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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Why SyriaÂ’s Regime Is Surviving a Revolution
2012-01-30
...the prospects are quite likely that Assad will be in power when the year ends. If the deadlock goes on without apparent end, the revolution might die down as it did in Iran. Syria will then be another case to show that revolutions usually succeed only when the elite is divided and loses its nerve, rather than being an inevitably victorious response to oppression.
Posted by:Pappy

#2  IIUC, most regional 'experts' do not agree with Mr Rubin in this.

The only questions are-

when will Assad resign
what will happen to him
what will happen to Syria

and

how can Obama claim credit for getting rid of Assad but blame others for civilian deaths
Posted by: Lord Garth   2012-01-30 19:15  

#1  Because Russian support precludes "kinetic action".
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2012-01-30 13:08  

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