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Caribbean-Latin America
Behind the Colombia - Ecuador - Venezuela Border Fracas
2008-03-05
by Austin Bay

The real news behind South America's latest border fracas is Colombia's looming victory in its own narcotics-powered civil war.

This is a victory Colombia's chief international antagonist, Venezuelan caudillo Hugo Chavez, fears -- for several calculating reasons.

Let's start with Colombia's slow and grueling democratic accomplishment. On Feb. 5, hundreds of thousands of Colombian citizens marched in the capital, Bogota, in a mass protest against crime and terrorism. Their anger had an explicit political target: the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, better known by its Spanish acronym, FARC.

The jam-packed demonstrations impressed reporters and correspondents who have followed Colombia's brutal two decades of "The New Violence." The protests provided in-your-face media evidence that security in Bogota had indeed improved dramatically and that public confidence in local and national institutions had revived.
Posted by:Steve White

#8  I think Yugo is going to do _something_ stupid. Columbia is in a position to put a really big dent into FARC and he's gonna have to act fast before his window of opportunity closes. So he's going to go ahead and do something stupid so he can lose a big war (or win it at ruinous cost) rather than risk losing the Cold Peace.
Posted by: Abdominal Snowman   2008-03-05 19:13  

#7  I'm looking at the free republic thread Joseph mentioned; you can find it here.

It has some nice comments.
Posted by: Abdominal Snowman   2008-03-05 19:11  

#6  Yes, JM - a bunch of us are concerned about that.
Posted by: lotp   2008-03-05 18:47  

#5  Looks like SOUTHCOM = AFRICOM will have several big jobs/agendums after all.

My biggest worry is that Moud, Radical Islamism, North Korea, African Wars-Crises, and now South Amer will explode in the Year 2000 POTUS Campaign known as the Year 2008 POTUS Campaign, VV AMERICA'S ALREADY OVERBURDENED ALL-VOLUNTEER ARMY, + OSAMA's US-SPECIFIC "ECONOMIC/NATIONAL BANKRUPTCY" SPEECH-VIDEO???
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2008-03-05 18:19  

#4  If Chavez messes around we take out his airforce.

...and oil offload transfer facilities.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2008-03-05 16:16  

#3  I read a suggestion yesterday that I liked. The US should plan joint exercises with the Colombia airforce and send out top of the line fighters there. If Chavez messes around we take out his airforce.
Posted by: rjschwarz   2008-03-05 13:26  

#2  Hopefully we can have a che-like picture of oogoo's bullet riddled corpse on a slab just in time for the US election...
Posted by: M. Murcek   2008-03-05 12:13  

#1  petty ante dictators like Chavez will usually fold when challenged by a credible force. They rise to power on intimidation and fear. But the fact is that when a real force fights back, few have what it takes to maintain their illusion of power.
Posted by: Crease Poodle1618   2008-03-05 11:56  

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