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| 2006-11-03 |
| 600K people in the congressional district 400K voters in the congressional district, 40% turnout Historically, that's very high for an off year congressional, 35-37 is much more typical, but it looks like it could go as high as 42% this year. Split the difference and call it 40%. So that means there will be 160K votes cast. Polls indicate that the Challenger, Osama Murtha, , is taking advantage of the media frenzy and one-sided reporting on Iraq, and is ahead by 53 or 54 to 46 or 47 amongst likely voters. The Press is telling everyone Osama Murtha has this one in the bag, and so some of incumbent conservative Rudy Patton's backers just go through the motions, or sit it out like Cut-n-Run Libertarians, c.f. Bill The election comes, and the challenger wins 52%-48%. Polls had him up by 7-8%, but there was a bit of closing rush due to the Kerry flap and TV ad money pouring in, as well as due to sampling errors they were off by 3% (typical these days against conservatives, they tend to be less accessible to pollsters for a variety of reasons and thus tend to be frequently under-sampled). |
| Posted by:OldSpook |
| #4 Go to the national site - you can sign up and make phone calls to "battleground areas" for the Republicans this weekend. All you need to do is sign up, commit to spending half an hour of your time and reporting the results. Yep - even though you live in a one party district, you can reach out nationally. Go for it. |
| Posted by: OldSpook 2006-11-03 11:40 |
| #3 2004 election in the district where I live (CA 33): Diane E. Watson 166,801 votes 88.6% Party: Democratic Almost as good as "elections" held in Saddam's Iraq or Fidel's Cuba. Next time I move and I've got to pay attention to local political stats. |
| Posted by: Kalle (kafir forever) 2006-11-03 10:14 |
| #2 For Your Information: The 4 days start today, and the big 72 hour push is this weekend - so you need to sign up TODAY. There is no more "Later" left to wait around for. You decide if its worth it to get out there or not But let me remind you: Speaker Pelosi, Majority Leader Murtha, Chaman Rangel, Chairman Conyers, Intelligence Chairman Alcee "Impeached for bribery" Hastings and others like that are waiting in the wings to see if you will let them get into power by doing nothing or act to oppose them. Get out of the batters box - you're up at the plate next! |
| Posted by: Oldspook 2006-11-03 02:37 |
| #1 As a bonus, you WILL be noticed by your candidate when you call his office to remind him to vote for the borfer fence funding, etc. You'll have met him and you can remind him that without volunteers liek yourself he'd not be where he is - so he better lsiten this time! |
| Posted by: Oldspook 2006-11-03 02:29 |