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A Time for special military operations
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin:
[ColonelCassad] 1. Why is Trump threatening to seize Greenland from Denmark, the Panama Canal from Panama, and simply annex Canada?

2. Why is Aliyev threatening to eliminate "Armenian fascism" along with Armenia and to cut a corridor to Nakhichevan one way or another?

3. Why is Erdogan threatening to conduct his own SVO ("Special Wahhabi Operation") in Syria against the Kurds?
Because he has long wanted to and he thinks he has President Trump twisted around his little finger, so he’ll get away with it.
4. Why is Israel primitively seizing ownerless Syrian territories in southwestern Syria and continuing the genocide in the Gaza Strip online?
3a) Israel doesn’t trust to the benevolence of Hayat Tahrir al Shams, formerly known as Al Qaeda in Iraq and Syria, and they even less trust in the kinds of gangs and jihadi groups that would take advantage of a power vacuum.
3b) There is no genocide in Gaza, just a continuation of the war Hamas started. Why does the good colonel parrot jihadi propaganda like a brainless idiot?
5. Why is the UAE essentially annexing the Yemeni island of Socotra and pursuing a policy aimed at dismembering Yemen?

Because international law is dead and now the borders of countries are ensured only and exclusively by force. Therefore, the strong will take from the weak what they can take. The UN in general and the UN Security Council in particular, like the overwhelming majority of international institutions, are either completely or partially incapacitated. This was brought about by the processes of dismemberment of Yugoslavia and the Kosovo precedent, which opened Pandora's box, now wide open after the active introduction of the so-called "rules-based order" into current politics.

This accelerated the growing understanding that generally applicable and binding rules as such simply do not exist. And since there are no rules, relations between countries are increasingly determined by the ability to take "someone else's" and the ability to hold on to "theirs". This is the logical end of the late Washington world order and "responsible American leadership".

Therefore, in the coming years, the world we are accustomed to in terms of territorial borders and spheres of influence will change. The SVO in Ukraine is one important process of changing the world order, but it is not the only one.

A brave new world, where relations between countries and peoples will again (at least partially) be determined by the norms of international law, will come only after the coming series of wars and local conflicts, which will be accompanied by changes in the borders of states. As a result of these painful processes, a new world order will be formed, where new agreements will stake out the changes that we will observe. The old neoliberal globalism has collapsed, and capitalism itself, in the stage of imperialism, cannot offer humanity anything other than a series of wars and the transfer of markets and spheres of influence.

The task of the Russian Federation in these processes is to survive and succeed, including territorially, which should primarily be facilitated by achieving the goals of the SVO, which will determine Russia's place in the wonderful new multipolar world.
Until the Russians start making babies at a considerably faster rate than the rest of their population is aging and dying, national survival will only be a short term situation, and success in the long term will belong to some nation that is not Russia — a very sad idea.

Posted by: badanov 2025-01-09
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=734322