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On the state of Syrian energy
Direct Translatioon via Google Translate. Edited.

Text taken from the Telegram channel of knyaz_cherkasky

Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin is in italics.

[ColonelCassad] As for the Syrian energy sector, on which the Americans eased sanctions, the situation has predictably worsened in the month since Assad fled.

Expectedly, for those in the know. Although in the first days, enthusiastic supporters of HTS (banned by the Russian Federation and elsewhere) wrote to me in the comments about generators brought to Aleppo, not understanding (or understanding) that the effect is purely advertising, and that it is impossible to provide a city of 2 million even in partial supply mode, even in certain areas for more than a week, without payment.
What is he, some kind of bloody-handed capitalist??
For information, according to official data for 2021, the deficit was 1 GW in Latakia alone! And this is Latakia with a population of less than 700 thousand, and not industrial Aleppo.

In general, the situation has worsened even where the supply was 3 hours to 3 hours, it became an hour to 10 without power, and on average in the country and even worse.

What happened? After all, the power plants were not bombed by Israel, there were no military actions around them, and the "Assad underground" did not sabotage them. Moreover, after the dissolution of the Syrian army, as well as the capture of all bases and special government facilities that were supplied with priority, these capacities also disappeared somewhere!

It is quite funny at the same time, the rhetoric of the new authorities to the population that the criminal regime has ruined everything so much that now we must be patient, although Assad, when he fled, did not take a single turbine or power plant with him, not to mention beach and wedding photos.

Therefore, it is not enough to have power plants and substations - you also need to have fuel (gas and fuel oil) for them, which Iran previously shipped to Assad on credit (the lion's share in the form of oil).

Partially, Iranian oil still covered the need for automobile fuel.

A simple calculation will show that it is necessary to purchase at least 2 million barrels monthly - and this is a billion dollars, well, or sit on the neck of Qatar and other bay guys, while simultaneously canceling subsidies for electricity prices.

So now Qatar and Turkey have driven 2 floating power plants with a capacity of 800 MW (which also need fuel, but okay, a little - they will give it, as humanitarian aid for now), it was announced that they plan to increase the supply by almost 50 percent (!).

And again I see a wave of delight in the networks, tears of gratitude, etc.

Well, and I, as in the story with the generators in Aleppo, again cannot help but note the main emphasis on the media, because in practice - this is a pea for an elephant, and even then, to return the energy supply, at least to the times of the criminal regime.

This is one of the reasons why Turkey is planning a military operation in Syrian Kurdistan to take control of Syrian oil from the Kurds and the US, which could at least partially solve the above-described problems. Hence the rhetoric in the style of "Al-Shaddadi in 3 days". Hence the continuing hypothetical option in relations with Russia - oil in exchange for bases.

Of course, this will not solve all of Syria’s economic problems.



Posted by: badanov 2025-01-10
http://www.rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=734502