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| Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
| Analysis: Combat fatigue may finally spell the end of Syrian civil war |
| 2014-02-17 |
| [Jerusalem Post] Excerpt: What is disturbing about the Syrian civil war is that it may very well turn out to be a kind of mirror-image of the internecine 15-year civil war in Lebanon between 1975 and 1990. Anti-interventionist governments in the US and Europe (with the exception of France) show a lack of interest in stopping the war. Interventions cost money, great lots of it. What if they gave a war and nobody US President Barack Obama's interventionist Ambassador to the UN Samantha Power has been reduced to Twitter diplomacy. A further reduction hoped for, with no lingering memories. The major democratic powers invoke the grammatical form of the imperative (e.g, stop dropping barrel bombs!) to influence a change in Assad's behavior. Meanwhile, the number of deaths has surpassed 140,000 since the outbreak of the conflict in 2011. Think of the lives actually saved by the martyrdom of these, years 2025 - 2050 and beyond. Pure exhaustion helped contribute to the end of the Lebanese civil war. The possibilities are continued stalemate, victory by Assad or the rebels, or the parties' collapse into utter fatigue, leading to hammering out a peace agreement. Collapse and fatigue likely. A peace agreement, most unlikely. |
| Posted by:Besoeker |
| #3 Fixed it for you, Bobby. :-) |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2014-02-17 18:10 |
| #2 I should have italicized During ... needed] |
| Posted by: Bobby 2014-02-17 11:11 |
| #1 I was curious how the Leb war wound down, so I'll share. From Wikipedia: The Taif Agreement of 1989 marked the beginning of the end of the fighting. In January of 1989, a committee appointed by the Arab League began to formulate solutions to the conflict. In March 1991, parliament passed an amnesty law that pardoned all political crimes prior to its enactment. I liked this point of view: During the course of the fighting, alliances shifted rapidly and unpredictably: by the end of the war, nearly every party had allied with and subsequently betrayed every other party at least once.[citation needed] Maybe the war ends when they get tired of betraying each other? |
| Posted by: Bobby 2014-02-17 11:10 |