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Mountains of debt and taxes fueling anti-incumbent mood |
2009-11-06 |
If you want to understand what is really happening in American politics today, the latest Rothenberg Political Report on the 2010 Senate races is an eye-opener. Barely a year after Democrats took back the White House and further strengthened their grip on Congress, President Obama's public approval score has dropped to near 50 percent or less, at least two dozen or more Democratic House members are in danger of upsets, and for the first time in this election cycle, more Senate Democratic seats than Republican seats are vulnerable. "With the landscape changing noticeably over the summer, Democrats can no longer assume that they will have a net gain of seats in next year's midterm elections," veteran elections handicapper Stuart Rothenberg told his newsletter subscribers this week. "Of the 13 Senate seats now regarded as seriously 'in play,' seven of them are currently held by Democrats," Mr. Rothenberg said. Just three months ago, Mr. Rothenberg wrote that Democratic Senate gains "in the order of 2-4 seats certainly seem reasonable." Now he says that "gains of that magnitude are still possible, of course, but the most likely outcome is somewhere between a Republican gain of two seats and a Democratic gain of two seats." Clearly, there has been a significant and surprisingly rapid change in the country's political climate, led by a truly grass-roots rebellion against the Democrats' big spending, big government, high tax policies that threaten to add trillions of dollars to the nation's ballooning national debt. This week's off-year elections were just a warm-up for what's to come. With 10 percent-plus unemployment looming in 2010, an anemic, jobless economy at best, and trillion dollar deficits as far as the eye can see, the Democrats, and the nation, are in for a wild and bumpy ride. Among the most dramatic changes in Mr. Rothenberg's Democratic Senate election ratings:
There is an impatient, angry mood in the country that continues to grow amid increasing doubts that trillions of dollars in new spending and taxes will put us on the path to economic prosperity. All of the early political signs - including Tuesday's stunning Republican victories in Virginia and New Jersey - suggest increasing losses for Mr. Obama's party. "There is a significant anti-Washington mood out there and significant anti-incumbent mood," Texas Sen. John Cornyn, chairman of the Republican Party's Senate campaign committee, told Roll Call. "But clearly the Democrats have the tougher time of it because they are clearly in charge and there seems to be considerable pushback to their policy proposals on health care and otherwise." But forget about the campaign poll numbers for now. The numbers that are really driving this election cycle are 3.5 million lost jobs, a record $1.4 trillion budget deficit, $12 trillion in added government debt and a mountain of new taxes that threatens to bleed our economy dry. |
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