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Oreshnik IRBM:: 'Random or undesired movements have been meticulously minimized'
[X] Quick analysis. It’s true that sub-munitions are affected by random motions, but this "six-pack" configuration of sub-munitions, perfectly parallel & aligned, demonstrates that random or undesired movements have been meticulously minimized. This ensures any significant increase in CEP (Circular Error Probable) is avoided. As previously calculated, the speed of sub-munitions are in the high-hypersonic regime, meaning the Russian designers pretty much cared about reducing unwanted motions! 1/6 Considering that each group of RVs takes about 0.5s to reach the ground from the cloud, which is about 2 km from the earth's surface, the RVs reach the ground at a speed of about 4 km/s or almost Mach 12. This is breathtaking & staggering! There is no defense against it! 1/4 Note that RVs enter the atmosphere at staggering speeds, typically 16-20 times the speed of sound, traversing the atmosphere in about 20 seconds or reaching altitudes of 20–30 km in around 10 seconds. 3/6 At these speeds, random motions could destroy the sub-munitions, making stability critical. There’s no real need for sub-munitions to perform random or letting suffer from erratic motions by the surrounding. 4/6 They travel far too quickly & are dispersed extensively to be intercepted by any modern air defense systems. If the Oreshnik is capable of maneuvering or executing a wavy flight pattern during or in the final part of the mid-course phase, it would neutralize long range missile defenses even before reentry. It would effectively render interception in the mid-course phase a losing battle. Posted by: badanov 2024-11-25 |
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