#3 "The problem is not to find the guilty but to draw lessons. The lessons are what we should do ahead of the next round. If we don't draw lessons, not only will we have a second round but it will end badly," Netanyahu said. "
"The second round should be considered a given. Hassan's on top of the world back in Hezbollahland. That's Olmert's fault. Israel should be preparing itself, and continue preparing itself. "
To assume a second round (at least in public)is to give the Leb Army and the UN force an out to do nothing. Nasrallah is hard to take down NOW, with a still weak Leb Army, and plenty of legitimacy from surviving the war, and Leb resentement of Israel. Its quite possible that will change over time, and a properly trained and equipped Leb Army will change the political balance of Lebanon. If and when that happens, Nasrallah MAY try to avert being forced to become a "normal" political force by trying to provoke another war - or his masters in Teheran may give orders he cant refuse for another war well before then. But neither eventuality is 100%, and i think even Bibi knows that, as reflected in his statement above.
None of which means that Israel shouldnt prepare immediately for the next war. Learn the lessons, solve the problems wrt tactics, logistics, as well as strategy. My sense is that theres wall to wall support for that, just disagreement about who should do it, and about the large political strategy (esp the question of talks with Baby Assad - the division between "cant talk with him as long as be backs terrorists" vs "maybe hell pull a Qaddafi" all of which is constrained by what Washington wants - if the US wants Israel to talk with Syria they will, and if not, not)
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