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Africa Subsaharan
Bob threatens Botswana
2008-07-05
Robert Mugabe has warned neighbouring countries to 'think twice' before launching an attack against his regime. Analysts say this could be viewed as a direct threat to Botswana, who this week deployed an army brigade with artillery to patrol it's border with Zimbabwe. Botswana described the troop movement as 'a precaution' against trouble spilling over into their country.
Might be true, or might be a cover story.
Relations between Botswana and Zimbabwe came to an all time low at the Au Summit in Egypt on Tuesday, when they refused to recognise Mugabe's stolen election win. On Friday they reiterated calls for Mugabe's regime to be suspended from the AU and the 14-nation SADC community.

Botswana's new president, Ian Khama, a former commander of the country's defence forces, has become increasingly critical of Mugabe's rule and the problems it has caused in neighbouring countries. Foreign Minister Phandu Sekelemani told reporters in Gaborone that as a country that practices democracy and the rule of law, they do not recognize the outcome of Zimbabwe's presidential run-off election, and would expect other SADC member states to do the same.

Speaking to his bussed in 'supporters' on his arrival home on Friday Mugabe warned his neighbours to be careful about provoking his government: "If there are some who may want to fight us, they should think twice. We don't intend to fight any neighbours. We are a peaceful country, but if there is a country, a neighbouring country that is itching for a fight, ah, then let them try it."

A military analyst told Newsreel in the unlikely event of a war situation Mugabe's army would struggle to sustain a battle, due to a number of factors.

"The country's airpower is almost ground to a halt due to lack of spare parts, soldiers' morale is low because of poor serving conditions and the state of the economy limits the extent of how long the country can sustain a war. Currently the army is sending it's soldiers on forced leave due to food shortages in army barracks. These are all factors that constrain its operations,"' the analyst said.
How many soldiers will die for Bob? Zimbob army has to be a near-wreck right now, useful only to keep Bob and the generals in power. I imagine the Botswanan army isn't a world-beater, either, and they might also have problems sustaining any major field operation. But to the extent that this increases the stress levels on Bob and the generals it's a useful thing.
Posted by:Steve White

#8  #7 Wondering if any of the Vulcans still works. The noise alone....
The most underrated anti-personnel weapon in any nation's armory, especially against lightly-armored and unarmored vehicles and anybody not inside the equivalent of an M-1.
Posted by: Old Patriot   2008-07-05 23:11  

#7  Wondering if any of the Vulcans still works. The noise alone....
Posted by: HalfEmpty   2008-07-05 15:16  

#6  FV101 Scorpion light tank - 36
SK-105 Kurassier light tank - 50
Cadillac Gage Commando - 12
BTR-60 armoured personnel carrier - 30
FV103 Spartan armoured personnel carrier - 6
RAM/RBY armoured personnel carrier - 8
L118 Light Gun 105 mm towed howitzer - 12
OTO Melara Mod 56 pack towed artillery (105 mm) 6
Soltam (reported) towed artillery (155 mm)
Mortar (81 mm) - 12
M-43 Mortar (120 mm) - 6
TOW anti-tank missile launchers - 6
Carl Gustav recoilless rifle 84 mm - 30
M167 Vulcan air defence gun 20 mm - 7
SA-7 Grail portable surface-to-air missile launchers - 12
SA-16 portable surface-to-air missile launchers - 10
Javelin surface-to-air missile launchers - 6

Note the emphasis on light armor in this equipment set. This is well suited to the terrain and distances involved in the nominal task of rounding up Bob's demoralized rabble.
Posted by: Atomic Conspiracy   2008-07-05 13:19  

#5  Botswana Defence Force
Posted by: Atomic Conspiracy   2008-07-05 13:13  

#4  Botswana is a big player in that part of Africa. They are well trained and can afford decent weapons. You might want to think twice about pissing them off, Bob. I guarantee the US would at least supply them with intel against your dumb ass and their military does more than beat up little old ladies.
Posted by: DarthVader   2008-07-05 09:41  

#3  Botswana is the wealthiest, most productive, more progressive country south of the Sahara in Africa and I include that basket case South Africa. Their officer corps are trained by US Army in America - some at Ft. Stewart, Ft. McNair and Ft. Bragg. They are highly disciplined (the American way, not the French way). If I was Bob I wouldn't make idle threats or start harassing the border.
Posted by: Jack is Back!   2008-07-05 07:54  

#2  Good points. Some quiet American intel, some Brit advisors, some old surplus Soviet equipment, all could make a difference.
Posted by: Steve White   2008-07-05 00:17  

#1  It depends who will be providing support and intelligence to Botswana. As with the Ethiopian invasion of Somalia, the invisible hand will greatly multiply the Botswana military.

The big question is what planes are landing in the capital city Gaborone?

And oddly enough, Islam will have no part to play in any unpleasantness, as they are both Christian nations.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2008-07-05 00:15  

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