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-Election 2012
Obama's Ratings Dive
2012-07-25
By Dick Morris

His personal favorability, once a strong point for Obama, has vanished and is now being replaced by a personal dislike that is dragging him down.

These data, buried deep in the latest NY Times/CBS poll (of registered voters, not likely voters) are both stark and important. In April, Obama had a 42-45 favorable/unfavorable rating, itself a shock given his vastly higher favorable ratings only a few months before. Now, he has a favorable rating of only 36% and an unfavorable rating of 48%.

The NY Times poll showed Romney getting 47% of the vote compared to 46% for Obama (again, this poll is of registered voters, likely voter polls are more pro-Romney). So that means that one-quarter of Obama's voters do not give him a favorable rating -- a danger sign for the president.

What is most notable about this statistic is that it is not due primarily to the bad economy. While the Times poll showed that the percent of voters who feel he is doing a good job in handling the economy has dropped to 36%, Obama's ratings in this category have been low for some time. The drop in favorability is new.
Posted by:Fred

#9  Agreed, but let's not get cocky. We need to convert every one of those undecideds and leanings into a vote for Romney. Wd also need to work like hell to ensure our friends, family and neighbors know the facts and are motivated to turn out. And we need to pay attention to ALL of the elections, up and down the line, to take this country back.
Posted by: lotp   2012-07-25 15:37  

#8  Dick Morris tends to be good at crunching poll numbers. Krauthammer is great on foreign policy but I've never heard anything from him on polls before.

Two things about polls. (1) undecided tend to go to the non-incumbant (in this ccase Romney). (2) The Bradley Effect will be in full force this election.

Lastly NBC has already started skewing polls to keep their boy afloat.

We are still a long way out but the Olympics, VP selection, and Republican Convention are gonna suck the air out of Obama's polls for the forseeable future.
Posted by: rjschwarz   2012-07-25 14:45  

#7  Something to bookmark for checking periodically between now and the election: Karl Rove's 50-State Electoral Map. He's got them marked Strong D/R, Leaning D/R, Toss-Up. Mr. Rove will update it weekly, based in poll data.
Posted by: trailing wife   2012-07-25 12:02  

#6  Gotta watch out for that October surprise.
Posted by: Ebbang Uluque6305   2012-07-25 12:02  

#5  People are figuring out he is an elitist twat and it is turning them off.
Posted by: DarthVader   2012-07-25 11:35  

#4  I looked at the picture of Obummer and I read his hat at first glance as saying "Elitist."

Dick Morris is an old vote counter for Clinton. He may be right about the polls. Krauthammer seems to think that Obama would win today if the election were held.

The polls don't mean that much at this time. Maybe Obama will go off teleprompter again or somebody will sabotage his teleprompter and the real Obama will show himself again--as a social justice, redistribution, anti-capitalism guy who has been inculcated with Communist and Muslim dogma by his father.

Posted by: JohnQC   2012-07-25 10:57  

#3  The Shave:

George W Bush and Barack Obama somehow ended up at the same barber shop. As they sat there, each being worked on by a different barber, not a word was spoken. The barbers were even afraid to start a conversation, for fear it would turn to politics.

As the barbers finished their shaves, the one who had Obama in his chair reached for the aftershave.

Obama was quick to stop him saying, 'No thanks, my wife Michelle will smell that and think I've been in a whorehouse.'

The second barber turned to Bush and said, 'How about you sir?' Bush replied, 'Go ahead; my wife doesn't know what the inside of a whorehouse smells like.
Posted by: Besoeker   2012-07-25 10:19  

#2  Rasmussen sez:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 45% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Still 11% who will decide later? Inconceivable!

New data shows why the president’s “you didn’t build that” comments have created such a furor. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Likely Voters believe that small business owners work harder than others. Seventy-two percent (72%) believe those who start businesses are primarily responsible for the success or failure of their own business. Most also believe that entrepreneurs create more jobs than either government programs or big business.

77% disagree with Champ? Really stepped in it that time, eh?

Republicans continue to hold a modest three-point edge on the Generic Congressional Ballot.
Posted by: Bobby   2012-07-25 06:25  

#1  IIRC FOX NEWS AM [old] > KRAUTHAMMER = argued that the Bammer has a significant advantage oer Mittens in that Mitt is perceived by many Americans as a "Friend" or "Good ole Boy", NOT AS AN INNOVATIVE, PROB-SOLVING "LEADER" [Leader of a Nation/People].

IIUC, Mitt is not "Presidential" or
"Presidential enuff", as they used to say.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-07-25 02:13  

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