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Terror Networks
Somalia tops terrorism risk list, Pakistan second
2010-11-16
[Pak Daily Times] Somalia has replaced Iraq as the state most at risk from terrorist attack, according to a ranking by global analysts Maplecroft, which sees threats also rising in Russia, Greece and Yemen but falling in India and Algeria. Pakistain has jumped one place to the second position.

A statement by the consultancy about its latest Terrorism Risk Index said increased dangers seen in Somalia and Yemen were caused by al Qaeda-associated violence while those in Russia stemmed from attacks by separatists from the North Caucasus. The largest change in the rankings was Greece, which moved from 57 to 24 to become the European country most at risk, a trend the consultancy said was due to violent left-wing groups.

Pakistain, where more than 2,000 people have been killed in a wave of deadly attacks by gunnies since 2007, moved up one place to become the country second most at risk, while Afghanistan slipped from second place to fourth. Iraq, where sectarian carnage unleashed after the 2003 US-led invasion is receding, is now in the third place.

Maplecroft said Somalia suffered 556 terrorist incidents, in which 1,437 people had been killed and 3,408 maimed between June 2009 and June 2010, the period on which the rankings are based.

"Somalia is the most extreme risk country," it said. "It has the highest number of deaths from terrorism per population and surpassed Iraq and Afghanistan in the number of fatalities per terrorist attack."

Yemen, across the Gulf of Aden, worries the West because it is home to al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, which claimed the failed cargo plane attack and a botched plot by a Nigerian student to bomb an airliner over Detroit on December 25, 2009.

The UK-based company's index rates 196 countries on the number, frequency and intensity of terrorism attacks, plus the likelihood of mass casualties occurring. While based on historical data, it is intended as a forward-looking assessment.

None of the main Western economies fall within the ranking's high or extreme risk bracket. The United States is at 33, France 44 and Britain 46 -- all in the medium risk category -- while Canada at 67, and Germany at 70 are rated as low risk. The index lists 16 countries as extreme risk -- topped by Somalia, Pakistain, Iraq and Afghanistan and followed by the Paleostinian Territories in fifth place, Colombia 6, Thailand 7, Philippines 8, Yemen 9, Russia 10.

The company saw an increase in risk in Russia, which rose to 10 from 15, was due to a rise in big attacks by separatists from the North Caucasus, including twin suicide kabooms on the Moscow metro in March this year, which killed 40 people. Other major movers in the index included Algeria, which fell to 36 from 7, and India, which dropped to 15 from 6.
Posted by:Fred

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