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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Tehran Takes Gloomy View of the Lebanon War and Truce
2006-08-15
Debka => Salt to taste, but they probably are not far off.
While the damage caused IsraelÂ’s military reputation tops Western assessments of the Lebanon war, DEBKAfileÂ’s Iranian sources report an entirely different perception taking hold in ruling circles in Tehran.

After UN Security Council resolution 1701 calling for a truce was carried Friday, Aug. 11, the heads of the regime received two separate evaluations of the situation in Lebanon – one from Iran’s foreign ministry and one from its supreme national security council. Both were bleak: their compilers were concerned that Iran had been manipulatively robbed of its primary deterrent asset ahead of a probable nuclear confrontation with the United States and Israel.
Posted by:twobyfour

#9  I roughly calculate every 1748 sq meters of Leb south of the river had 1 arty shell. That being over 800,000 fired.
Or every square of land about 41 meters to a side.
Posted by: 3dc   2006-08-15 22:57  

#8  TW, the logical person in me thinks that the locals would be mighty pissed at the Hizzies too. But I think it will only take a few brave souls criticizing the Hezzies to be dragged into the street and shot for them to go into quiet acceptance mode. Now the Sunnis up north may be a different story. Don't forget that there were billions and billions of Saudi dollars blown up in this Hezzie escapade. That will not be forgotten.
Posted by: remoteman   2006-08-15 15:56  

#7  " God's promises have come true."
MAhmoud Ahmadienjiad
Give 'em and inch.......
Posted by: J. D. Lux   2006-08-15 11:59  

#6  mac, I'm praying hard that I'm right, too. Because I'm not at all certain at the moment.
Posted by: trailing wife   2006-08-15 11:33  

#5  TW, I certainly hope you're right. I'm afraid that Hezb's murderers are going to use their "strong horse" argument to good effect. Israel didn't do what they should have in putting a real hurt on the Islamofascists while they had the chance and I fear it will come back to haunt all of us very dramatically and very soon.
Posted by: mac   2006-08-15 11:23  

#4  The Lebanese Shiite villagers, aka human shields, aren't going to be any too pleased when they get home to find twice-bounced rubble and a Hizb'allah organization that insists on remaning on a war footing rather than supporting rebuilding. Where up 'til now Hizb'allah has been swimming in the sea of a supportive population, the IDF will likely soon start getting helpful phonecalls.
Posted by: trailing wife   2006-08-15 10:56  

#3  yup. But is it not possible that Olmert screwed up with the ground offensive dithering, yet the result is not so bad as some on both left and right insist? Hezb DID fire 3500 rockets to little substantive effect, and the IDF undoubtedly destroyed a lot on the ground - one shouldnt be misled by the MSM that insists only children and baby ducks were hite by the IAF.
Posted by: liberalhawk   2006-08-15 09:55  

#2  Since Debka hates Olmert, surprising.
Posted by: gromgoru   2006-08-15 09:13  

#1  Tehran hopes to pre-empt the American move by torpedoing the Lebanon ceasefire and preventing the termination of hostilities at all costs.

Gee. I wonder how they'll ever manage to do that.
Posted by: gorb   2006-08-15 04:50  

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