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Home Front: Politix
Hawai'i Poll: Bush, Kerry in dead heat (New Story)
2004-10-23
Via Bros. Judd again!
...The Hawai'i Poll, taken among 600 likely voters statewide between Oct. 13 and Monday, had Bush at 43.3 percent and Kerry at 42.6 percent. The margin of error was 4 percentage points. [...] Nearly a third of the people who plan to vote for Bush described themselves as Democrats while only 5 percent of Republicans say they will vote for Kerry. "I'm a Democrat but I strongly support what President Bush is doing," said Jun Elegino, a nursing student at Hawai'i Pacific University who serves in the Army National Guard. "He's my commander in chief...."
Posted by:anonymous2u

#8  I'll repeat what I said yesterday . . . Bush twins . . . seaside rally with pickup beach volleyball game . . . C'mon, Mr. Rove! You gotta do this!!
Posted by: Mike   2004-10-23 11:01:27 PM  

#7  Now will you believe me when I say California is still in play. There is a HUGE concerted effort by Republicans to get out the vote. It's going to be close if in this State. A ton of voters are voting Absentee and they are mostly Republicans.
Posted by: Cyber Sarge   2004-10-23 10:20:54 PM  

#6  Two points, first 600 likely voters is a small sample. Second, if Kerry declares victory early as planning voter turnout in the west will be really low. Its up to Republicans to push for people to go to the polls no matter what, for local elections if nothing else.

Personally I think we're looking at a landslide. I think the number of Democrats willing to admit they'll vote for Bush is a lot lower than the number that really intend to vote for Bush, a fact that screws the polls all over the place.
Posted by: RJ Schwarz   2004-10-23 6:14:46 PM  

#5  I saw a scenario (unlikely, but not implausible) in which Hawaii would decide the winner. I think Kerry got Ohio and Florida, while Bush got Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico. Plus or minus a state.

Think of all the lawyers that went to Florida in November/December 2000. How many would go to Hawaii?

We need a way for Alaska or Maine to be the deciding state.
Posted by: jackal   2004-10-23 5:51:44 PM  

#4  My bird does not have the range, Frank. We will get out about 800 miles, then it's time to swim, heh heh.
Posted by: Alaska Paul   2004-10-23 5:42:20 PM  

#3  I'm volunteering to help the GOP get out the vote in Hawaii. Bags packed. Ready to go. They haven't called back with the ticket/reservation....
Posted by: Frank G   2004-10-23 5:28:22 PM  

#2  Keep Teresa foaming at the mouth, as well as the rest of the dems. keep up the voter fraud stories, as well as the vandalism and burglaries of Republican campaign offices, and the dems will lose Hawai'i.
Posted by: Alaska Paul   2004-10-23 5:24:07 PM  

#1  This wasn't supposed to happen: Gore carried Hawaii by 20 points in 2000.
Posted by: Ptah   2004-10-23 5:19:31 PM  

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