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Africa North
US foreign policy implodes
2013-08-19
An awful lot of good commentary is emerging over the turmoil in Egypt.

First Wretchard:


What could be a more blatant attempt than that? If true then Putin’s openly trying to grab Egypt. Breitbart reports Egypt is sending a diplomatic mission to Russia. “Sadat threw Russia out of Egypt,” the source told Breitbart News. “Peace came from that. If Russia reenters Egypt, they reenter the world.” Are the reports true? But things may have reached a crisis. The Egyptian military is planning to outlaw the Muslim Brotherhood.

That would put ObamaÂ’s hand squarely in a vise. He may be forced to do what he loathes most: to take a definite, public stand that must alienate part of his international coalition. He has thrived so far by selling the same real estate to all comers; by being the blank slate who is each and every supplicantÂ’s friend.

But now he must anger somebody. Now somebodyÂ’s asking for a refund. The web is rife with rumor that one side or the other is holding a scandal over the administrationÂ’s head. There is no proof that any such scandal exists. But given the parade of scandals already too numerous to mention it cannot wholly be discounted that some such exists.

So Obama remains hunkered down in MarthaÂ’s Vineyard, emerging periodically from his vacation home, like a cuckoo from a clock, to make a statement no one appears to hear, playing for time. No one in the Beltway seems to know what line to take. Shall they restore democracy in Egypt by supporting the Muslims Bros, knowing they too will take their revenge on the generals and the Copts? Suspend aid to the Egyptian military and open the door to Russia, who might do a hat trick and scoop up Saudi Arabia into the bargain?

And Mark Steyn:

As a result, the factions in Egypt are united only in their contempt for Washington. Obama is despised by Sisi and the generals for being fundamentally unserious; by the Brotherhood for stringing along with the coup; by the Copts for standing by as the Brothers take it out on them; and by the small number of genuine democrats in Egypt for his witless promotion of Morsi’s thugs as the dawning of democracy. Any “national-unity government” of the kind the usual deluded twits are urging on Egypt would be united only in its unanimous loathing of Obama, his secretaries of state, and his inept ambassador.

Meanwhile, out on the streets, Washington is reviled both for standing by Mubarak too long and for pushing him out too soon (eighty per cent of Egyptians say things are worse than under the old man). And, with the 2011 “Facebook Revolution” all out of “Likes”, the King of Jordan and the Gulf emirs understand the meaning of the ailing, abandoned strongman in his military prison cell in purely geopolitical terms – that (as Bernard Lewis once warned) America is harmless as an enemy but treacherous as a friend.

Whatever regime emerges in Cairo, it will be post-American.

A year before the fall of Mubarak, David Pryce-Jones, in a conversational aside, quoted to me Lord Lloyd, British High Commissioner to the old Kingdom of Egypt in the Twenties: “Ah, the jacarandas are in bloom. We shall soon be sending for the gunboats.” There’s more wisdom about Arab springs in that line than in all the blather of Obama, Clinton, Kerry and Anne Patterson combined.
Posted by:badanov

#8  See also BIG NEWS NETWORK > NO US CREDIBILITY IN MIDDLE EAST LEFT FOLLOWING OBAMA'S MISHANDLING OF EGYPT CRISIS: MCCAIN.

McCain says the Bammer has NO POLICY + NO STRATEGEERY [strategy].

As in the ME + Persian Gulf, as so per IRAN + espec CHINA in East Asia???

I'm telling locals that the danger is very real that Guam could lose both its US Territorial + Citizenship status in the very near-term/future iff alleged anti-US, Marxist-ANarchist-Globalist POTUS Bammer fails to militarily intervene + support America's overseas allies in any China-involved East Asian war(s) agz Japan + PHIL + Vietnam + India.

"POST-US" WANNABE AMBITIOUS CHINA VERSUS
US-LED, ANTI-CHINA "A2/AREA-DENIAL".

As per MilBlogs, to avoid a major military conflict in the SOuth China Sea, the US is willing to allow the Philippines to permit the Chinese PLA to set up Milbases on their own Philippine soil.

* Also from BIG NEWS NETWORK > SENATOR [Lindsey]GRAHAM PREDICTS EGYPT PROTESTS WILL SHIFT TO ARMED INSURGENCY.

* IIRC STARS-N-STRIPES > EGYPT CRUCIAL TO US MISSIONS IN MIDDLE EAST.

RELATED USA TODAY > US MILITARY NEEDS EGYPT FOR ACCESS TO CRITICAL AREAS.

Widout Egypt's Air-Sea Ports + Suez Canal, US ABILITY TO PROJECT MILITARY POWER = MILITARY ASSETS WILL BE COSTLIER, LONGER.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2013-08-19 23:51  

#7  I believe they also enacted an at-sea transfer of weapons/weapons components sorts with the South African Navy. I'll have to look it up.
Posted by: Pappy   2013-08-19 18:32  

#6  How does one say "We shall soon be sending for the gunboats" in Mandarin?

The PLAN did send a naval squadron to the Horn of Africa for about 90 days about 2 or three years ago. Dunno if they are still ending ships to the region, though.
Posted by: badanov   2013-08-19 15:19  

#5  Fraking is Obama's only way out. Let the Russians have the whole sandbox and push Fraking.

Dump the greens and save those union pensions and hope the Democrats have enough votes to save their hold on power.
Posted by: rjschwarz   2013-08-19 15:08  

#4  How does one say "We shall soon be sending for the gunboats" in Mandarin?
Posted by: Pappy   2013-08-19 14:06  

#3  China in Africa will be fun to watch. Let us observe from a distance please.
Posted by: Besoeker   2013-08-19 04:53  

#2  Putin is so consistent. He is being very effective. China is doing the same in Brazil and Africa. The race is on. We have created a vacuum. They offer less interference in local governments also.
Posted by: Dale   2013-08-19 04:47  

#1  We have Kerry as Secretary of State, what did you expect ? Dah! US foreign policy implodes - Right.
Posted by: Unolulet Hupomoling9738   2013-08-19 00:42  

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