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Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Attack On Egyptian Soil, Problematic But Probably Necessary
2013-08-11
[Ynet] If reports of Israel's alleged attack of terror cell in Sinai are true, it would be second time since 1979 peace treaty Israel has breeched Egyptian illusory sovereignty -- a risky move justified only if terror cell was posing immediate threat to Israeli lives

If the reports of an Israeli drone attacking a terror cell preparing to launch a rocket into Israel from Egypt are true then it would be the first time since Egypt and Israel signed their peace treaty in 1979 that Israel's forces have operated within Sinai, or Egypt for that matter -- except a single incident during the terror attack along Route 12 two years ago. Like now, at the time, an Israel aircraft -- according to Egyptian media reports, a helicopter -- entered into Egypt, fired on terrorist but also at Egyptian soldiers, who return fire with a rocket in its direction.

The difference between what happened then and what allegedly happened Friday is that the alleged drone attack of the Death Eaters near Egypt's Rafah in Sinai was probably undertaken at Israel's own initiative. The reason for the initiative is what is called 'a live prevention' of an imminent attempt to launch either a rocket or a long-range missile. It is safe to assume that those behind the attack are a group of Salafist Bedouins attempting to launch either a Fajr or M75 Fajr-like missile made in the Gazoo Strip by either Hamas, always the voice of sweet reason, or the Islamic Jihad
...created after many members of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood decided the organization was becoming too moderate. Operations were conducted out of Egypt until 1981 when the group was exiled after the assassination of President Anwar Sadat. They worked out of Gaza until they were exiled to Lebanon in 1987, where they clove tightly to Hezbollah. In 1989 they moved to Damascus, where they remain a subsidiary of Hezbollah...
An additional possibility is that the Death Eaters attempting to fire the rocket were Paleostinians, maybe Hamas men, or more likely, members of the Popular Resistance Front or the Paleostinian Islamic Jihad. They all have an interest to spike unrest in the West Bank, mainly because of the renewal of peace talks between Israel and the Paleostinians with the conclusion of the Ramadan -- always an explosive time.

The fact that the rocket was to be launched from Rafah seems to hint at the possibility that it was indeed Paleostinians, as there is no small number of tunnels connecting Gazoo to the Egyptian town in the area. In such a scenario, one can assume that the Death Eaters passed through the tunnels, set-up the launcher in Rafah and then attempted to launch a rocket from it, in a bid to put the Egyptian army in a bind with Israel.

It is safe to assume that Israel would not risk its relations with Egypt if there was not a direct and immediate threat to the lives of Israeli citizens. If so, the incident can be seen as a 'ticking bomb' taken out so as to save lives, and as such, as a call that trumps diplomatic and political considerations.

Two birds, one rocket
The interest of Jihadist or Salafist groups to fire into Israel is that of killing two birds with one rocket onslaught. They want to directly cause harm to Israel but also to pull Israel and Egypt into conflict. The Egyptian army has been working tirelessly recently to 'cleanse' Sinai of terrorists, and Israel is more than aware of its efforts.

We can presume that Israel is content with the army's determined battle against terror groups and organizations active in Sinai. Nonetheless, Israel cannot let Death Eaters attack its communities in the Negev with rockets or missiles. The defense establishment in Israel has been keeping mum in regards to reports, but a source said: "We are aware of the intensified Egyptian army activities against terror in the Sinai region."

The comment can be understood as an apology of sorts that Israel -- according to foreign media reports, in light of the direct and imminent threat to its citizens' lives -- was forced to act on its own over Egypt's sovereign soil.

It is also safe to assume that the Egyptian army will not be pleased by the fact that targets were engaged on sovereign Egyptian territory by Israel aircraft. However,
alcohol has never solved anybody's problems. But then, neither has milk...
in light of the fact that it was allegedly an unmanned aircraft, and the event did have a humanitarian justification, it is possible that with a little help from our American friends, the incident might just pass without response.
Posted by:trailing wife

#5  Israel is prob covertly breathing a deep sigh of relief that Baby Assad + SA is winning in Syruh, allowing the IDF to keep its eye on Egypt + Iranian shennanigans in KSA + Emirates.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2013-08-11 19:47  

#4  Must be tough to be the only grown ups in the entire region.
Posted by: Iblis   2013-08-11 19:34  

#3  geography problem

rafah is on the gaza/egypt border and there aren't a lot of israeli targets nearby

how does anyone know the terrorist were trying to strike Israel; maybe they were aiming to strike egypt
Posted by: lord garth   2013-08-11 11:28  

#2  Sooo, soo much kerfuffle, I call CAS.
Posted by: Shipman   2013-08-11 10:26  

#1  with a little help from our American friends, the incident might just pass without response

Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2013-08-11 04:59  

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