| Submit your comments on this article |
| Africa Horn |
| France faces tough choices over Chad |
| 2008-02-05 |
| France is observing the dramatic developments in Chad in a state of nervous exasperation. The latest news that the rebels have pulled out of the centre of N'Djamena - with President Idriss Deby still apparently in charge - has come as a relief. But, seen from Paris, the situation remains highly unstable. The government of Nicolas Sarkozy is going to have to walk on diplomatic and military egg-shells for some time yet. The Root Cause™ of France's discomfort is that it is trying to pursue two policy objectives that the rebel offensive has made incompatible. Civil war On the one hand, the government is adamant that the bad old days of "la Francafrique" - when French troops regularly intervened to prop up corrupt allies - have been consigned to history. CHAD TIMELINE There is therefore no question of France's 1,450 soldiers permanently based in Chad being used to keep Mr Deby in power. As Mr Sarkozy's Cabinet Director Claude Gueant said on Sunday, "the conflict in Chad is a civil war and the antagonists are Chadians; France can only intervene in the context of an international mandate". "Like we always did in Africa. Really." In fact a military co-operation agreement does exist between France and its former colony, but officially this only extends to providing logistical and intelligence aid. So far in the conflict France has observed a strict neutrality, surprising some observers by not offering even the kind of discreet help it has done in the past. In 2006, for example, a French Mirage jet fired shots across the bows of an advancing rebel column - thus delivering an unmistakeable message not to go further. Nothing similar has happened today. Regional ambitions This neutrality is an awkward posture for France because of the second of its two policy objectives. This is the need, for now, to keep Idriss Deby in power. If the French government feels no special affection for the man, the fact nonetheless remains that the Chadian leader has become a key player in France's wider regional ambitions. The focus of these ambitions is the deployment - planned to take place as of now - of a new European protection force in eastern Chad. Mr Sarkozy has staked an enormous amount of prestige in promoting this, the biggest ever EU peacekeeping force. Now, that's a very mean and hurtful thing to say! Officially given the go-ahead only a week ago, Eufor's task will be to provide security for refugees from Darfur and other displaced persons. Eventually a mixed UN-African Union force should do the same job on the Sudan side of the border. For Mr Sarkozy, Eufor represents both the symbol of a new ethical Africa policy, so different from the grubby arrangements of the past, and a supreme test for Europe's emerging defence identity. It took months of tough negotiations with Mr Deby to get the force accepted. THE REBEL COALITION It was nearly derailed by the Zoe's Ark charity fiasco late last year, when French aid workers were convicted of trying to smuggle out children. And now, just as it was all about to happen, the plan has gone pear-shaped. The deployment has been put on hold, and if the rebels win it may never happen at all. Oh, well, let's forget it, then. Of course, for the French government, there is no coincidence in the timing. The rebels did not want Eufor to deploy because its presence would hinder their freedom to manoeuvre against Mr Deby. More disturbingly, the Sudanese government - generally accepted to be the Chadian rebels' backer - also had strong reasons not to want Eufor in place. They do not want any serious international force within reach of Darfur. The rebels had to act fast. They left the Sudanese border last Monday - the very day of Eufor's endorsement by Brussels - and were in N'Djamena by week's end. The dilemma for Paris has been painful: to intervene - and be caricatured as a throw-back to the neo-colonialism of "la Francafrique" - or not to intervene, and see a first chance to stand tall on the African continent dwindle into the desert sands? So far the preferred option has been to wait, and hope that fortune turns. Signs that the rebels may have over-reached themselves - and their 500-mile supply chain - have been greeted with barely disguised glee. But, if the situation deteriorates, there is another option: internationalisation. It never fails to work. Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner said on Monday that France was, for the time being, keeping its distance from the conflict. "But if there is a UN Security Council resolution or if the On Monday, the Security Council did pass a resolution condemning the rebel advance and calling for governments to extend support to President Idriss Deby. It remains to be seen whether that amounts to the cover that France needs to intervene. |
| Posted by:anonymous5089 |
| #2 I see that the phrase 'Hanging Chad' has a different meaning in France. In or out Mr. Sarkozy. Isn't the opposition leader (Lol Mohamed Shawa?)who boycotted the election part of a larger islamic court type organization? If so I feel this is part of the continued expansion of said groups to capture oil reserves as Somolia was needed as a port to export. Passed off as la Francafrique does not make sense as anything other than an excuse as they are talking base in the Middle East. My advice is either run away from a tough position where is may not even be possible to reinforce with troops and equipment for weeks or get in there now with what you got (air cover for AU forces) and make the time for reinforcements. Sitting there indecisive looks shitty and endangers your troops. |
| Posted by: swksvolFF 2008-02-05 14:51 |
| #1 Obviously the only viable course of action is for France to refer the matter to the UN Security Council and await permission to act from Russia, China, Britain and the United States. |
| Posted by: Excalibur 2008-02-05 10:54 |