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China-Japan-Koreas
Experts Look to Broader Nork Sanctions Regime
2012-12-11
What would we do without experts?
Experts have told Daily NK that they expect a slightly different style of sanctions to be placed on North Korea if it goes ahead with its proposed long-range rocket launch later this month.

After the NorthÂ’s previous launch in April, the UN Security Council placed sanctions on a number of organizations that were thought to be helping facilitate North KoreaÂ’s trade in and development of weapons of mass destructions (WMD).

However, experts expect any sanctions this time to not only target agencies directly implicated in WMD activities, but also to target a broader range of entities with economic clout in the North. It is an opinion based on the belief that cutting off funding sources can help to stop Pyongyang from conducting missile launches and nuclear weapons tests in future.

Cho Bong Hyun, a researcher with the Industrial Bank of Korea (IBK) Economic Research Institute told Daily NK, “If we do not cut off North Korea’s lines of credit then sanctions cannot be effective. Therefore, they will try to strengthen economic sanctions. The trade that is currently going normally could be faced with more difficult conditions, and humanitarian assistance could be stopped, too.”

Cho added, “In addition, it looks like a number more individuals and institutions will be added to the UN Security Council sanction list.”

Another anonymous researcher commented, “The best thing would be to apply financial sanctions in order to freeze North Korean funds, as was done with Banco Delta Asia (BDA). The BDA issue created fresh resistance in North Korea; however, freezing North Korean funds can still inflict a huge blow on their money channels.”
Each time the Norks do what they're not supposed to do, the sanctions should become tighter, broader and more biting. Each time they transgress we turn up the pressure. That's the only language they understand.
Some voices have suggested that the role of the UN North Korea Sanctions Committee should be improved, with disciplinary actions for those who fail to support it.

Baek Seung Joo of Korea Institute for Defense Analyses said, “Currently, sanctions against North Korea have been implemented across multi-faceted areas, but the problem is whether or not the sanctions are being implemented correctly. There need to be measures to warn those countries who are not actively taking part in the sanctions, and more monitoring of those countries which must apply them.”

Of course, one such country is China, whose full cooperation is essential if the sanctions are to succeed. China has criticized North KoreaÂ’s latest launch plan, but it remains to be seen whether this will translate into action.
North Korea does nothing big without China's approval...
“The international community must emphasize China’s role as a permanent member of the UN Security Council,” Baek explained. “Even if the international community imposes sanctions on North Korea, these will not be effective if China supports North Korea. China must take responsibility for its actions.”
Posted by:Steve White

#4  Iff China backs down, it will use its massive trade + currency surplus, etc. vee the USA as a weapon agz the US.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-12-11 22:13  

#3  In Jong-un's defense, the day or time will come when US-led international sanctions will pro forma stop being about the DPRK, + start being about China vee the DPRK.

* E.G. WAFF > [Strategypage] CHINA HIDES BEHIND THE WHITE, i.e. the white-painted ships of its Coast Guard = CMS vee disputed islands in the East China Sea + espec the South China Sea.

ARTIC = denotes that CHINA IS CLAIMING AS ITS OWN MOST OR ALL OF OFFSHORE AREAS OF THE PHIL, BRUNEI, MALAYSIA, TAIWAN, + VIETNAM IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA NOT FORMALLY RECOGNIZED AS SOVEREIGN TO SAME UNDER INTERNATIONAL LAW [UNCLOS-ITLOS = disputed]. India + US have announced that they will not recognize China's claims to the bulk of the SCS, islands + sea area, + will be expecting their Naval Warships to pass through unmolested or unharmed by China even after January 1st, 2013.

Reminds me of the USN versus Cuba-bound incoming Soviet merchant/cargo ships + Subs during the 1962 Cuban Missle Crisis.

MORE ...

* WAFF > PHILIPPINES WANTS REARMING OF JAPAN TO BALANCE [counter] CHINA.

PHIL FM Albert del Rosario.

RELATED CHINESE MILITARY FORUM > PHILIPPINES BACKS REARMING OF JAPAN.

SAME > JAPAN LDP IS WINNING ... MORE TROUBLE AHEAD FOR CN-JP [China-Japan] RELATIONSHIP | [Yahoo News, Reuters] JAPAN LDP ON TRACK FOR BIG ELECTION WIN: SURVEYS.

Return of Conservative LDP + ex-PM Shinzo Abe - Party anticipated to win over 300 seats in 480-seat Lower House of Japan's Parliament [Diet].

* DEFENCE.PK/FORUMS > [Sidney Morning Herald = SMH.com] CHINA PRODDING RISE OF JAPAN'S HAWKS.

* WORLD NEWS > JAPAN COULD SOON BECOME THE NEWEST AND MOST VORACIOUS ARMS BUYER ON THE PLANET.

* BHARAT RAKSHAK > CHINA'S MILITARY CROSSROADS.

Rise of MilPol = Geopol-aggressive, PLA or PLA-focused military influence in CPC + Beijing Govt. to "hallmark" a future China, notsomuch the country's economic proficiencies or strengths at that time.

versus

* WORLD NEWS > US ADMIRAL:[Sino-Japanese, SCS]ISLANDS DISPUTE CAN BE AVERTED WIDOUT WAR.

Sorry, Admiral, but once again IMO Rising China wants its "Post-US", "future World #1" "Manifest Destiny" ASAP AMAP ALAP - CHINA WILL EITHER BACK DOWN, OR CHINA + PLA WILL SUDDENLY START SHOOTING. HISTOIRE' SUGGESTS CHINA WILL LIKELY DO THE LATTER, NOT THE FORMER.

WILL TAIWAN = USA, + JAPAN, GIVE CHINA BASE RIGHTS FOR THE PLA ON TAIWAN PROPER + OKINAWA, WILL THE US ACCEPT ROUTINE PLAN, PLAAF MILEXS IN WESTPAC???
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-12-11 22:11  

#2  The "experts" on North Korea have never failed us before.
Posted by: ToursLepantoVienna   2012-12-11 12:11  

#1  Yeah, cuz sanctions have done a great job keeping Iran from developing its WMD program...
Posted by: American Delight   2012-12-11 06:18  

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