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Home Front: Politix
Economy Fears Overtake War Concerns
2007-11-04
Title gives a fresh slant, doncha think?
Poll Finds Americans Pessimistic, Want Change
War, Economy, Politics Sour Views of Nation's Direction


One year out from the 2008 election, Americans are deeply pessimistic and eager for a change in direction from the agenda and priorities of President Bush, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Concern about the economy, the war in Iraq and growing dissatisfaction with the political environment in Washington all contribute to the lowest public assessment of the direction of the country in more than a decade. Just 24 percent think the nation is on the right track, and three-quarters said they want the next president to chart a course that is different than that pursued by Bush.

Overwhelmingly, Democrats want a new direction, but so do three-quarters of independents and even half of Republicans. Sixty percent of all Americans said they feel strongly that such a change is needed after two terms of the Bush presidency.

Dissatisfaction with the war in Iraq remains a primary drag on public opinion, and Americans are increasingly downcast about the state of the economy. More than six in 10 called the war not worth fighting, ...
... there's the current meme, right on schedule ...
... and nearly two-thirds gave the national economy negative marks. The outlook going forward is also bleak: About seven in 10 see a recession as likely over the next year.
Despite low unemployment, rising median wages, a decent stock market, good corporate profits and plenty of consumer spending. I've always thought that Americans can't ever be happy about the economy, no matter how god it is, and this is more proof.
The overall landscape tilts in the direction of the Democrats, but there is evidence in the new poll -- matched in conversations with political strategists in both parties and follow-up interviews with survey participants -- that the coming battle for the White House is shaping up to be another hard-fought, highly negative and closely decided contest.
Much more at link. A few nuggets:
At this stage, three issues dominate the electoral landscape, with the war in Iraq at the top of the list. Nearly half of all adults, 45 percent, cited Iraq as the most or second-most important issue in their choice for president. About three in 10 cited the economy and jobs (29 percent) or health care (27 percent). All other issues are in the single digits.
Immigration is cited by 12% of Republicans, 10% of independents, and 3% of Dhimmicrats. There's your wedge issue right there.
Still, strategists on both sides foresee another close election. "The biggest dynamic is that people want change from the policies of the Bush administration," said Mark Penn, Hillary Clinton's chief strategist. But he added that "it's not a clear path" to victory for the Democrats, noting that no Democratic nominee has won 50 percent of the general-election vote since Jimmy Carter in 1976.

The Post-ABC poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 29 to Nov. 1 among a random sample of 1,131 adults, and includes additional interviews with randomly selected African Americans for a total of 203 black respondents. The results from the full poll have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points.
Posted by:Bobby

#13  no Democratic nominee has won 50 percent of the general-election vote since Jimmy Carter in 1976.

I'm here to help!
Posted by: Ralph Nader   2007-11-04 19:02  

#12  How many billions would local economies save if we were not bleed out cash to lost jobs and welfare payments to illegals?

How about a bounty.
Posted by: Icerigger   2007-11-04 18:27  

#11  If Hillary is elected and Pelosi and Reid get an iron grip, we will be hearing a slew of stories about economic resurgence and military gains in Iraq.

Most likely, but I find it hard to believe that at that point anyone will believe anything Hillary says. She vaccilates on every issue, doesn't have a position on anything, and flip-flops on everything.
Posted by: JohnQC   2007-11-04 15:55  

#10  The overriding MSM meme is that unless Democrats control Congress and the White House, any poll which indicates dissatisfaction with the state of the country will be played up.

If Hillary is elected and Pelosi and Reid get an iron grip, we will be hearing a slew of stories about economic resurgence and military gains in Iraq.
Posted by: Agar, Conquistador of the Voles007   2007-11-04 14:26  

#9  110% of the respondents agreed with the WaPo's opinion
Posted by: Frank G   2007-11-04 13:07  

#8  I can't imagine what other reason they'd have for oversampling like that.

Other than trying to get the result they want?

Numbers are convincing; all the more so if they have a decimal point. People seldom ask where did these numbers come from and what do they mean.
Posted by: SteveS   2007-11-04 12:59  

#7  That's more than double the actual percentage of blacks in the American population at large, although it's about right for the state of Maryland or in the Post's local circulation area in general. Was this a *local* or a *national* poll? I can't see anywhere where it indicates that it's local, but I can't imagine what other reason they'd have for oversampling like that.
Posted by: Mitch H.   2007-11-04 12:46  

#6  Considering the area the 'poll' was taken in, and the blatantly unsubstantiated claim of +-3% error, the rampant handwringing pessimism 'reported' can be traced to the WaPo/NBC ownership and the DNC.
Posted by: Phinater Thraviger   2007-11-04 12:34  

#5  Dealing with this Congress would take my appetite away too.
Posted by: lotp   2007-11-04 11:26  

#4  Time to start beating the drums about something new.

Iran. Or the Land of the Pure. Bush has no legal right to do anything with out the prior consent of Congress. That's why he's such a light eater.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2007-11-04 10:46  

#3  I said this yesterday - continued success will remove Iraq as a campaign issue come next November. Time to start beating the drums about something new. But what? The economy is a traditional issue, but unfortunately unemployment is low, the national debt is declining, and except for a crappy housing market and the entire state of Michigan, things aren't so bad. Not to worry! A steady stream of bad news and media oh noes! will work on public perception. Just like it did for Iraq.
Posted by: SteveS   2007-11-04 09:41  

#2  Polls - the original fake but true news.

WaPo needs to change the subject since the 'defeat' in Iraq won't arrive as promised in time for next years election. "Democrats want a new direction". No kidding. They've played a losing hand, I'm sure they and their sycophants in the media are desperate about changing the subject.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2007-11-04 08:43  

#1  One-fifth of respondents were black? It would be a lot more honest if one-fifth were Mexican. The black vote is too monolithic to give an honest response, but the Mexican vote tends to swing.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2007-11-04 08:35  

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