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Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Will Hezbollah Attack Israel? Only if...
2012-03-18
Small Wars Journal's Kip Whittington discusses the implications of the changes since Israel went into Lebanon in 2006. A taste:
In the middle of a region experiencing unprecedented change, a question lingers: Will Israel attack Iran?  As a result, a flurry of writings have appeared attempting to answer this pertinent question.  A "yes" comes with a list of consequences of which the most troubling is the threat of an escalating regional conflict.  In the middle of this regional war it is said that the most powerful non-state actor in the Middle East, Lebanon's Hezbollah, would be a key player.
Posted by:trailing wife

#4  Hezbollah may well attack Israel if their last supporter after Syria fails is attacked. They would be responsible for answering what all the funds and arms were for if not for this particular case. On the other hand, commentors talking about 40,000 missiles swamping Israel's ability to defend itself is just wishful thinking from the Hezbo wing. Israel tries to prevent civilian casualties and if that factor is removed due to a massive rain of missiles then all bets are off on how long the last Hesbo lives. Swarming UAVs, day and night, will make life unbearable for any launch site capable of hitting Israel and if that's in northern Lebanon then the entire Lebanese population will get to watch this one. NEVER again!
Posted by: SenatorMark4   2012-03-18 19:09  

#3  Some really good AAR work by Rand.
Posted by: newc   2012-03-18 12:53  

#2  The Hezbys took out 29 of the world's best battle tanks during the 2008 intervention. IEDs have escalated the conflict. The next conflict won't be so dainty.
Posted by: Boss Hupusorong4750   2012-03-18 12:51  

#1  today's Hezbollah is fundamentally different from the one that fought Israel for 34-days during the summer of 2006

More importantly, today's Israel is fundamentally different from the one that let savages & degenerates World Community dictate its actions for 60 years.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2012-03-18 04:18  

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