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Home Front: WoT
Geostrategies
2004-10-07
In a book published this week, Dr. George Friedman, the founder of the lucid Stratfor, a private for-profit think-tank and intelligence-gathering organization which has been dubbed "the shadow CIA", proposes to explain what the war in Iraq, and the larger "war on terrorism", is really all about.

It sure wasn't about WMD hidden in Iraq -- one of several public arguments for removing Saddam Hussein which, because it didn't work out, has been hailed by our media (which once bought into the argument but has since cashed out) as the only reason. Yet as both parties in the U.S. election maintain, the threat of nuclear or other mass-destructive weaponry in the hands of terrorists -- and quite possibly terrorists trained and directed by a foreign state or states -- is real, and must be dealt with. The arguments are only over how to prevent carnage on a scale seldom before seen.

In America's Secret War, Dr. Friedman argues that the enemy grew out of the Cold War, an artefact of Jimmy Carter's decision to use Saudi Arabian money and Pakistani expertise to create a guerrilla army that could harass the Soviets then occupying Afghanistan. "Al Qaeda", the product, mastered the art of covert operation, and as the Soviets collapsed, began turning it against the West, biting the hand that fed them. Their large ambition is the creation of a new, pan-Muslim caliphate, however, and they attack Western targets as a means of advancing an Islamist revolution at home.
Posted by:tipper

#5  Go read Sageman's "Understanding Terror Networks" for a thorough debunking of the "CIA created al Qaeda" meme.
Posted by: Classical_Liberal   2004-10-07 7:44:28 PM  

#4  Oh, and Friedman isn't an "anti-terriorism expert". He's an expert in geopolitics. Get a clue.
Posted by: gromky   2004-10-07 7:36:06 PM  

#3  Excerpts from the book here and here [PDF]. Good stuff from Friedman, he always has a clear head. Only problem is, you don't know what's true and what's not, and now that he's got "status", he has to think about what he talks about because it will anger his precious sources.
Posted by: gromky   2004-10-07 5:29:28 PM  

#2  It remains convienent to blame the CIA for al Qaeda. However, bin Laden did most of his fighting from a hotel room in Pakistan. Most of the others, which BTW are pushing up the Afghan equivalent of daisies, joined the effort after the ouster of the Soviets. al Qaeda is a johnny-come-lately as outfits go.

And it ignores the indisputable fact that bin Laden's primary goal was to replace the House of Saud with the House of bin Laden. Mere power politics covered with a smokescreen of religion.
Posted by: Chuck Simmins   2004-10-07 12:08:24 PM  

#1  Western "anti-terrorism" experts = seven blind man and an elephant.
Posted by: Anonymous6092   2004-10-07 11:25:26 AM  

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