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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Saving Central Asia
2010-06-21
Kyrgyzstan has lost control of a significant part of its country. Initial violence has caused many hundreds of deaths and, as of the latest count, over 400,000 refugees. This from a population of five million.

Washington is obsessed with Afghanistan, and though the Americans have a major base in Kyrgyzstan at Manas, they seem disinclined to do very much. They may have given up hope for the base, but they are clearly not interested in getting involved with Kyrgyzstans police and military, whom they seem to regard as feckless at best.

Kyrgyzstan is a major stop in the drug road from Afghanistan. Much of Afghanistans opiates are trucked and flown in to the south of Kyrgyzstan. The chances are, in fact, that drug dealers have been active in the violence. Much of the drugs move straight on -- to Russia, which already has an enormous problem both with drugs and intravenously transmitted H.I.V./AIDS, and to China, which is developing the same problem.

Southern Kyrgyzstan is also a transit route for another commodity the West fears: Islamist fighters. They move to and from Afghanistan, on their way to Uzbekistan just across the border, but also to Western Europe. It is already a comfortable stop along their long march. A country without a government will make for an even friendlier environment.
NYT author lets bleeding heart reach conclusions, but that doesn't mean the problem doesn't exist. Funny how frequently drugs and oil and terrorists keep showing up in the same places. We could do something about drugs and oil if we had the will and the terrorist problem might solve itself.
Posted by:Nimble Spemble

#2  WMF > SOUTH KOREAN PRIVATE MIL WEBSITE
CLAIMS THAT SOUTH KOREA'S AIR FORCE WID ITS US-MADE F-15K "STRIKE EAGLE" LR FIGHTER-BOMBERS IS FULLY CAPABLE OF ATTACKING + DESTROYING CHINA'S THREE GORGES DAM + OTHER STRATEGIC TARGETS. PLA AIR FORCES, AIR DEFENSE TECHS IS 5-10 YEARS [more?] BEHIND THE SOUTH KOREAN/ROK AIR FORCE.

* Also from WMF > VIDEO: RUSSIA WARNS THAT JAPAN'S DESPERATE MIL BUILDUP THREATENS THE NATIONAL SECURITY OF CHINA. Effect of JAPAN MIL BUILDUP = MODERNIZATION on TWO KOREAS [Vassal-Buffer State], TAIWAN, REGIONAL TRADE, + CHIN's claims of State Sovereignty over various disputed CHINA SEAS ISLAND GROUPS.

* SAME > US DEPLOYMENT OF ONE OR MORE NIMITZ-CLASS NUCLEAR AIRCRAFT CARRIERS [Carrier BGS] DIRECTLY THREATENS SEVERAL CHINESE PROVINCES.
PREEMPTIVE DESTRUCTION OF YOKUSUKA, OTHER USFJ CARRIER + AIR BASES BY PLA IN CASE OF NEW INTER-KOREAN WAR.

* SAME > PLAAF ASSEMBLES LARGE NUMBERS OF H-6 BOMBERS, 500-700 STRIKE FIGHTERS IN SOUTHWEST CHINA'S AGZ INDIA [Lanzhou MR, Tibet Corrirdor].
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2010-06-21 22:01  

#1  * The US doesn't wanna po either the Russians or the Chinese via POTENT US MIL PRESENCE IN A STRATEGIC STATE VITAL TO RUSSO-CHIN + CENTRAL ASIAN ENERGY NEEDS.

* MSM-Net > Local KYRGYZ UZBEKS are formally deemed by the Kyrgyz Govt as being DE FACTO KYRGYZ CITIZINS-RESIDENTS, but many Kyrgyz Uzbeks don't like nor trust the Kyrgyz Govt-People + would instead like to merge wid sovereign UZBEKISTAN.

** ION WMF > CHINA TO ASSURE SECURITY FOR KAZAKHISTAN IN FACE OF CURRENT RUSSIAN, US INACTION OVER KYRGYZTSAN UNREST.

* SAME WMF > "DEUTCH WELLE" GERMAN MEDIA: CHINA DESIRES TO FORM A BILATERAL ANTI-US ECON OR TRADE ALLIANCE WID RUSSIA WHERE RUSSIAN RAW MATERIALS WILL BE EXCHANGED FOR PRO-RUSSIAN CHINESE BANKING, INVESTMENT SERVICES + ADVANTAGES. RUSSIAN GOVT. ANGER OVER BEIJING'S FAILURE TO STOP THE ANNUAL FLOWS OF HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF CHINESE MIGRATING + WORKING ILLEGALLY IN RUSSIA.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2010-06-21 21:38  

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