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China-Japan-Koreas
China Opposed to Korean Reunification, Says U.S. Expert
2010-01-09
A U.S. expert on inter-Korean affairs claims that China is fundamentally against the reunification of the two Koreas. During a speech entitled "The Cost and Consequences of Korean Unification" delivered in Washington on Wednesday, Peter Beck, a research fellow at Stanford University's Asia Pacific Research Center, said China is against reunification should it stem from a failed North Korea and that its principal policy regarding the Korean Peninsula is stability.

This is because China does not want another predicament on its border with the North, like the famine in the mid-1990s that drove thousands of North Korean refugees into Manchuria, Beck said.
Too bad, because a unified Korea is the quickest way for China to see the US leave the peninsula.
If either internal or external troubles in Pyongyang trigger a reunification, Beck predicted that Beijing will first seal its border with the North and then establish a buffer zone some 15 to 30 km wide to prevent chaos from crossing into China.

However, the scholar said a reunification initiated by a vibrant South Korea will be most welcomed by the U.S. and bolster Korea-U.S. relations. And although China's actions after reunification are difficult to guess, he predicted that if a unified Korea maintained its ties with Washington, China would take an aggressive stance to improve relations with its neighbor.

Beck said that Japan is also against reunification of the Korean peninsula since it could raise Korea's potential to become a major regional power.
Korea is already a major regional power.
Posted by:Steve White

#9  "How is that germane to the discussion, Alaska Paul?"

I'm guessing it's because it's a lot warmer and more comfortable there than in Korea, tw.

Hell, that's a lot warmer than our "sunny South" right now. :-(
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2010-01-09 21:37  

#8  Nonsense, Pappy. Who ever heard of an AI with a grandmother who tells stories of the Japanese invasion of Guam?
Posted by: trailing wife   2010-01-09 20:26  

#7  There's a theory that JM is an AI program residing in a USAF weather computer on Guam.
Posted by: Pappy   2010-01-09 20:12  

#6  How is that germane to the discussion, Alaska Paul?
Posted by: trailing wife   2010-01-09 19:30  

#5  Agania airport weather, Guam: wind ENE 13kt, few clouds at 2000, 5000 scattered, 10000 scattered, temp 79F, dewpoint 73F, altimeter 29.90 rising. No snow in the terminal forecast at this time.
Posted by: Alaska Paul   2010-01-09 18:45  

#4  It is the job of the South Koreans to convince the Chinese of several facts of unification that could be broadly in China's favor.

The first of these is that North Korea is dangerously unstable, and this instability is almost as threatening to China as it is to South Korea.

Second is that North Korean illegal aliens in China are caused by this instability as well, and if stability and some degree of prosperity is restored, then many or even most of the Koreans in China will want to go home.

Third is that Korea mostly does things "The Chinese Way", so it offers no cultural menace to China.

Fourth is that a unified Korea's natural alignment is with China. After unification, billions of dollars of trade going back and forth. While South Korea will be paying to restore North Korea, the materials, equipment, and labor will to a great extent be Chinese.

Fifth is that South Korea doesn't want nukes, at would be quite happy if China would police every bit of it up and take it to China for disposal. And once those nukes are gone, nobody else in the regions will want nukes either. Especially not Taiwan or Japan.

Sixth is that the US would probably be very happy to retreat to just a single naval base in Pusan, if that. This would take a lot of pressure off the Chinese navy

If done properly, reunification of Korea could be a windfall for China in a bunch of different ways, just for the cost of ridding themselves of a crazy pest.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2010-01-09 13:05  

#3  China is opposed to a unified Korea following a collapse of the North. Who would have guessed that a Western South Korea with a grudge against China for propping up the North, now inheritting North Koreas nukes. Good thing we have experts. I never would have guessed that one. China needs to take over the North. Demilitarize them and start to fix them this would get the Us out or in a bad position and prevent a collapse and allow them tograb any nukes and erase any evidence.
Posted by: Rjschwarz   2010-01-09 11:49  

#2  Joe's onto something, namely what happens when a floating currency sinks.

PS - warm in Guam today? Snowing in Florida this morning.
Posted by: Halliburton - Mysterious Conspiracy Division   2010-01-09 11:27  

#1  WMF > US IN TEARS: CHINA, RUSSIA PLAN AND ARE WORKING TO EMPOWER A "POST-US NUCLEAR AGE".

versus

BHARAT RAKSHAK > TIMES OF INDJUH > IS CHINA'S ECONOMY HEADED FOR A CRASH? Bubbles, Bubbles, toil and PRC-endangering credit bubbles.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2010-01-09 01:01  

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