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Europe
Turkish leader finally gains seat in landslide victory
2003-03-10
Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the leader of Turkey's ruling party, has finally won the parliamentary seat he badly needs to restore his authority over a government shaken by the defeat of plans to admit 62,000 US troops bound for Iraq. With the count in outlying villages still to come in, he won a landslide 85 per cent share of the vote yesterday among the residents of this ancient and dusty town, surrounded by the snow-capped mountains of the country's impoverished south-eastern region.
Anything over 65 percent always makes me wonder how close an eye they were keeping on the ballot boxes...

Mr Erdogan's constituency victory paves the way for him to assume the premiership in the coming week. Though expected, it will be greeted with undisguised relief by a Bush administration optimistic that Mr Erdogan will use his formal arrival in government to persuade the Ankara parliament to reverse its narrow decision nine days ago to refuse the US the use of Turkish bases to open its northern front against Saddam Hussein. In return, the US had offered Turkey, which is in talks with the International Monetary Fund about the country's economic crisis, $6bn (£3.75bn) in direct grants and an extensive loan guarantee package.

Having been in power but not in office, Mr Erdogan has found it difficult since last November to run a sometimes divided government from the headquarters of his Justice and Development Party (AKP), when he cannot even attend debates in parliament. It probably made it more difficult for him last week to persuade the stubborn Turkish Cypriot leader, Rauf Denktash, to back a UN reunification plan which Kofi Annan will urge on leaders of the divided island at a meeting in The Hague today.

As a result, the influence wielded by the 119,000 constituents of this mainly Kurdish and Arab town can hardly be overestimated. Some analysts believe Mr Erdogan was inhibited from making clearer public statements in favour of the US request before the Siirt poll by worries that it might alienate a predominantly religious Muslim population opposed to war and fearful any counter attack by President Saddam would directly affect the town, which is a mere 60 miles from the Iraqi border. The district was also a focus of guerrilla activity by Kurdish PKK militants until the mid-1990s and its successor organisation, Kadek, hinted it would fight again if Turkish troops march on Kurds in northern Iraq — a prospect equally horrifying to non-militant Kurds.

Perhaps as a result of his earlier disinclination to sell the prospective deal with the US, many voters here remain convinced that Mr Erdogan does not want war, while also being bleakly realistic about the pressures on him to grant the US request.

Several voters who had supported the AKP, with varying enthusiasm, said – in carefully oblique terms because of the sensitivity of the subject – that they looked to his non-fundamentalist Islamist party to do more to allow the wearing of headscarves by Muslim public officials and students. These have been banned by all the fiercely secularist governments up till now. Despite fears that the heavy presence of plain clothes and armed police close to polling stations was intended to enforce the normally theoretical compulsory voting regime here, other voters readily admitted they were joining a boycott called by the Kurdish Dehap grouping, which came top of the poll here in last November's elections, but failed to qualify for parliamentary seats because it fell short of the required 10 per cent share of the nationwide vote.
Posted by:Dominigo

00:01