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China-Japan-Koreas
Will Chinese Crackdown Devastate Nork Economy?
2012-05-29
China's massive crackdown on North Koreans who live and work there illegally could deal a hard blow to the North's feeble economy, some pundits say. They say it could make things very difficult for North Korean traders who smuggle Chinese goods across the border to sell back in the North. This in turn would hobble the grassroots market economy that is the only way for many North Koreans to sustain themselves under the cash-strapped regime.

"Some 30 percent of the products sold in open-air markets in North Korea are believed to have been smuggled across the border," said a source. "The crackdown could lead to a shortage of supplies and thus cause prices to skyrocket."

But some North Korea watchers believe the economic impact would not be that great. "Most of the smuggling is done between ethnic Chinese in North Korea and North Koreans living in China," said Kim Hee-tae, an activist working for human rights in the North. "These people can travel back and forth between China and North Korea legitimately and wonÂ’t be heavily impacted by the crackdown."

Products legally imported by regime-controlled companies account for more than half the goods sold in North Korean markets, and they are outside the purview of the crackdown.

North Korea experts say the crackdown will lead to a greater number of North Koreans being sent overseas to work legally, who will end up putting more hard currency into the North's state coffers.

"Depending on where they work and what jobs they have, North Koreans dispatched overseas make between US$200 to $1,000 a month," said the source. They get to keep only 10 to 20 percent while the regime takes the rest in party loyalty funds, tax, insurance and living expenses. "The workers who will be sent to China legally will probably have to do the same," the source added.
Posted by:Steve White

#4  is anyone else getting the feel that Beijing would like to take over NOKOR widout firing a shot

They don't want to be seen doing it. Having NOKOR as a mad little lapdog for stirring up mischief is way too valuable, but the ChiComs need at least the appearance of deniability.
Posted by: SteveS   2012-05-29 22:03  

#3  CHINA DAILY FORUM > POSTER OPED: IFF THE US CAN CLAIM HAWAII + GUAM, THEN CHINA CAN CLAIM SOUTH CHINA SEA.

and

* WORLD MILITARY FORUM > TIME MAGAZINE: CLOCK TICKING ON CHINA-JAPAN ISLAND DISPUTE; IWA EXPERT TOGO KAZUHIKO - JAPAN MAY ONLY HAVE 1-2 YEARS [2013-2014] TO PEACEFULY RESOLVE THE DAOYUS/SENKAKUS ISLANDS DISPUTE WID CHINA BEFORE THE OUTBREAK OF WAR.

* SAME > JAPAN ON SINO-PHILIPPINE'S DISPUTE: CHINA IS ONCE AGAIN THE "MIDDLE KINGDOM" TO WHICH THE WORLD MUST KOWTOW.

versus

* WORLD NEWS > NORTH KOREA: UP TO 40,000 SOUTH KOREAN SOLDIERS [1950-1953]STILL BURIED IN DMZ.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-05-29 03:23  

#2  China's percentage of bilateral export trade wid the DPRK is officially 85%, + by some Pert accounts higher - the new Sino-DPRK FTAS is antcipated in the West to only increase China's domination.

IFF CHINA SNEEZES, NOKOR GETS PNEUMONIA.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-05-29 00:25  

#1  Is it just me, or is anyone else getting the feel that Beijing would like to take over NOKOR widout firing a shot = no "Great Power" Mil Confrontation in NE Asia, while still allowing Beijing to engage in unilateral, forceful
"Gunboat/Battleship Diplomacy" in the SCS vee ASEAN States???

NO UNO, NO US, NO RUSSIA OR NIPPON OR ANGRY SOKOR TO ARGUE WID CHINA OER ITS TAKEOVER OF A "NATURALLY/INTERNALLY", SELF-IMPLODED OR COLLAPSED NOKOR WHOSE STABILITY + WELL-BEING IS ALREADY IN CHINA'S "CORE INTEREST(S)"???
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-05-29 00:21  

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