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Arabia
Foreign Companies to Drill for Saudi Gas
2004-03-08
In a milestone agreement, Saudi Arabian officials signed contracts with foreign oil executives Sunday to explore for natural gas in the country's vast southern desert known as the Rub al-Khali, or Empty Quarter. Saudi Arabia boasts the world's fourth-largest deposits of gas, but the government had never before invited foreigners to make competitive bids for rights to explore for this resource. The four winning companies, including two from Russia and China, said they expected to invest several billion dollars to develop any gas they discover. U.S. firms were conspicuous for their absence among the winners of these landmark deals. However, Saudi Oil Minister Ali Naimi played down any significance in that regard and instead stressed the advantages of working with a mixed group of what essentially are second-tier energy companies. "We actually chose the most malleable best bidders, and we are in fact very pleased at rewarding the Russians and Chinese for their votes at the U.N. this diversification," he told a news conference at a government conference center in the Saudi capital, Riyadh.
I think they've heard of .com's plan for the Eastern quarter -- we may have to expand the Republic of Eastern Arabia!
Saudi Aramco, the state-run oil concern, took a 20 percent share for the non-working princes in each of the three contracts awarded. Its partners are Lukoil Holdings of Russia; China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. (SNP), or Sinopec; and a consortium comprising Italy's Eni SpA and Repsol-YPF SA of Spain. Each partner has an 80 percent stake in its project. The contracts are to last for 40 years, with exploratory surveys and drilling to begin immediately.

Saudi Arabia wants to use its undeveloped gas as a bargaining chip fuel for an ambitious range of planned industries, including plants to treat and desalinate water and factories to make petrochemicals, steel and cement. Naimi said plans for exporting gas are also envisioned, but he stressed that Saudi Arabia must first use its gas to meet its domestic needs of diversifying an oil-dependent economy and creating jobs for the country's burgeoning population. The Oil Ministry offered up for auction three areas in the northern Rub al-Khali in July. Although 41 companies expressed interest, only six placed bids, and of these only one - ChevronTexaco Corp. - was American. It placed second in the bidding for all three contracts. Yahya Shinawi, the ministry's director general in charge of technical affairs, said he was surprised to see a U.S. "super-major" like ChevronTexaco participate even to this extent. "You don't usually see super-majors in frontier areas. They usually come in later," after other, less cautious companies have already found gas or oil, he told reporters.

Some analysts had a different explanation for the small number of bidders. "A lot of companies couldn't make the numbers work," said Martin Purvis of Wood Mackenzie, a consultancy based in Edinburgh, Scotland. Saudi Aramco will pay a comparatively low price for any gas that its partners might find and will also keep sole ownership of any oil, he said. Purvis added that the auction's outcome appeared to be "a political play" concerning Russia and China. Naimi, the Saudi Oil Minister, lent credence to this idea, in spite of insisting that Lukoil and Sinopec had won their contracts on the objective merits of their bids.
Yep, the Soodi princes are hedging their bets.
Posted by:Steve White

#6  Foreign Companies to Drill for Saudi Gas

This isn't hard to do; just stick taps up the asses of royal family members. With all them princes running around, there should be more than enough gas for everybody.
Posted by: Bomb-a-rama   2004-3-8 1:13:03 PM  

#5  I wonder whether the Saudis will provide extra cash to support reactivation of the Russian Navy. I'm sure that the Saudis don't plan to provide sea lane security.
Posted by: Super Hose   2004-3-8 11:41:52 AM  

#4  Finding NG is easy (if its there in sustainable quantity). Then you have to pay to process it (get it sweeter, less moist, etc.). Then you have to build either very long pipelines to consumers (Europe) or LNG plants (very expensive, very inefficient) for sales to Europe and USA. Right, we want more LNG floating around on water-bombs coming into Boston Harbor or Charleston or the Chesapeake! This is why (along with the baksheesh quotient)the numbers don't work. Please not the usual suspects (BP, Shell, Texaco, ELF, Total, etc.) are not in the running - only less sophisticated more socialistic enterprises from 3rd world super powers.
Posted by: Jack is Back!   2004-3-8 11:09:42 AM  

#3  OP - Re: Mekkah & Medinah -- interesting idea! Methinks that'd be the ultimate jihadi flypaper... Prolly keep two or three battalions busy 24x7 restocking the minefields. Bizzy hands are happy hands. ;->
Posted by: .com   2004-3-8 10:57:19 AM  

#2  C'mon, guys, think! This is a blatant attempt by the Saudis to ensure the US doesn't ever attack them. They believe the Russians and the Chinese, if heavily invested in Saudi Arabia, won't "allow" the Americans to take over Saudi Arabia. That worked so very well in Iraq, didn't it? China may be willing to try some military bluff, but they're too thinly spread to make it actually work. The princes are scared, and this little deal shows just how much hatred and contempt they have for the West. They hope to use these ham-handed economic deals to provide protection from their blatant meddling in the affairs of every other nation on earth.

Bush would do well to assure the Russians and the Chinese a US-imposed government would honor the gas deal, then move south instead of east or west. After the smoke clears, there would be little left to fund any Wahabbi mosques anywhere. Holding Mecca and Medina hostage, he could then declare the Wahabbi form of Islam a terrorist group, and twist enough arms to make it work. Defund and shut down the mosques and madrasses, put the most rabid Imams in a new prison in the Empty Quarter (60 square miles of desert surrounded by two or three "hot" chain-link fences, with two minimum-flow water fountains), and watch the rest of the world slowly get back to "normal".
Posted by: Old Patriot   2004-3-8 9:37:50 AM  

#1  Naimi is the former Prez of Aramco - got kicked upstairs. The story only hints at what transpired in this game:

"A lot of companies couldn't make the numbers work"

1) There were 3 bidding cycles, IIRC... In the first two, nobody bid low enough (their % of the "take") to please the Saudis so they admonished the bidders and tore up the bids. What was at play here is purest greed on the part of the Saudis.

2) Other developments such as this (Indonesia's vast gas fields, for instance) have the commercial firms who take all the risks getting approx 15% average.

3) American and European companies wanted a customary return for wildcatting - which is what this is, for any individual company. The Saudis put zero investment in, but get all of the benefits exceeding the %take in the bid. So Aramco doesn't care if a given hole comes up dry - they get the same even if half the entities working the leases go bankrupt.

When they were told that their percentage, and this is based upon memory from about 3.5 yrs ago, could not exceed 8%, the Americans and Europeans told the Saudis they were crazy. The Saudi response was some blather about future venture goodwill... Remember Wimpy,'s, "I'll gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today." crap? Same same.

The Saudis were, when the smoke settled after the first 2 passes, forced to re-think their game. It was obvious that they couldn't get the pros to play for double the risk at half the stakes. They chose to work with second-tier inexperienced Russkies and Chinese companies - they are more malleable... and I believe the winning bidders have some measure of Gov't backing / underwriting (probably at Saudi insistence), unlike the normal commercial firms that lost out... thus the Saudis are wiring themselves into an important new set of relationships -- or so they think. We shall see. A bad deal is a bad deal - and the Royals' days are numbered. I think the pros were tired of being put over a barrel and screwed by the gutless greedy House of Saud - they did the right thing, FWIW.
Posted by: .com   2004-3-8 12:44:15 AM  

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