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Africa North
Libya: Obama's FUBAR folly
2011-06-14
Posted by:ryuge

#2  Whatever happens, the world will quickly go back to normal.

Of course, the author's theory here is completly dependent on his definition of the concept of "normal". Perhaps, one could argue that it'll be completly normal for the warring parties to excelerate their revenge bloodletting after the official kinnetic operation ends. After all, that's how African tribal societies have always behaved. Obviously, forging a new government out of a decades old tyrannical regime will breed some powerlust. That's normal. So no one should be surprised at the endemic corruption to follow as the parade of ex-pats, thugs, and neighboring tin-potters sharpen their elbows for a shot at Libyan resources and what's left of Mo's pile of gold. And few should get caught off-guard when the Islamic syndicates such as AQIM and the Mo Bros exploit the chaos of a failed state. That's how these parasitic organizations exist. In fact, it would be considerd abnormal if they didn't. Also, expect more (not less) unrest from the civilian population. The jubilant celebrations of Democracy will be short lived. Patience tends to run thin as basic needs of housing, food, water, and medicine continue in short supply. That's more then normal. That's what anthropologists call "human nature". Going forward, what will be considerd normal for the architects of this Libyan misadventure? The postbellum challenges of reconstruction, resettling refugees, and economic development are predictable. And the post Arab regime playbook calls for the heavy hand of intervention. But it can't be overlooked that, thus far, these people have placed more emphasis on "legitimacy" then they have on success. They loath even slightest appearance of imperial colonialism. One can assume the Global Governors post conflict strategy will include symbolic meetings, backroom deals, followed by
throwing huge sums of good money after bad.
Now that's normal!
Posted by: DepotGuy   2011-06-14 13:15  

#1  The writer is no fan of Bush, but one of his closing remarks gives an interesting perspective:

This is a policy? It makes George W. Bush look good.

Indeed it does, Sports Fans.
Posted by: Bobby   2011-06-14 07:18  

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