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War to victory
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Sergei Pereslegin

[ColonelCassad] Sergei Pereslegin on the problems of war to a victorious end.

In the First World War, Germany each year set new military goals and formulated the conditions on which it would conclude peace. But every year the position of Germany worsened, especially by 1916. There was an increasing discrepancy between the military and political reality and the requirements that she set for the conclusion of peace. It was clear that Germany had to withdraw from the war on any grounds, up to agreeing to peace without annexations and indemnities (as the Bolsheviks formulated) or giving up Alsace, but keeping Lorraine. But Germany continued to demand French, Belgian, Russian territories, British colonies. This meant that Germany could not agree to any peace other than its total defeat. And it was the defeat of Germany that had to be accepted in the end.

Ukraine is the world's first media power, we have repeatedly spoken about this. Opponents of Russia are waging an effective information war. The West loudly declared victory when planes and helicopters were shot down in the Bryansk region, and when the Patriot air defense system was hit, it was stated that he was slightly injured.

The battle for Bakhmut is over. The struggle for the city lasted more than six months. This is a major victory. Russia is naturally waiting for sane proposals to end the conflict.

The counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine did not begin. This is a significant result on the physical battlefield. The West and Ukraine again answer in the communication space that they will not agree to any peace, except for the complete defeat of Russia. They insist on peace on Zelensky’s terms, a peace that destroys the Russian elites, a peace that gives Ukraine all the occupied territories that have become Russian.

Russia is interested in ending this war sooner or later. Since it was not possible to end the war in the form of a blitzkrieg, now there is no interest in doing it too quickly, because the conditions of the war allow Russia to carry out many changes in the economic field with less caution.

Ukraine, according to its cultural code, would agree to peace on any terms, but this absolutely does not suit the Ukrainian elites. Peace will come to Ukraine after the change of these elites, and we are talking about when this will happen and under what circumstances. At this point in time, we can say with confidence that in terms of the number of deaths per elite rotation, Russia is now sharply outperforming Ukraine. We replace the leadership with heavy losses much faster and more vigorously than the Ukrainians do.

The United States is certainly interested in the conflict somehow successfully ending before the presidential election. But by and large, America is not so important how the conflict ends and when. And in Europe now, in principle, they do not want an end to the conflict. And even if it ends on their terms with the complete defeat of Russia, an extremely unpleasant question will be raised - what to do next?

Now, like Russia and Ukraine, they can write off internal problems for war. But this possibility will soon be crossed out. Therefore, the collective West claims at the G7 summit that they do not need peace, and, apparently, Russia and Ukraine will fight until the complete victory of one of the parties. After that, the collective West will recognize the world in form - we will never recognize this, but for now we will agree that there are current realities. The realities of the division of Korea have existed for more than 60 years and have not been recognized by the West.

Secretary General Guterres made an interesting statement about the need to reform the UN and reform the global monetary system, bringing them to new realities. But which TNCs will agree to comply with the UN orders? It looks unrealistic.

(с) Sergey Pereslegin


Posted by: badanov 2023-05-26
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=668136