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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Q: Who is Iran's primary military target?
2010-02-01
Everyone, almost reflexively, says Israel. But is this true?

Israel is no larger than New Jersey. If Iran wants to destroy Israel it would not take many nuclear bombs to do so.

Why is Iran embarking on its path only to get a handful of nukes which they will then immediately use on Israel?

Jerusalem is Islam's 3rd Holiest city. In Islamic eschatology, the coming Mahdi (Shia Islam's 12th imam) will establish Jerusalem as the capital of the worldwide Caliphate.

Would the Govt of the Islamic republic nuke the future capital of their future leader's empire?

Does Iran call Israel the Great Satan. No. The United States is the Great Satan.

Iran will only have one chance to use nuclear weapons against its target. It knows will face retaliation and so it must choose this target wisely.

Is Nuclear Suicide worth the price of destroying the Great Satan.. the main obstacle to a Global Caliphate?

or is Iran going to destroy itself just to destroy Israel... leaving the United States in power to keep Sharia law from gaining global predominance?

I believe the United States is the nuclear target of Iran. Israel is just misdirection.
Posted by:tipper

#6  Don't we already call it the Persian Gulf, Nimble Spemble?
Posted by: trailing wife   2010-02-01 22:05  

#5  The strategic objective of Iran is dominance of the region, which can only happen if the US packs up and leaves. So convincing the US to leave is the goal. How that is achieved is their focus.

Perhaps sinking one of our aircraft carrier fleets, ideally with plausible deniability, after getting Russian and Chinese help against US retaliation. If they could pull that off, they could afford a decade of pretending to be nice with everything.

Figuring that in that time the US would lose its will to police the region.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2010-02-01 20:38  

#4  Iran doesn't have a military target for its nukes, only diplomatic. They want to be the Alpha state in the Gulf, the Gulf the world will now call the Persian Gulf. They control how much oil goes through the Straights of Hormuz. And their dominance will proceed from there.

But to actually use it would invite a response from a super power sooner or later. Nukes are useless military weapons.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2010-02-01 18:52  

#3  I'm afraid Phil B is correct. Good thing our Earthquake Division is hard at work.
Posted by: Halliburton - Mysterious Conspiracy Division   2010-02-01 17:57  

#2  I also say the US because we are the main obstacle to just about anyone. Hezbollah has cells all over. New Year's eve, 3 young Iranians with backpacks were picked up in the no-go area of Times Square; I saw them on the top floor of my hotel a day earlier scoping the area out. A van without plates was also towed away but nothing suspicious was found in it. My Iranian neighbor lives extremely well for a dentist and has added on two large additions to his $1.2 million home recently yet he appears to live alone on a 5 BR acreage, parking his F-150 in the drive rather than in the 4 car garage that was roomy enough for previous owners' vehicles and ATV's. He does nothing to arouse suspicion other than yelling at the contractors, extremely finicky and threatening to not pay his bills. How many more are living here with Homeland Security totally unaware? I expect something here soon.
Posted by: Lumpy Elmoluck5091   2010-02-01 17:56  

#1  Saudi Arabia

Nuke the SA oilfields and the price of crude goes through the roof and Iran cashes in for years. Nobody is going to sanction Iran's oil exports - too desperate for the black stuff. Never mind fight a war over the top of the remaining gulf oilfields.

Although Iraq will be a close second these days.
Posted by: phil_b   2010-02-01 17:32  

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