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On the issue of defeating the Patriot battery
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Russian military blogger Andrey Chervomnets is in italics

Judging by the video, the battery fires a salvo of 32 MIM-104 missiles in two minutes, that is, four launchers of eight missiles completely empty their ammunition load. In a few seconds, what they were supposed to bring down flies over them.

And here are two options:

1) It was caliber / 9M728 / x-101. That is, something that flies relatively slowly and low. In this case, the Patriot battery noticed and began to fire at this target at a distance of about 30-40 km, which indicates that the calculation overslept, since the detection limit for MPQ-53 cruise missiles is 100-130 km. This option is unlikely, but should be considered.

2) It was 9M723/X-47M2. That is, something that flies quickly and maneuvers. In such a system, the missile was identified at the maximum range, that is, 100-130 km, 32 MIM-104 missiles worked normally, but this did not save the battery.

As a result, it turns out that the VKS were aiming at the battery, the battery used up all available reserves and was still covered. This is wonderful.

And according to Patriot statistics. In 2019, during the attack of the Houthis on the oil fields and oil refinery of the Saudis in the city of Khurais, these complexes missed cruise missiles of the Kuds-1 type (an analogue of the Russian Kh-55), out of seven missiles, the target was hit by for.

A total of 18 kamikaze drones also participated in the attack , judging by the wreckage it was Shahed-136, all 18 drones hit the targets. It is worth noting that the attack of drones and missiles was carried out without EW counteraction, in the desert, in good weather. Also, this complex missed R-17 missiles fired by the Houthis at Saudi facilities.

In general, if the tendency of the Aerospace Forces to knock out air defense batteries continues, this means that the Ukrainians may not attack this month, as many of the RF Armed Forces and the Armed Forces of Ukraine have announced.

Since over the past month four S-300 launchers, one Patriot battery, several beeches, several Osa air defense systems were knocked out. At the same time, constant attacks on Kiev are forcing the Armed Forces of Ukraine to pull air defense to the capital, moving it away from the front. Constant attacks on warehouses and arsenals also push back the deadlines.

Tynts: https://t.me/rusengineer/896

P.S.
There is only one remark in the text - 32 missiles went off normally, and 30 as a maximum, two went into the ground right in the launch zone, and this can be seen on the video.



Posted by: badanov 2023-05-18
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=667419