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| Bush Will Bury Kerry | |
| 2004-09-07 | |
The Democrat will be lucky to exceed Michael Dukakis's share of the popular vote. BY BRENDAN MINITER For nearly four years now, we've been told this is a 50-50 nation, that red and blue America are so evenly divided that even a small misstep could swing this presidential election either way. The media may have their own reasons for sticking to the story line--drama is good for ratings, after all--but there's mounting evidence that the electorate is not nearly as evenly divided as it was in 2000; that come Nov. 2, newscasters are going to be putting a lot more red than blue on their electoral maps. I will make a prediction here: Mr. Kerry will be lucky to top the 45.7% of the popular vote Michael Dukakis got in 1988. Perhaps my prediction is buoyed by the euphoric Republicans who flooded this city last week. Indeed, from the convention floor to lavish after-parties, the Republicans I met carried with them the presumption that of course there will be a second Bush administration--although I must point out that in floating my theory, I couldn't find anyone who agreed with the spread, and that one reason for the confidence among conventioneers is the feeling that there has to be a second term. That if the party loses this election, the nation will lose the war on terror. That sense of urgency is only heightened by the fact that Mr. Kerry will have a few more opportunities to turn things around on Mr. Bush--at the debates, for example. And there's always a chance that bad news out of Iraq or a terrorist attack in America could knock the legs out from under the president's campaign. But of course, it is this sense of urgency that is helping put the Republicans over the top. The media may finally be catching up to the idea that the nation may have turned decidedly in Mr. Bush's favor. Coming out of the convention Time and Newsweek conducted separate polls, each of which found that the president had opened up an 11-point lead over Mr. Kerry. These surveys seem to have oversampled Republicans, but a new Gallup Poll puts Mr. Bush up by a still impressive seven points, 52% to 45%. Even as convention euphoria fades, there are plenty of reasons to disbelieve the "50-50 nation" story line: | |
| Posted by:Mark Espinola |
| #6 Help Nader. Spread the word among the lefties that Kerry is Bush Lite. Nader's now on the ballot in Michigan and (I believe) Ohio and FL as well. It only takes a few thousand crunchy-lefty Nader votes in Ann Arbor, Columbus, Cleveland and Miami-Ft.L to put Bush over the top in all three states. |
| Posted by: lex 2004-09-08 10:13:07 AM |
| #5 No "Bury" verbiage please - that sounds like Khruzchev. And we know what happened to him. We need to dig in and work our butts off. Volunteer at your local precinct, join the team at georrgewbush.com And right NOW - immediately - dontate to the crucail senate campaigns: Republicans in N. Carolina, Florida. Colorado. California need your donations. Do you trust Barbara Boxer (California) to be making policy to keep us from threats like what happened in Beslan? Do you trust Ken Salazar (Colorado), who lost money on a Dairy Queen (!) to run the defense of the nation? Do you trust Clintonite Eskine Bowles (N Caroina) to have his hands in the spending and mechanics of our defense department and Dept Of Homeland Security? If you don't trust these people, then give money NOW to their Republican opponents - they need the money NOW to line up their ads - $25 each is enough, get your firends and others to donate online with a your credit card. For just $100 you can support these candidates. Giving up a good steak dinner and contributing to the future of the nation instead is a good tradeoff in my opinion. |
| Posted by: OldSpook 2004-09-07 10:19:25 PM |
| #4 Cyber Sarge, Old Democrats don't concede,they just froth away.(Apologies to Gen.MacArthur.) |
| Posted by: Stephen 2004-09-07 7:31:20 PM |
| #3 Just win baby. |
| Posted by: Deion Shipman 2004-09-07 6:32:52 PM |
| #2 AMEN! It aint over until we vote, then the Dims get their recount, and finally they concede (grudgingly). |
| Posted by: Cyber Sarge 2004-09-07 6:27:53 PM |
| #1 Please repeat after me: It ain't over 'til it's over. It ain't over 'til it's over. It ain't over 'til it's over. It ain't over 'til it's over.... |
| Posted by: Jonathan 2004-09-07 4:19:45 PM |