developed and key legal experts and companies will be identified to provide support for the consideration of claims against the Russian Federation in national courts and international tribunals. In addition, the working group on legal claims, which will be established as part of the memorandum, will represent Ukrenergo in the Special International Tribunal against Ukraine.

13:35 Peskov said that Putin's big press conference is not planned before the New Year, "but we hope that he will find an opportunity to talk with the Kremlin pool."

13:24 The Russians shelled Kherson and suburban settlements from artillery and multiple launch rocket systems in the morning. As a result of the shelling of a residential microdistrict of the city, one person was killed, four more were injured, the Office of the Prosecutor General said.

13:21 The Slovak government is ready to transfer its MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine, the country's Foreign Minister Rastislav Kacher said: "We have not yet transferred the MiG-29 to you, but we are ready to do it. We are talking with our partners in NATO about how to do it ".

12:37 As a result of the shelling of the central part of the city of Gornyak, the Kurakhovsky community of the Donetsk region, two people were killed, ten more were injured. The attacks were carried out using cluster munitions and Uragan multiple launch rocket systems, the Office of the Prosecutor General said.

12:20 The New Zealand government announced the imposition of sanctions against 23 citizens of the Russian Federation. Among them are the CEO of Channel One Konstantin Ernst and the head of the Ministry of Digital Development Maksut Shadayev.

11:41 In the morning, a blood-stained bundle arrived at the Ukrainian Embassy in Greece. The sender's address is the same as on the other envelopes that were previously received by Ukrainian embassies and consulates: a Tesla car dealership in the German town of Sindelfingen. The Greek police have begun investigative actions, Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Oleg Nikolenko said. In total, according to him, 33 cases of threats have already been registered in 17 countries: one attempted terrorist attack, two reports of mining, one case of vandalism, one case of a written threat and 28 bloody packages.

11:30 In Poland, exercises began for Ukrainian doctors. According to the head of the Polish National Security Bureau, Jacek Severa, a group of Ukrainian doctors arrived in Poland to train air evacuation of wounded soldiers and civilians from the combat zone. According to him, Poland supports Ukraine in the creation and development of helicopter medical rescue service structures, and even more groups are already sent for training.

11:27 Kuleba said in an interview with ARD that he considers the scenario of a complete power outage in Ukraine to be realistic, but does not expect Ukrainians to leave the country en masse because of this. Rather, according to him, Ukrainians will move to rural areas, where there is an opportunity to heat with firewood.

11:23 As of the morning of December 12, there is a significant power shortage in the power system. Destruction in the energy system as a result of enemy shelling does not yet allow the full use of the capacity of thermal power plants, additional time is needed to resume their work, Ukrenergo said. The situation in the Odessa region remains difficult, the resumption of electricity supply to consumers continues.

10:47 In the morning, the Russians hit the miner of the Donetsk region from the MLRS Hurricane - eight people were injured, the head of the OVA Pavel Kirilenko said.

10:36 In the Slovak city of Kosice, near the border with Ukraine, a repair base has been opened to repair German Panzerhaubitze 2000 howitzers, as well as Mars MLRS, Gepard tanks and Dingo armored personnel carriers, Christian Freuding, head of the special headquarters for Ukraine at the German Defense Ministry, said.

10:33 British intelligence considers it unlikely that Russian troops will advance operationally in the next few months. According to analysts, the Russian command still seeks to capture the entire Zaporozhye, Kherson, Lugansk and Donetsk regions, giving priority to the task of moving deeper into the latter. But the Russian armed forces are currently unlikely to create an effective strike force capable of capturing these areas.

10:22 The General Staff announced the estimated losses of the enemy on the morning of December 12.

  • personnel - about - 94,760 (+620) people liquidated,

  • tanks - 2966 (+24),

  • armored combat vehicles - 5928 (+8),

  • artillery systems - 1929 (+1),

  • MLRS - 397 (+0),

  • air defense systems - 211 (+0),

  • aircraft - 281 (+0),

  • helicopters - 264 (+0),

  • UAV operational-tactical level - 1617 (+4),

  • cruise missiles - 592 (+0),

  • ships/boats - 16 (+0),

  • automotive equipment and tankers - 4544 (+4),

  • special equipment - 169 (+2).

09:59 The new package of assistance to Ukraine from Slovakia in the amount of more than 10 million euros will include, in particular, gasoline generators, winter clothes, a power plant and transformers, materials for heating and food, mine clearance systems, ballistic vests and other military assistance, the minister said Defense Yaroslav Nagy.

09:54 As of the evening of December 11, Ukrainian power engineers have restored most of the generating capacities in the country's energy system, said the head of Ukrenergo Volodymyr Kudrytsky. At the same time, according to him, the consequences of Russian strikes do not yet allow the use of Ukrainian thermal power plants at full capacity. Kudritsky hopes that new power units from thermal power plants will start working in the network this week.

09:08 In the Donetsk region over the past day, as a result of Russian shelling, one civilian was killed - in Velyka Novoselka. Three more people were injured in the region, Pavel Kirilenko, head of the OVA, said.

08:56 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is convinced that the invasion of the Belarusian army into Ukraine is extremely unlikely, and the Kremlin’s pressure on Belarus to support Russian aggression in Ukraine is part of a long-term effort aimed at securing further control over Belarus.

Analysts say the involvement of a significant part of the Belarusian forces in the war in Ukraine will leave Lukashenka vulnerable to new unrest and resistance.
Interesting times for all involved.
In addition, Lukashenko is probably aware that an invasion of Ukraine would undermine his authority as the leader of a sovereign country, since it would become clear that Russia's efforts to establish full control over Belarus were successful.

At the same time, ISW believes that the entry of Belarus into the war, in the worst case, will force Ukraine to temporarily divert personnel and equipment from the current front line. And even if Lukashenko brings in a much larger number of his troops to attack Ukraine, the Belarusian forces will still be small and will not be able to achieve significant operational success. In addition, ISW estimates that a Russian or Belarusian offensive from Belarus will not be able to cut Ukrainian logistical lines to the West.

08:40 Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine repelled the attacks of invaders in the areas of Stelmakhivka, Makeevka and Serebryansky forestry of the Luhansk region and Verkhnekamensky, Belogorovka, Soledar, Yuryevka, Krasnogorovka, Maryinka, Novomikhailovka and Vremovka of the Donetsk region, the General Staff said in the morning summary .

07:28 Biden said following a telephone conversation with Zelensky that providing Ukraine with air defense means is a priority for the United States.

05:43 Russia does not cease to shake up the political situation in Moldova, which is why Chisinau is forced to turn to NATO for help, President Maia Sandu said: "We have made certain requests for our defense sector. We understand that assistance to Ukraine remains a priority, but We also hope to receive assistance to strengthen the defense capability."

At the same time, Sandu added that now there is no urgent need for military support from NATO, since there is no threat of a direct invasion of the Russian Federation into Moldova, but hybrid attacks are carried out constantly. According to the president, Russia, in addition to strengthening propaganda on the territory of Moldova, uses the issue of energy resources to push through its interests. Thus, Gazprom limited gas supplies to Moldova by 60%, despite the contract and the fact that Moldova buys gas from Russia at a very high price.

01:16 Zelensky said that he had a telephone conversation with Biden: "As always, it is substantive and useful. There are strong agreements. The G7 summit will take place today, Ukraine will participate, and now we have coordinated our positions with America. I was glad to feel in the conversation, that our formula for peace is received positively."


Posted by: badanov 2022-12-13
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=652322