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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Loss of Arctic ice leaves experts stunned
2007-09-05
The Arctic ice cap has collapsed at an unprecedented rate this summer and levels of sea ice in the region now stand at record lows, scientists have announced.

An area almost twice as big as the UK disappeared in the last week alone.
Experts say they are "stunned" by the loss of ice, with an area almost twice as big as the UK disappearing in the last week alone.

So much ice has melted this summer that the Northwest passage across the top of Canada is fully navigable, and observers say the Northeast passage along Russia's Arctic coast could open later this month.

If the increased rate of melting continues, the summertime Arctic could be totally free of ice by 2030. Mark Serreze, an Arctic specialist at the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre at Colorado University in Denver, said: "It's amazing. It's simply fallen off a cliff and we're still losing ice."

The Northwest passage across the top of Canada is fully navigable, and the Northeast passage along Russia's Arctic coast could open later this month.
The Arctic has now lost about a third of its ice since satellite measurements began thirty years ago, and the rate of loss has accelerated sharply since 2002. Dr Serreze said: "If you asked me a couple of years ago when the Arctic could lose all of its ice then I would have said 2100, or 2070 maybe. But now I think that 2030 is a reasonable estimate. It seems that the Arctic is going to be a very different place within our lifetimes, and certainly within our childrens' lifetimes."

The new figures show that sea ice extent is currently down to 4.4m square kilometres (1.7m square miles) and still falling. The previous record low was 5.3m square kilometres in September 2005. From 1979 to 2000 the average sea ice extent was 7.7m square kilometres.

The sea ice usually melts in the Arctic summer and freezes again in the winter. But Dr Serreze said that would be difficult this year. "This summer we've got all this open water and added heat going into the ocean. That is going to make it much harder for the ice to grow back."

Changes in wind and ocean circulation patterns can help reduce sea ice extent, but Dr Serreze said the main culprit was man-made global warming. "The rules are starting to change and what's changing the rules is the input of greenhouse gases."
Posted by:lotp

#19  Loss of Arctic ice leaves experts stunned

Well, tag 'em before they wake up!
Posted by: mojo   2007-09-05 17:22  

#18  Whoa! Totally uncool. (Belch).

Sorry, Anonymoose, but it's either you or me, and I have the opposable thumb! However if you will just change your diet, you may be carbon-neutral enough that you won't be a problem. :-)
Posted by: gorb   2007-09-05 17:02  

#17  TW you got that right. I'm a figgering that we'll get one of those magnetic shifts that create more than one set of poles like I saw on the Discovery Channel.

Kinda does a number on the Van Allen belts and lets in all kinds of nasty radiation. Then we'll see REAL glowball warming.
Posted by: AlanC   2007-09-05 16:57  

#16  I'm starting to worry about the coming flip of the magnetic poles. I hope the Greens will soon devise a plan by which us little people can help keep the compasses working.
Posted by: trailing wife   2007-09-05 16:43  

#15  And now ANTARCTIC Ice is at record HIGH in terms of rate of accumulation.
Posted by: OldSpook   2007-09-05 16:34  

#14  Then how come that Brit in his canoe has to have the Canadians run an ice breaker through the floes for him since he is stuck by all the ice?
Posted by: Jack is Back!   2007-09-05 15:57  

#13  At least now I know where to plan my summer vaction in 2030.

Maybe the time has come for the "experts" to admit that they have no f*cking clue why these global changes are occurring, how fast they will progress or what to do about them.
Posted by: Grumenk Philalzabod0723   2007-09-05 13:26  

#12  Unfortunately for the greens,

"The horror of slightly warmer Arctic winters is upon us."

will not get too many people riled up besides the fanatics
Posted by: mhw   2007-09-05 13:13  

#11  The "Experts" really are that expert, now are they?
Posted by: DarthVader   2007-09-05 13:09  

#10  If ALL the sea ice melted, it would not raise the sea level one millimeter. The glaciers on Greenland and Antartica are a different matter, but as rjschwarz pointed out, they are increasing.
Posted by: Rambler   2007-09-05 10:47  

#9  gorb: Whoa! Totally uncool. (Belch). Maybe I'll cut back on the Mexican food and beer and all. (Fraaap)
Posted by: Anonymoose   2007-09-05 10:41  

#8  Thing is they are very specifically talking about Sea Ice rather than land glaciers on Greenland and Antarctica which have grown.
Posted by: rjschwarz   2007-09-05 10:36  

#7  Except it's not true. Experts would be even more stunned if they went to try it out.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2007-09-05 09:16  

#6  I wonder how long it's been since this has occurred before?

1930-1945 saw higher arctic temps: 1880-2004 Artic Temps

What is different this time is the Asian Pollution Cloud from primarily unscrubbed Chinese power and industrial plants, and to a smaller extent India and Indonesian fires. Contrast the small fraction of man made CO2 as a fraction of total CO2 vs. the amount of light absorbing soot deposited on snow vs. just 50 years ago.

Dirty snow may warm Arctic as much as greenhouse gases
In the past two centuries, the Arctic has warmed about 1.6 degrees. Dirty snow caused .5 to 1.5 degrees of warming, or up to 94 percent of the observed change, the scientists determined.

So in a way, it is America's fault. Without the $300 billion/year purchases from China and the wholesale transfer of the US industrial base to unregulated China, the particulate emissions have increased many times.
Posted by: ed   2007-09-05 07:33  

#5  And if the global warming predicted by the "Hockey Stick" continues, all the water in the oceans will be vaporized by 2312 and the land will be molten by 2793!

Get your carbon indulgences here!
Posted by: A. Gore   2007-09-05 06:01  

#4  Interesting information. I wonder how long it's been since this has occurred before?

All the pollution in the rivers of China pouring tio the ocean are acting as an anti-freeze in the Arctic. (See you can blame it on US consumers for you are nuts enough.)
Posted by: Sock Puppet of Doom   2007-09-05 03:40  

#3  Looks like I better go kill my pet moose.
Posted by: gorb   2007-09-05 03:02  

#2  "Different place ...within our childrens' lifetimes" > MADONNA's "League of Their Own" -"This used to be my playground ...Used to be the place I ran to ..."etc. Another place in [future] past time???
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2007-09-05 02:17  

#1  1. There are Ice Ages

2. Then there is Global Warming

3. Then there is another Ice Age

Still confused?
Posted by: McZoid   2007-09-05 02:02  

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