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Where the Russian army presses and where it retreats
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] The situation at the front has worsened.

Now the “hottest” place is in the Avdeevsky direction. Under the pressure of the invaders, the Defense Forces retreated to the west of Berdichev, Semenovka and Novomikhailovka.


Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Alexander Syrsky said yesterday that the situation at the front has worsened and in some places the Russian army is having tactical successes. According to him, the most difficult situation is now in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhovsky directions, as well as in Avdievsky, where the Defense Forces were forced to retreat to other positions.

“The situation at the front has worsened. Trying to seize the strategic initiative and break through the front line, the enemy concentrated his main efforts in several directions, creating a significant advantage in forces and means. He is actively attacking along the entire front line, and has tactical successes in some directions,” the commander-in-chief said.

At the same time, according to him, there are sections of the front where it was possible to improve the tactical position of our troops. Read more about the situation from the military and analysts themselves in the story.

SEIZURE OF VILLAGES
After Syrsky’s statement, on the morning of April 29, Ukrainian military blogger Bogdan Miroshnikov reported that the situation in the Donetsk operational zone is very difficult. According to him, after the loss of the western part of Berdichi, the opportunity to cut off the enemy “guts” in Ocheretino was actually lost.

"It is Ocheretino that is controlled only behind the pond in the eastern part. This is approximately 10% of the area. Most of Novokalinovoye is controlled by the enemy. The occupier has broken through to Umanskoye and Netaylovo. Fighting continues. Fighting is also ongoing on the outskirts of Novopokrovsky. Well, stop the enemy in Karlovka, That’s how it is in Karlovka. What can you do,” Miroshnkov commented on the situation.

This situation occurred, according to the blogger, due to a shortage of shells and exhaustion of the Defense Forces units.

The information that the Russian army has occupied Berdich (located south of Ocheretino) and advanced into Kislovka (in the Kupyansky direction) is confirmed by analysts from DeepState. As of April 28, the enemy controlled about 80% of Ocheretino, the rest of the village was “in question.” Heavy fighting was also reported in Krasnogorovka and Novokalinov.

Today, April 29, DeepState experts updated the map and reported that the invaders advanced to Netaylovo, near Novoaleksandrovka and captured Novomikhailovka (Maryinsky district, Donetsk region).

According to the latest map update, the Russian army has about 10-11 km left to the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway. Over the past 24 hours, they have advanced two kilometers in the direction of the highway.

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE DEFENSE FORCES
Yesterday’s breakthrough towards Novoaleksandrovka indicates that in the near future the Russians will be focused on expanding the breakthrough and creating conditions for entering the operational space in the direction of the Konstantinovka-Pokrovsk highway, they add in the 46th separate airmobile brigade.

To achieve this, as noted in the brigade, the occupiers will implement:

  • Exit to the Sokol-Novopokrovskoye line. The development of events in this scenario will worsen the condition of the Ukrainian Armed Forces units on the Berdich-Semyonovka-Umanskoye line. And in the event of successful action in the direction of Umansky, create conditions for an operational cordon and expulsion of our troops from this area.

  • Exit to the Arkhangelskoye – Keramik line. The development of events in this scenario opens up opportunities in the future for the Russians to implement the “Toretsk option” - the encirclement of the city of Toretsk. But this path is significantly complicated by the presence on the northern front of Chasovoy Yar and Konstantinovka, the capture of which is not even visible.

    In general, as the military notes, the majority of the defense area in the Avdeevsky direction from Solovyov to Karlovka is limited by obstacles in the form of the Volcha River and the Karlovsky Reservoir.

    “This factor may complicate the withdrawal of units from the Berdichie-Semyonovka-Umanskoye-Netailovo line. Already now, the defense area from above is locked by the invaders in Solovyov. Moreover, for evacuation to this entire area there are only 4 bridges (highlighted in black) suitable for evacuating equipment and personnel. Three of them are located in the settlement of Novoselovka Pervaya, which, after the loss of Ocheretino, is within the reach of even enemy company artillery, not to mention larger artillery,” the message says.

    In addition, if the Russians enter Karlovka, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will lose a single evacuation route north of Karlovka, and here the Yasnobrodovka-Umanskoye border units will also be forced to retreat to the Novoselovka Pervaya area. The enemy also understands this, therefore, he has increased his efforts in the direction of Karlovka and is expanding his breakthrough towards Sokol-Novopokrovsky, they add in the 46th brigade.

    In turn, a lieutenant of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with the call sign Alex notes that the situation in the Avdeevsky direction is really the most difficult, even compared to Chasovy Yar. The latter, he said, has experienced units and clearly defined boundaries.

    “I thank the command of the 47th Mechanized Infantry Brigade, who did not hold the boys near Berdich to the bitter end, because there could have been sad consequences. The boys were very exhausted,” the military man wrote.

    WHERE IS SUCCESS IN THE ARMED FORCES OF UKRAINE
    Syrsky officially reported the tactical success of the Defense Forces. According to him, Ukrainian defenders in the Kherson direction managed to advance in the Veletensky area and establish control over the island of Nestriga. Also, our units will improve their tactical position in the Sinkovka area (Kupyanskoye direction) and Serebryansky forestry (Limanskoye direction).

    As Dmitry Pletenchuk, a representative of the Southern Defense Forces, explained, the deoccupation of Nestriga Island is not of strategic, but of tactical importance. This is due to the fact that the Russians used it to establish firing positions and attacks on populated areas on the right bank of Kherson.

    “This is primarily important for the quality of counter-sabotage measures. This location was freed from the possible presence of the enemy on it,” he said on Public Radio.

    According to Pletenchuk, this island is closer to the right bank of the Kherson region and was actually the last one before the mouth of the Dnieper River.


    Posted by: badanov 2024-04-30
  • http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=697907