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China-Japan-Koreas
Every man for himself
2013-07-28
A nice discussion by Richard Fernandez AKA Wretchard about the US decline in its military deterrence, and Japanese unique solution to its defense against an aggressive China.

Gawd help the Chinese if Japan ever returns to carrier naval aviation.

From TFA:

"In reality, I doubt the U.S. would actually fight." This represents the collapse of deterrence. It means that in order to convince enemies of American seriousness going forward Washington has to actually fight, which is a whole lot more expensive than simply maintaining a reputation.

When the public thinks of a non-US navy it usually thinks of Britain's or France's. But Japan has twice as many submarines as France and twice as many surface combatants as the Royal Navy. And what its navy actually buys and builds is the best true indicator of what Tokyo actually thinks of Washington.
Posted by:badanov

#4  Thank you, Chantry. I don't always see the correlations.
Posted by: trailing wife   2013-07-28 21:44  

#3  That is the time remaining in the Obama Presidency.
I think the Chinese are in for a brutal surprise if they decide to take on the JSDF's navy & airforce.
Posted by: Chantry   2013-07-28 18:12  

#2  China has [at a minimum] a 3.5 year window.

That's awfully precise, Besoeker. How so?
Posted by: trailing wife   2013-07-28 12:46  

#1  China has [at a minimum] a 3.5 year window. They know it, we know it, and the Japanese know it as well.
Posted by: Besoeker   2013-07-28 07:46  

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