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Home Front: Politix
GOP: Lift drilling ban or risk shutdown
2008-08-05
The showdown on Capitol Hill over expanding offshore drilling could lead to a threatened government shutdown when Congress returns from its five-week summer break in early September.
Those of you who wanted this before now see why the Pubs waited. Now they have a lever .. or at least a big stick. If I were McCain, I'd aid and abet this on the side and make sure I'm there in the Senate the day it comes to a vote. And dare Obama to be there as well ...
Some Republicans say they are prepared to vote against a resolution to fund the federal government for the 2009 fiscal year unless Democrats agree to lift an offshore drilling moratorium. If the budget resolution fails, many agencies and departments would be denied money to operate and would be forced to close.

"We don't want the government shutdown to be an issue, but the fact is the Democrats are so overconfident that they're willing to talk about a ban and they're willing to talk about raising taxes on gasoline, so this is just pretty incredible," said Sen. Jim DeMint, a South Carolina Republican who is circulating a letter encouraging colleagues to demand that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, Nevada Democrat, strike the drilling moratorium from the budget resolution. "But I think that once Americans realize that this [drilling] ban will expire unless we pass something, I think there is going to be just an outcry to not vote for anything that had a ban in it."

The congressional drilling moratorium was first enacted in 1982 and has been renewed every year since. It prohibits oil and gas leasing on most of the outer continental shelf - three miles to 200 miles offshore - and expanded oil shale development in the West. The ban is set to expire at the end of September, but Democratic leaders are expected to include a one-year extension in legislation that they will introduce next month to continue funding the government for the 2009 fiscal year, which begins Oct. 1.

The impasse centers on Republican demands that any energy plan include a provision to expand domestic oil drilling to areas currently off-limits, including a wildlife reserve in northern Alaska and in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Democrats oppose the idea, saying oil companies already have millions available drilling acres on land they're not using.

"If the Democrats choose to hold the continuation of government operations as a hostage, then as far as I'm concerned, I can't vote for anything that has a ban in it," Mr. DeMint said. "That would just be a betrayal of everything we're talking about as Republicans. And I think that most Republicans are going to feel that way."

Republicans say the ban needs to be lifted to lower gas prices and to reduce the nation's dependence on foreign oil. "On October 1, the bans on offshore drilling and oil shale recovery will end, enabling us to finally be able to develop more American energy - unless Democrats actively prohibit exploration," said Rep. Jeb Hensarling, a Texas Republican who also is circulating letter encouraging House Republicans to pressure House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, California Democrat, to drop the ban. "I hope that Speaker Pelosi and Democrats in the House and Senate recognize the pain Americans are feeling and will not actively enact legislation to block the development of American energy," he said.

Democratic leaders in both houses of Congress have refused to allow a stand-alone bill on drilling. In protest, Republicans have blocked several Democratic bills in both chambers, saying they will continue to do so unless Democrats agree to a drilling vote.

Democrats control both houses of Congress, but hold only a 51-49 vote advantage in the Senate. A budget resolution may require 60 votes for passage, meaning only 41 opposing votes would be needed to block the measure.

Such a move could be risky for Republicans. In 1995, when House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Georgia Republican, led a shutdown of the federal government in a dispute with President Clinton over the budget, the public turned against Republicans, who blamed the party for the impasse after a threatened delay of Social Security and Medicare checks.

But with public opinion polls showing that most Americans support increased offshore drilling, Republicans are emboldened to challenge Democrats on the issue, and say that Democrats, not Republicans, would be blamed for the consequences of a government shutdown.

"As far as I'm concerned, on October 1 we should be able to begin the leasing process of drilling and mining in both of those areas of American [energy] supply," House Minority Whip Roy Blunt, Missouri Republican, said on C-SPAN's "Newsmakers" show Sunday. "In this environment, where energy is the most important issue and the only thing you're fighting over is whether you allow drilling, we'll have to wait and see. [But] I'd rather be on the side that wanted to go after American energy sources than the side that didn't."
Posted by:Steve White

#15  How's that electric replacement for diesel truck engines coming along, Taz?
Posted by: Muggsy Glink   2008-08-05 23:49  

#14  I don't support off-shore drilling or nuclear power. Why not offer electric engine conversions if we need more power. Creating more floating homages to past civilizations is behind the times. Why not offer to sell small solar panels to all households and office buildings if we need it? Surely someone could make a business out of THAT economy?
Posted by: Durin Tazwell   2008-08-05 22:23  

#13  NPR is very heavy into wishful thinking. They should be the first agency Bush defunds in the shut down.

I'll dissent from AS and Iblis on two counts.

First, regardless of who wins, I expect this to be a very close election. A lot of Barry's most fervent supporters will have a cow if the ban is lifted, even if only for 3 months and it could hurt his support from the base.

Second, Barry is doing a lot of flipping, a lot. This will make a great ad late in the election. People, especially those who wait till the last minute to decide, want a leader who knows where he wants to go, even if it isn't the direction they would choose, rather than someone who checks the polls every day to find out what to stand for.

The donks are between a rock and a hard place on this issue, especially if the trunks play their cards right. The trunk House leadership is finally doing a good job of putting it to the donks. Donks who vote one way in October and another in January will be in a world of hurt if oil prices are high at the next election.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2008-08-05 21:55  

#12  I have to agree with Iblis and Abdominal Snowman. On NPR this afternoon they were talking about Obama's coat tails in this election. If I had money to invest in oil fields, I certainly wouldn't do so until after the election returns came in.
Posted by: trailing wife   2008-08-05 20:35  

#11  I'm fascinated and amused by the fatalism that people are taking already assuming that as a fact. Destroying your opponents will the resist seems to be working as people are surrendering even before the fight.

I think the Dems accept this as an article of faith, so understanding Dem thinking requires accepting as given a Dem victory come November.

Personally, I really wish we weren't running McCain this year, because I like our chances for the presidency.
Posted by: Iblis   2008-08-05 15:59  

#10  Maybe so, but IF you had _a couple hundred billion dollars_ or so to invest in the oil industry, would you invest it RIGHT NOW not knowing whether the investment was going to be wiped out come January 22 thanks to a new Windfall Profits Tax?
Posted by: Abdominal Snowman   2008-08-05 15:58  

#9  ...when the Dems are looking forward to getting four years of virtual dictatorship starting in January

I'm fascinated and amused by the fatalism that people are taking already assuming that as a fact. Destroying your opponents will the resist seems to be working as people are surrendering even before the fight.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2008-08-05 15:41  

#8  It matters nothing. No one is going to spend money on drilling based on Congress's failure to renew the ban in September. The Dems figure they can let the renewal lapse, but it won't make any difference because they'll be running the entire show come January.

I'm afraid this is right. Compare and contrast the size of the American oilfield now with what it was in the mid-80's. It was 50% larger then. It'll take massive hiring and capital expenditures to get it that large again, and noone's going to risk doing that when the Dems are looking forward to getting four years of virtual dictatorship starting in January.
Posted by: Abdominal Snowman   2008-08-05 14:05  

#7  Is that wishful thinking on your part, Iblis ?
Just recently Obama was so confident he would become Pres, that he bought an AF-1 of his own and went on a victory tour.
Now, he trails by 1. Are you still sure Iblis ?
Posted by: wxjames   2008-08-05 13:01  

#6  It matters nothing. No one is going to spend money on drilling based on Congress's failure to renew the ban in September. The Dems figure they can let the renewal lapse, but it won't make any difference because they'll be running the entire show come January.
Posted by: Iblis   2008-08-05 12:14  

#5  Shut the government down. I bet most people would support it at this point.
Posted by: DarthVader   2008-08-05 11:49  

#4  GO FOR IT! Take down Pelosi and the dems and you take down her puppet the Obamessiah.
Posted by: Besoeker   2008-08-05 09:45  

#3  If the Trunks had a bit of smarts in their cranium, they'd put full pressure on, with everyone but the hard blue district players in a untenable position and then....
pull procedure to elect a DINO as the new speaker, along with those DINOs out to save their own hide. Pass the end to the moratorium and pass continuing resolutions on department funding to keep the place running and leave the situation to sort itself out till after the election.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2008-08-05 09:17  

#2  The shutdown is going to be far more favorable for the Republicans this time. They can let the Dems ram the legislation through over their unanimous objection, allow the unpopular lame-duck President to veto it, and refuse to help override the veto when it comes back. All of the pressure will be squarely on the Dems to cave, I doubt those up for re-election outside of very solidly blue districts will have the stomach to stand with Reid & Pelosi on this one.
Posted by: AzCat   2008-08-05 01:52  

#1  This issue is too big to ignore. We have never had a COMPREHENSIVE energy policy and plan. Pumping oil out of a salt dome savings account is NOT a plan. It is an appeasement band aid.

I say, shut the m****r f****r down and ram this down the dems tratorous throats. Get some gravel in your guts republicans, and quit feeding from the trough for a bit and do the right thing.
Posted by: Alaska Paul   2008-08-05 00:31  

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